Former 98L

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punkyg
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Former 98L

#1 Postby punkyg » Tue Sep 04, 2007 6:43 am

Ex 98L looks better this morning then it did last night.
I don't know if ex 98L still has a center, but only time will tell.
Image
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#2 Postby punkyg » Tue Sep 04, 2007 7:07 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/vis-l.jpg
visible shot of the CATL you can see that ex 98L.
now don't you think its time we start talking about if it will develop.
its got more convection its about to move into 10kt shear if it ever moves.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/wv-l.jpg
Dry air is so not a problem any more look at all that moisture behind it and to the south. i say this baby will develop.
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#3 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 04, 2007 7:38 am

Looking much better this morning...Convection beginning to wrap around the what appears to be a well-defined LLC.
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Re: Former 98L

#4 Postby boca » Tue Sep 04, 2007 7:40 am

I don't think thats 98L wasn't 98L more like 47w?
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#5 Postby punkyg » Tue Sep 04, 2007 7:57 am

No yesterday ex 98L was stationary it was stuck at 40w
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Re:

#6 Postby flwxwatcher » Tue Sep 04, 2007 8:24 am

Vortex wrote:Looking much better this morning...Convection beginning to wrap around the what appears to be a well-defined LLC.


Yep.. looks like it has maintained a nice circulation. I think we will be hearing more from 98L in the next few Days.
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#7 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 04, 2007 8:41 am

punkyg wrote:Dry air is so not a problem any more look at all that moisture behind it and to the south. i say this baby will develop.

Yeah punkyg, dry air seems to weakning steadily and you can see a very nice envellope of moisture popping nicely. :lol: Whereas, we have to wait and see if convection persists and try to organize in the next couple of hours... :cheesy:
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Re: Former 98L

#8 Postby AtlanticWind » Tue Sep 04, 2007 8:59 am

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 13N14W 14N27W 11N31W 7N46W 9N60W. A
WEAK 1012 MB LOW IS JUST N OF THE ITCZ AXIS NEAR 10.5N40.5W.
THIS LOW WAS PREVIOUSLY IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES BUT HAD LOST ALL
CONVECTION AND WAS ONLY A SMALL LOW LEVEL SWIRL. HOWEVER...
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED
FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 37W-42W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 5N-10N
BETWEEN 31W-49W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE
FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 10W-18W.

From the ATl. Discussion
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#9 Postby fci » Tue Sep 04, 2007 10:12 am

Sorry folks but it does not look good to me.
Not sure what y'all are seeing..... :roll:
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#10 Postby punkyg » Tue Sep 04, 2007 10:24 am

Image
Well as you can see the shower activity has decreased since earlier, but just wait. ex 98L will refire some convection soon. may not produce alot, but it will make some. tonight i wanna see if ex 98L will make enough convection to make it though the day tomorrow.
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Re: Former 98L

#11 Postby Blown Away » Tue Sep 04, 2007 10:42 am

Still a little spin w/ limited convection.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
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#12 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 04, 2007 1:38 pm

Ive noticed some models showing ol 98L coming back to life just N of PR in the coming days...
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#13 Postby punkyg » Tue Sep 04, 2007 3:23 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/vis-l.jpg
Well ex 98L is still hanging in there and like i said it refired convection.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif
NHC still says ex 98L has a low pressure center with it.

Expect more convection tonight maybe not be alot, but more then what we have now.
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#14 Postby Buck » Tue Sep 04, 2007 3:44 pm

Definitely still a spin and in a better environment now.
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Re:

#15 Postby Blown Away » Tue Sep 04, 2007 4:19 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Ive noticed some models showing ol 98L coming back to life just N of PR in the coming days...


How about posting a link to that info.
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Re: Re:

#16 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 04, 2007 5:16 pm

Blown_away wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Ive noticed some models showing ol 98L coming back to life just N of PR in the coming days...


How about posting a link to that info.



Run thse models..Most show some development..


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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#17 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 04, 2007 6:53 pm

TWD 805:

THE 1012 MB LOW TO THE E NEAR 11N40W ...POSSIBLY SPAWNED FROM
THE ABOVE WAVE...HAS BEEN ON A SLOW DRIFT OVER THE PAST COUPLE
OF DAYS. THIS LOW HAS GENERALLY CHANGED LITTLE SINCE YESTERDAY
AND IT MAY BECOME SOMEWHAT ABSORBED BY THE LARGE TROPICAL WAVE
TO IT'S E
. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
LOW.

This could be what we have been waiting for.
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Re: Former 98L

#18 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 04, 2007 7:27 pm

04/2345 UTC 11.2N 38.5W TOO WEAK 98L -- Atlantic Ocean


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

It has been posted at the SSD dvorak site again but too weak.
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Re: Former 98L

#19 Postby Blown Away » Tue Sep 04, 2007 7:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:04/2345 UTC 11.2N 38.5W TOO WEAK 98L -- Atlantic Ocean


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

It has been posted at the SSD dvorak site again but too weak.


Does this mean it becomes an invest again?
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Re: Re:

#20 Postby rlltex » Tue Sep 04, 2007 8:46 pm

[quote="DESTRUCTION5"][quote="Blown_away"][quote="DESTRUCTION5"]Ive noticed some models showing ol 98L coming back to life just N of PR in the coming days...[/quote]

How about posting a link to that info.[/quote]


Run thse models..Most show some development..


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/[/quote]

wish ya'll could circle what your talking about because this looks like 99L to me.
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