Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

[gotoman38]

Another Bebelfish translation:
http://www.elnuevodiario.com.ni/2007/09 ... ales/58085

They alert of floods and hill slidings
AFP

The Nicaraguan Institute of Territorial Studies (INETER) alerted east Tuesday to the population before the potential danger that earth floods and slidings happen because of torrential rains foretold by the passage of the powerful hurricane Felix.

The president of the Ineter, Alexander Rodriguez, requested to the people who live near hills and rivers "that do not have excess of confidence", because the hurricane is lost force but it continues being dangerous by the amount of water that will fall.

Felix touched earth in the Caribbean coast in the morning 04H45 of Tuesday (10h45 GMT) as a hurricane of five category - the Maxima in it Saffir-Simpson- scales and devastated several populations of the Independent Region of Atla'ntico Norte (RAAN).

Although Felix had left the country about 03H00 local in the direction of Honduras, the danger for Nicaragua has not stopped in the rains that drag with himself, noticed the INETER.

The warning of floods or deslaves governed for Managua and the departments of Leon and Chinandega in the northwest, Matagalpa, Jinotega and Somoto in the north, covered by the cloudy bands of Felix who in its passage towards Honduras was losing force.

"rains can begin at any time as (the hurricane) it is entered to the north in his trajectory towards Honduras, by where could be leaving in the next hours", along with said to Rodriguez during a press conference of the Committee of Emergency president Daniel Ortega.
Precipitations of 375 to 400 millimeters
The awaited precipitations are of near 375 and 400 millimeters and in some isolated cases in the mountain of up to 500 millimeters, which is a "exaggerated precipitation" since only in Managua the annual average of rain is of 250 millimeters and now we spoke from which in one or two days it is going away to receive that amount of water, explained Rodriguez.

"This is going to cause the swelling of the rivers of considerable way in all the communities", insisted Rodriguez, who raised to the members of the Committee of Emergency to settle down a yellow alert in case that it is necessary.

The communities that are on the course of the Coco river that ends at the slope of the Atlantic also must be alert because the danger has not stopped, since it can have swelling of the volume of the rivers, added Rodriguez.

Another danger is deslaves, because they are quite mountainous zones and, if the rain storm extends hours, the humidity is going to cause slidings.

"I do a call to Them to the communities that or know that they are in propitious zones (to deslaves or floods) must be alert, if rains last hours is badly an omen and must leave", indicated.

The preoccupation of the authorities remembered very the damages caused in 1998 by the Mitch hurricane that left about three thousand dead ones and near a million victims in all the country.

NOTE: 400mm is almost 16 inches

[Ptarmigan]

It's unbelievable that another Category 5 hurricane made landfall. It's never happened since accurate records have been kept. I would not be surprised that it has happened in the past. Hopefully, Felix will not be bad for Honduras and Nicaragua. I have a bad feeling it will be though. Hopefully, I am wrong.

[Chacor]

[RL3AO]

Doesn't look like it is going to make it as Felix. I guess we will have to settle for Ivo if it re-develops.

[fasterdisaster]

Is it still moving WSW?

[Chacor]

Doesn't look like it is going to make it as Felix. I guess we will have to settle for Ivo if it re-develops.

Notice the names? With Dean it had the possibility of becoming Gil (Gilbert), and now Felix has the possibility of becoming Ivo (Ivan?)...

[fasterdisaster]

Good call on the intensity in the new advisory, thought it looked like it was still about 50 mph

[Brent]

Is it still moving WSW?

It was due west between 8 and 11. Still 14.1 N, but it was at 14.2 at 5.

[Sanibel]

I doubt it will reform in the Pacific, but it looks like it is headed that way.

Rains are obviously much less than Mitch.

[Coredesat]

Check the loop, the LLC clearly appears to have dissipated by the end of it.

[Epsilon_Fan]

yeah, the circulation seems to have broken up in the last few frames... just the "comma" shape and the remnant feeder bands are all that's left of Felix the Cat

[fasterdisaster]

Hmmm, can't say I agree, I can still easily see one. To my unprofessional eyes, looks like a minimal TS right now(40 mph)

[Chacor]

By Arturo Wallace
BBC News, Managua, Nicaragua

Every year hurricanes and tropical storms threaten the Caribbean coast of Central America, but the Nicaraguan port city of Bilwi had always managed to escape unscathed.

Until now. On Tuesday, shortly before sunrise, Hurricane Felix made landfall in Nicaragua as a category five storm - the highest possible level - and the small city of mud streets and wooden houses was no match for its winds, which were up to 260km/h (162mph).

According to initial reports, hundreds of Bilwi's houses were left destroyed or badly damaged.

"The morning found us in bad shape. This hurricane really hurt us and we don't know how long it will take us to recover," said Reynaldo Francis, governor of Nicaragua's Autonomous Northern Atlantic Region, speaking to a local radio station.

The city's main Catholic church crumbled down, and not even the main government buildings made it in one piece.

Fallen trees and lampposts are blocking the streets and electrical and telephone lines are lying on the floor.

Fast-moving storm

The rain has not stopped, and there are fears of flooding or landslides. The wind, although less intense, is still roaring.

Bilwi residents evacuating before the arrival of Hurricane Felix
There are fears over a group of missing sailors
The danger, however, did not stop people from leaving their shelters as soon as the hurricane passed, in order to check on their homes and assess the damage.

And although this time Bilwi (formerly known as Puerto Cabezas) was unlucky, the feeling is that the damage could have been a lot worse.

Felix is following a very similar path to 1998's Hurricane Mitch, which killed almost 3,000 people in Nicaragua - nearly 11,000 people in the whole of Central America - to become the most deadly Atlantic storm in more than two centuries.

The destruction provoked by Mitch, which stalled over Central America for almost a week, is said to have sent Nicaragua back by as much as 50 years in terms of development.

Felix has moved faster, affecting mostly a scarcely populated area covered by forests and lowlands.

Flooding fears

Two fishing ships carrying 35 crew members, who waited until the last minute to attempt a return to Bilwi, have gone missing.

"We fear we have lost them," said Governor Francis.

And the fate of the inhabitants of the many small indigenous communities scattered throughout the northern Atlantic region, which is Nicaragua's poorest, is still uncertain.

More than 12,000 people were evacuated just ahead of Felix's landfall, but some refused to leave their houses despite being in the hurricane's expected path.

As rain keeps pouring, there are fears that flooding will destroy the humble plantations of beans, rice, cassava and plantain that account for all that they have.

Thick forests cover the largest part of the region and there are no major roads, making assistance difficult to provide. And the hurricane season is far from over.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6979060.stm

[Chacor]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2007

SURFACE DATA FROM CENTRAL AMERICA AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT
FELIX IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND IS
DEGENERATING INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THE CENTER...IF IT
STILL EXISTS..IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. FELIX IS KEPT AS A 25
KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THIS ADVISORY AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MOVE WESTWARD AROUND 10 KNOTS UNTIL DISSIPATION WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS AT THIS TIME SUGGEST THAT THE
REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE OVER LAND AND WILL NOT MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN. HOWEVER...THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.

FELIX SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAINS PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
THIS SYSTEM.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 05/0900Z 14.0N 87.0W 25 KT
12HR VT 05/1800Z 13.8N 88.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

[Roswell_Atup]

i have a strange feeling that felix will be the last storm of the Season

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Felix won't be the last storm of the season trust me. Recon will very likely find another tropical storm out of 99L later today. Even if it some how is not a tropical cyclone today, the models make it quite strong as it turns back westward. In also we will likely have a few more.

[HURAKAN]

i have a strange feeling that felix will be the last storm of the Season

WOW. No offence intended but it seems you know little ablout the tropics. There's still a long road to travel. It's just Sep. 5, a few days from the peak.

[cycloneye]

Those who want to post photos or information about the aftermath of Felix can go and post them in Aftermath thread at link below.



viewtopic.php?f=59&t=97650&start=0

Well folks,what starts always has an end and this giant thread has reached that as the last advisory has been written. It is locked and in 48 hours it will be moved to the 2007 storm archieves forum.