Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions
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- weatherwoman
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
my hats off to JB and the crew at Accuweather!
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
I be chomping down on crow on this one...Although I thought it would develop. initially, it just didn't look like it would survive. I think it had just enough left of it
when conditions improved. I thought there wouldn't be ANYTHING left, which is why I didn't think it would develop. Let's just hope for a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane, something to give NC a much needed drink of water.
when conditions improved. I thought there wouldn't be ANYTHING left, which is why I didn't think it would develop. Let's just hope for a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane, something to give NC a much needed drink of water.
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
Well all, I think after this one is over I'll take up a calmer and more predictable hobby, day trading... But seriously, are we getting the low completely under the storms now or is it still too sheared?
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- Epsilon_Fan
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
This thing sure got its act together overnight! Looks like the little swirl that could is doing it.
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
[quote="seahawkjd"]Well all, I think after this one is over I'll take up a calmer and more predictable hobby, day trading...


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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
Calling it -removed- but looking at the upper level steering I do think it is possible of this heading due west, not turning north until the next trough affects it. I do see what looks like a north compenent now but they may just be from the center and storm activity reforming to the north. We all want to see the NHC's forecast.
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- BensonTCwatcher
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
Things of concern to watch (besides track): The banding on the W side looks good i.e. little shear
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html
Moisture feeding from the south ( a pretty good channel of it too)
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
Lastly, the ULL to the SW that had this thing pinned down may now may now provide west side outflow channel while the flow aloft to the NE could provide one on the other side. Maybe that is how this could get to sub 970mb so quickly. Have to watch and see
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html
Moisture feeding from the south ( a pretty good channel of it too)
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
Lastly, the ULL to the SW that had this thing pinned down may now may now provide west side outflow channel while the flow aloft to the NE could provide one on the other side. Maybe that is how this could get to sub 970mb so quickly. Have to watch and see
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
well watching the the weather channel this morning (with no access to pc)
they said this system could possibly go due west into GA or SC
so anyone from jacksonville north should pay close attention, especially since this thing could become a formidable hurricane JB says sub 970 so while intensity forecasts are troublesome to say the least Prepare for the worst
they said this system could possibly go due west into GA or SC
so anyone from jacksonville north should pay close attention, especially since this thing could become a formidable hurricane JB says sub 970 so while intensity forecasts are troublesome to say the least Prepare for the worst
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re:
Figures this happens... I was planning to watch ND tomorrow night[/quote]
After last weeks ND performance you may get better entertainment value from watching 99L!
After last weeks ND performance you may get better entertainment value from watching 99L!
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re:
Derek Ortt wrote:looks like I was too soon to question myself
The UL is getting out of the way and outflow is expanding
Figures this happens... I was planning to watch ND tomorrow night
No loss there...ND will lose by 3 TD's...and thats not Tropical depressions..
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
Figures this happens... I was planning to watch ND tomorrow night
Well, I wouldn't worry, as long as Mike Sidel doesn't broadcast from the stadium parking lot!!!
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
Derek what is the confidence you have in the steering flow turning this to the NW BEFORE it reaches the coast
and secondly do you see any scenario where this could move WSW
and secondly do you see any scenario where this could move WSW
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Re: 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-11:30 AM TWO at page 81
By the way - hopefully I did not say that this would never develop (don't think I did, so, don't go searching - LOL), but, I find it's wiser (as much as someone who is as clueless) to use words such as "possibly", "perhaps", "might", etc., since only the One who permits the weather to evolve as it does, knows the actual outcome...
Last edited by Frank2 on Fri Sep 07, 2007 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Invest 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

Latest, seems to be filling in from the north from that initial band that moved to the west and north.
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Re: Invest 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery
Ummmmm I'll take my crow fried. Sheesh.
It's FINALLY developing! I almost don't believe it.
It's FINALLY developing! I almost don't believe it.
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Re:
Derek Ortt wrote:looks like I was too soon to question myself
You weren't. Considering how terrible it looked everyone had every right to say the chances weren't as good. It's not as bad as one meteorologist in my area who flip-flopped completely in his forecast (for the wrong reasons) saying it would not hit the East Coast because of high pressure off of the SE coast (despite nothing to suggest that) to saying on the Thursday night news that it would be a potential 1/2 hit because of the 6z GFDL ran on Thursday morning!
I think when we deal in absolutes is when we run into problems with forecasting...saying it's going to do this or it will do that instead of what COULD happen if X and Y pan out.
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Re: Invest 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery
I think when we deal in absolutes is when we run into problems with forecasting...saying it's going to do this or it will do that instead of what COULD happen if X and Y pan out.
Too true - that's also true of life in general...
Certainly, this circulation would get the persistence award (if there was one to give to spinning air)...
LOL
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Re: Invest 99L: Off SE Coast-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

The persistence award, given to Invest 99L for showing that even a naked swirl of air can keep on going.
*Disclaimer: By accepting this award 99L agrees to perform community service to the coast of NC in the form of beneficial rains and agrees not to cause flooding, wind damage, storm surge, etc.
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