Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions

[Coredesat]

The heading on the last model package was still DISTURBANCE INVEST, which means this is not a tropical storm, at least not right now.

[seahawkjd]

Are we seeing the flareup over the llc starting now? Kinda looks like it on the latest IR loops.

[fasterdisaster]

The heading on the last model package was still DISTURBANCE INVEST, which means this is not a tropical storm, at least not right now.

We have seen the NHC upgrade even after a recent model run listed it as something different remember.

[storms in NC]

I just seen that. Who knows what this thing is going to do. I feel about like brent

[Cyclone1]

The heading on the last model package was still DISTURBANCE INVEST, which means this is not a tropical storm, at least not right now.

We have seen the NHC upgrade even after a recent model run listed it as something different remember.

And Recon has yet to depart.

[Scott_inVA]

Are we seeing the flareup over the llc starting now? Kinda looks like it on the latest IR loops.

Hope so as that should sufficiently organize the mess into one LLC.

Also, fwiw...

INVEST 99L (AL992007)
Time: Sat 09-08-2007 00Z Pos: 30.1N, 71.7W
Tropical Storm - Max Sustained Winds: 40 kts (46 mph)
Est Min Central Pressure: 1011 mb (29.9 in)

I'm not convinced they don't go with a SUB tropical storm!

Scott

[wxman57]

Looks like NHC will wait for recon to try to find a well-defined center before upgrading. Could be an upgrade at 4am CDT. Meanwhile, you can see what the NHC was going to forecast this afternoon if the plane had found that good LLC. It's picked up by the 00Z early model guidance as the OFCI (NHC Official Interpolated) track. I plotted it with the CONU, a consensus model they like to be close to track-wise.

[fasterdisaster]

Are we seeing the flareup over the llc starting now? Kinda looks like it on the latest IR loops.

Hope so as that should sufficiently organize the mess into one LLC.

Also, fwiw...

INVEST 99L (AL992007)
Time: Sat 09-08-2007 00Z Pos: 30.1N, 71.7W
Tropical Storm - Max Sustained Winds: 40 kts (46 mph)
Est Min Central Pressure: 1011 mb (29.9 in)

I'm not convinced they don't go with a SUB tropical storm!

Scott

They won't, it has a warm enough core.

[HURAKAN]

LATEST:

[Bane]

that latest blow up looks like it is almost directly over the llc.

[cycloneye]

NRL= GABRIELLE!!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[RL3AO]

Well. Interesting.

[Cyclone1]

There she is! You're late Gabby!

[Bane]

that answers that.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

NRL= GABRIELLE!!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

I agree, the convection is blowing up over the LLC. In which case likely strengthen it enough to close off.

[storms in NC]

that latest blow up looks like it is almost directly over the llc.

Mark was saying on his site that there is 2 lows fighting againts each other. and till one win out they will not call it. This is the first I had read of this. any one know what Mark is talking about?

[Recurve]

Good catch.

I just don't refresh enough. <sigh>

[nequad]

Welcome home Gabby!

[Brent]

NRL= GABRIELLE!!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[Buck]

Forza! Forza! Gabby!