Invest 90L SE GOM: Discussions & Images
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- Matt-hurricanewatcher
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL) - Discussions and Analyses
This was the last system I expected to get 90L. WOW
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- canetracker
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL) - Discussions and Analyses
Wow!!! Agree Matt. This is the last thing I expected tonight too. What a change of events.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL) - Discussions and Analyses
I thought it was going to be the eastern Atlantic wave.
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- canetracker
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:I find really interesting the way the NHC has talked so far about the possible future of this system and it's designated as an invest. Maybe I missed something along the way!!!
According the TWO, they did not seem to think conditions were favorable. Very interesting indeed.
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- srainhoutx
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL) - Discussions and Analyses
Watching area roughly 25N 87W as per IR CH2 Loop...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html
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- cycloneye
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL) - Discussions and Analyses
TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0322 UTC SUN SEP 9 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902007) 20070909 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070909 0000 070909 1200 070910 0000 070910 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 23.5N 86.5W 24.1N 88.2W 24.8N 90.0W 25.7N 92.1W
BAMD 23.5N 86.5W 23.5N 87.8W 23.8N 89.5W 24.3N 91.3W
BAMM 23.5N 86.5W 23.9N 88.0W 24.3N 89.8W 24.9N 91.8W
LBAR 23.5N 86.5W 23.6N 87.6W 24.4N 89.0W 25.2N 90.6W
SHIP 20KTS 24KTS 30KTS 35KTS
DSHP 20KTS 24KTS 30KTS 35KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070911 0000 070912 0000 070913 0000 070914 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 26.4N 93.9W 27.3N 96.4W 27.6N 97.7W 28.5N 99.1W
BAMD 24.9N 93.3W 25.9N 96.2W 27.3N 97.1W 31.2N 93.2W
BAMM 25.7N 93.7W 26.7N 96.4W 27.7N 97.1W 29.8N 96.1W
LBAR 26.4N 92.0W 29.2N 93.4W 33.1N 90.1W 39.8N 79.5W
SHIP 41KTS 55KTS 61KTS 61KTS
DSHP 41KTS 55KTS 61KTS 32KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.5N LONCUR = 86.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 2KT
LATM12 = 23.5N LONM12 = 86.0W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 2KT
LATM24 = 23.5N LONM24 = 85.5W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
0322 UTC SUN SEP 9 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902007) 20070909 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070909 0000 070909 1200 070910 0000 070910 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 23.5N 86.5W 24.1N 88.2W 24.8N 90.0W 25.7N 92.1W
BAMD 23.5N 86.5W 23.5N 87.8W 23.8N 89.5W 24.3N 91.3W
BAMM 23.5N 86.5W 23.9N 88.0W 24.3N 89.8W 24.9N 91.8W
LBAR 23.5N 86.5W 23.6N 87.6W 24.4N 89.0W 25.2N 90.6W
SHIP 20KTS 24KTS 30KTS 35KTS
DSHP 20KTS 24KTS 30KTS 35KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070911 0000 070912 0000 070913 0000 070914 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 26.4N 93.9W 27.3N 96.4W 27.6N 97.7W 28.5N 99.1W
BAMD 24.9N 93.3W 25.9N 96.2W 27.3N 97.1W 31.2N 93.2W
BAMM 25.7N 93.7W 26.7N 96.4W 27.7N 97.1W 29.8N 96.1W
LBAR 26.4N 92.0W 29.2N 93.4W 33.1N 90.1W 39.8N 79.5W
SHIP 41KTS 55KTS 61KTS 61KTS
DSHP 41KTS 55KTS 61KTS 32KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.5N LONCUR = 86.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 2KT
LATM12 = 23.5N LONM12 = 86.0W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 2KT
LATM24 = 23.5N LONM24 = 85.5W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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- cycloneye
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL)-Discussions and Analyses
Well,then the CV wave will be 91L,unless they tag too the wave close to the Leewards. Interesting right?
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL)-Discussions and Analyses
Local mets have talked about this possibility for a few days.
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- canetracker
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL)-Discussions and Analyses
As I posted earlier in the GOM thread, their area of initiation is in the loop current. It will be interesting to watch for possible future development.
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- srainhoutx
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL)-Discussions and Analyses
Had a feeling after 12z CMC sniffed this out that an Invest would have to follow.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
Last edited by srainhoutx on Sat Sep 08, 2007 10:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL)-Discussions and Analyses
Okay so where is this most likely to go if it does develop?
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- Matt-hurricanewatcher
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL)-Discussions and Analyses
I don't think this will develop because of the high shear. Don't trust the ship it shows it has a developed system. That is the way it see's it.
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- chadtm80
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Re: Invest 90L (ATL)-Discussions and Analyses
Stormcenter wrote:Okay so where is this most likely to go if it does develop?
I posted the model map
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