Tropical Depression GABRIELLE:Discussions and Images

[Thunder44]

Latest vortex fix shows center has relocated further SW of NHC 5am position and forecast track. The center will have turn NE from where it is to miss the Outer Banks now:

[superfly]

So, guys, what ever happened to our hurricane that was expected to hit the Outer Banks on Sunday?

Gabrielle was never forecast to become a hurricane, or even close to one for that matter.

[UpTheCreek]

So, guys, what ever happened to our hurricane that was expected to hit the Outer Banks on Sunday?

A pretty strong storm is going to go through the OBX this afternoon, I wouldn't let my guard down if I were you!

[dizzyfish]

Avalon Pier cam. For your viewing pleasure.

http://www.avalonpier.com/piercam.html

[vacanechaser]

Mark started a thread last night, or early this morning... for those who may not have seen the thread, here is his post...

I thought I would post a new thread on this topic. Jesse Bass and I have set up a 10-meter wind tower with a web cam at Hatteras at the US Coast Guard there. It is awesome. Check it out here:

http://www.hurricanelivenet.com/wind

Be sure to click on the wind data arhive to see the wind over the course of the day from now through tomorrow.

I forgot to put the rain bucket in the trailer- so no rain data

But, we have excellent, reliable wind data along with pressure, temp, dewpoint and humidity.

It took a while to get stuff set up since it was dark and we were dodging rain. Glad we can contribute to the science some and not just be out here farting around in the wind and rain....hopefully we can perfect our methods and really nab some great data in the future.

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[storms in NC]

live cam at EMERALD ISLE

http://www.bogueinletpier.com/new_page_1.htm

[Tom8]

is moving to the SW
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/tropicalwx/ ... v_loop.php

[storms in NC]

is moving to the SE
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/tropicalwx/ ... v_loop.php

No it is going North you need too look ar the Vloop not WV

[storms in NC]

WOW when it is not like a dean or Felix I guess it is not worth watching. Every one a sleep. 12 members and 34 guess

[Tom8]

yes on the visible loop it is going north

[canetracker]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
Storms in NC, not just visible, but even water vapor supports Gabby's movement to the North. Sure looks like it will clip you all on the coast. Stay safe.

[cycloneye]

At 8 AM=50 mph.

[seahawkjd]

According to the 8am advisory, moving NNW at 10, 50 mph winds, still gaining some strength, 30 miles SSE of Cape Lookout

[Tom8]

in my opinion it can go this way

[storms in NC]

It hasn't moved since I got up at 6:30. still in same spot.

[storms in NC]

in my opinion it can go this way

Give reason for this.

[Tom8]

It hasn't moved since I got up at 6:30. still in same spot.

yes it is good obserwation that it can also stand for a whole day in the same place .

reson for this that it can move to the SW is obserwation of this loop

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ge_14km_wv

But I cant be sure about this becouse visible obserwation of clouds near the center are that clouds are moving definitly north

so it is posible the reason why it stand in the same place all the time

[HURAKAN]

Latest:





It seems now the shear is coming from the north as most of the convection is displaced to the south of the circulation. Yesterday it was to the north.

[superfly]

So, guys, what ever happened to our hurricane that was expected to hit the Outer Banks on Sunday?

Gabrielle was never forecast to become a hurricane, or even close to one for that matter.

Everyone said oh-my-god hurriGabby will hit NC as a hurricane on Tue/Wed even before it formed...

First advisory from NHC forecasted nowhere near hurricane strength, in fact they appear to have been right on, near 45-50 kts at landfall:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 08/0300Z 30.4N 72.2W 40 KT...SUBTROPICAL
12HR VT 08/1200Z 31.1N 73.7W 40 KT...SUBTROPICAL
24HR VT 09/0000Z 32.3N 75.5W 40 KT...SUBTROPICAL
36HR VT 09/1200Z 33.5N 76.8W 45 KT...TROPICAL
48HR VT 10/0000Z 35.0N 76.6W 50 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 11/0000Z 37.5N 73.5W 40 KT...OVER WATER
96HR VT 12/0000Z 40.5N 67.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 13/0000Z 43.0N 58.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS

[storms in NC]

Okay from thoes you can see it moving. the floater are not new.