Post-92L: Computer Models

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Meso
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#21 Postby Meso » Sun Sep 09, 2007 5:41 pm

Ah.I also get the words "image" for some sites.But usually it works for me when I click "view image" weird.I wouldn't normally mind,but in South Africa,we have 3 gig internet usage a month.Any data sent and received,so even just uploading and viewing images uses more data.It's really horrible.And I try to keep the image count down,but hrm,wonder why the sites don't work for some.Maybe an ISP issue.Not sure.It is rather annoying some times,but yeah,seems I've have the easiest way out of it.
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Re:

#22 Postby southerngale » Sun Sep 09, 2007 6:03 pm

Meso wrote:Ah.I also get the words "image" for some sites.But usually it works for me when I click "view image" weird.I wouldn't normally mind,but in South Africa,we have 3 gig internet usage a month.Any data sent and received,so even just uploading and viewing images uses more data.It's really horrible.And I try to keep the image count down,but hrm,wonder why the sites don't work for some.Maybe an ISP issue.Not sure.It is rather annoying some times,but yeah,seems I've have the easiest way out of it.

Ok, I see. I didn't realize that about your internet in SA. We don't have that issue over here, so hopefully someone else will won't mind uploading the model maps.

When I get the word "Image" on posts other than sfwmd.com, I can also get them to open by doing that, or simply clicking edit on the post (not editing anything) and then just hitting the back button. But when other sites hotlink to the sfwmd site, it doesn't show up either. At first I thought it was a RoadRunner in Texas issue as a few Texans with RR were affected, until others posted they can't see it, who either don't have RR, or live in another state. If it wasn't the most popular one posted here, it probably wouldn't be so annoying. I want all of us to be able to see what most everyone else sees when making comments about the map, so that's why I've asked several times if someone didn't mind uploading it. I'm probably getting on people's nerves by now... :oops:
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Re: 92L: Global & BAM Models

#23 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 09, 2007 7:02 pm

Just use this site:

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/

Click "North Atlantic Early Track Guidance" Frame 1.
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Re: 92L: Global & BAM Models

#24 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 09, 2007 7:34 pm

WHXX01 KWBC 100018
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0018 UTC MON SEP 10 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922007) 20070910 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070910 0000 070910 1200 070911 0000 070911 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.4N 58.4W 19.2N 61.4W 20.3N 64.4W 21.7N 67.6W
BAMD 18.4N 58.4W 19.4N 60.8W 20.6N 63.1W 21.6N 65.3W
BAMM 18.4N 58.4W 19.3N 61.1W 20.3N 63.8W 21.2N 66.6W
LBAR 18.4N 58.4W 19.2N 60.5W 20.4N 62.9W 21.6N 65.0W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 36KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 36KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070912 0000 070913 0000 070914 0000 070915 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 23.2N 70.2W 26.6N 74.1W 29.2N 75.7W 31.1N 76.8W
BAMD 22.6N 67.3W 24.0N 70.6W 24.1N 73.8W 23.2N 77.8W
BAMM 22.3N 69.3W 24.7N 74.1W 26.9N 77.3W 28.4N 79.5W
LBAR 22.9N 66.7W 25.5N 68.4W 26.3N 68.8W 25.2N 71.5W
SHIP 42KTS 54KTS 65KTS 70KTS
DSHP 42KTS 54KTS 65KTS 70KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.4N LONCUR = 58.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 18.2N LONM12 = 56.2W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 17.9N LONM24 = 54.5W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM



SHIP still forecasts a hurricane from this.
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attallaman

Re: Re:

#25 Postby attallaman » Sun Sep 09, 2007 9:57 pm

southerngale wrote:
Meso wrote:Southerngale : The reason I don't upload to another site is simply because then every time a new model is updated and added you need to upload a new image so you sit with stacks of images.And I know I don't have the bandwidth to waste on such with a 3 gig cap.And if someone sees "image" you can just right click on the word image and go "view image".

Well, you could delete them off your computer after they've been uploaded. :)

And no, I can't just right click on the word image and view it. The site doesn't work for me (as well as some others... seems to mostly affect Texans, but not all Texans and some from other states as well...it's strange). I have the link... it just won't open. I get the message you would get if the site didn't exist at all... with both Firefox and IE, and on all my computers. It's a pain in the butt, but a quick upload through Imageshack solves the problem for all of us. Plus, when new model runs come out, you can compare it to the old ones with just a quick glance. By hotlinking, it changes the image every time it's posted within the thread.

But if it's too much trouble, don't worry about it. Hopefully, someone will take a minute to do it. If not, I'll just keep on looking at several other model maps to see all the ones posted on that graphic.

I had no problems viewing the site last year, so I don't know what the problem is this year, but it's quite annoying.
I can see those images with no problem.
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 10, 2007 4:56 am

975
WHXX01 KWBC 100616
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0616 UTC MON SEP 10 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922007) 20070910 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070910 0600 070910 1800 070911 0600 070911 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.4N 59.5W 19.3N 62.4W 20.5N 65.5W 22.0N 68.5W
BAMD 18.4N 59.5W 19.4N 61.9W 20.5N 64.3W 21.6N 66.5W
BAMM 18.4N 59.5W 19.4N 62.1W 20.3N 64.7W 21.5N 67.5W
LBAR 18.4N 59.5W 19.0N 61.5W 20.1N 63.8W 21.2N 66.0W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 36KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 36KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070912 0600 070913 0600 070914 0600 070915 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 23.3N 71.1W 26.4N 75.0W 28.7N 77.3W 30.8N 78.3W
BAMD 22.6N 68.6W 23.8N 72.0W 23.9N 75.4W 23.2N 79.5W
BAMM 22.5N 70.0W 24.6N 74.6W 26.3N 78.2W 27.7N 80.9W
LBAR 22.7N 67.8W 25.2N 70.0W 26.2N 71.4W 25.3N 74.5W
SHIP 42KTS 53KTS 63KTS 69KTS
DSHP 42KTS 53KTS 63KTS 50KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.4N LONCUR = 59.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 18.3N LONM12 = 57.3W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 18.1N LONM24 = 55.4W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN
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Re: 92L: Global & BAM Models

#27 Postby Nimbus » Mon Sep 10, 2007 5:34 am

You can still see the low level clouds rotating but no convection over where the center should be at D max. NHC usually waits till there is 24 hours of persistant convection before declaring an invest. Either there is low pressure with this wave that will refire or the NHC jumped the gun.
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Re: 92L: Global & BAM Models

#28 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Sep 10, 2007 5:51 am

Nimbus wrote:You can still see the low level clouds rotating but no convection over where the center should be at D max. NHC usually waits till there is 24 hours of persistant convection before declaring an invest. Either there is low pressure with this wave that will refire or the NHC jumped the gun.


yesterday afternoon there were some predicting an "event" for south florida, luckily cooler heads prevailed and i kept the shutters in the garage.
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Rainband

Re: 92L: Global & BAM Models

#29 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 10, 2007 10:07 am

Shutters??? This thing is days ahead from any part of the US :lol:
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