Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[weatherrabbit_tx]

by the dopplar, this thing is ramping fairly quickly, wow!

[bbadon]

Are we beginning to see a center reformation on radar? pro mets?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

On the way now. Obs were delayed for some reason, but they are on their way now.

[Tireman4]

From your lips to God's ears......Houston traffic+rain=Nightmare

[dwg71]

Are we beginning to see a center reformation on radar? pro mets?

I think it just broadening the circulation. It appears to be closer and closer to the coast. I dont know if they will have time to upgrade if they wait until 4PM it would have to be earlier in my opinion.

[KWT]

298
URNT15 KNHC 121732
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 05 20070912
171300 3010N 08921W 6228 04139 0150 +021 +000 265006 006 031 000 00
171330 3009N 08923W 6082 04330 0135 +015 +000 282005 005 032 000 00
171400 3008N 08925W 5940 04483 0091 +009 +000 242004 005 066 008 00
171430 3007N 08927W 5800 04675 0087 +000 +000 242005 006 063 004 00
171500 3006N 08929W 5664 04871 0093 -013 -013 259005 005 034 000 00
171530 3005N 08931W 5531 05067 0108 -028 -028 260005 005 039 000 00
171600 3004N 08933W 5401 05258 0262 -041 -041 245005 006 035 000 00
171630 3003N 08935W 5274 05448 0272 -053 -053 240005 006 037 000 00
171700 3002N 08937W 5155 05625 0280 -051 -051 237003 004 038 000 03
171730 3002N 08939W 5043 05801 0290 -061 -061 300003 003 036 000 03
171800 3001N 08940W 5046 05797 0295 -060 -060 306004 004 042 000 00
171830 3000N 08942W 5057 05794 0304 -062 -062 304002 003 044 000 00
171900 2959N 08944W 5057 05801 0310 -062 -062 311002 002 042 000 00
171930 2958N 08947W 5054 05809 0314 -060 -060 299003 003 049 000 00
172000 2957N 08949W 5054 05811 0315 -060 -060 295003 003 113 000 00
172030 2955N 08951W 5056 05783 0297 -057 -057 286003 003 999 999 03
172100 2954N 08953W 5057 05824 0310 -056 -056 279002 002 999 999 03
172130 2953N 08956W 5055 05834 0338 -055 -055 277002 002 999 999 03
172200 2952N 08958W 5057 05814 0317 -053 -053 283001 001 999 999 03
172230 2951N 09001W 5057 05828 0315 -055 -055 202000 001 999 999 03
$$

[KatDaddy]

I am getting out of downtown and back to League City early today. I am going to see a little more wind and rain than I expected.

[Stratosphere747]

At 17:03:00Z (first observation), the observation was 9 miles (15 km) to the E (82°) from Gulfport, MS, USA.
At 17:12:30Z (last observation), the observation was 21 miles (34 km) to the SW (224°) from Gulfport, MS, USA.

[southerngale]

For the sake of my own sanity (I've never lived on the coast during season before) I'm heading home now to spend the afternoon with my wife and avoid the probable craziness that will be this afternoon in Houston traffic. This could get really ugly IMO.

mattpetre
Tropical Depression
Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:20 pm
Posts: 84
Location: Birmingham


Are you in Birmingham or Houston?

[Lowpressure]

If RECON continues to sit on the runway the storm will eventually come to them!

If that were the case, flight level winds taken at 18 feet!!

[miamicanes177]

The recon missions have had so many problems this year it is amazing.

[BigA]

Given that the center of this system is toward the southern part (but certainly not removed from) the circular green center on radar http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 11&loop=no I'd predict, with the standard disclaimer, that TD9 will come ashore as a Tropical storm later this evening, unless it stalls offshore, or turns northeast.

This seems like one of those "good things it didn't have another 12-24 hours over water" type storms.

[windstorm99]

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
100 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS
TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF CAMERON TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 145
MILES...235 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO SHOULD BE
CROSSING THE TEXAS COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE EARLIER AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RETURNED TO BASE FOR MECHANICAL
REASONS...BUT A SECOND AIRCRAFT IS EXPECTED TO REACH HUMBERTO
WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...28.3 N...95.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[miamicanes177]

NHC says TS:

Repeating the 100 PM CDT position...28.3 N...95.1 W. Movement
toward...north near 6 mph. Maximum sustained winds...45 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1005 mb.
$$
Forecaster Franklin

[Chacor]

THE EARLIER AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RETURNED TO BASE FOR MECHANICAL
REASONS...BUT A SECOND AIRCRAFT IS EXPECTED TO REACH HUMBERTO
WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO.

[gboudx]

I am getting out of downtown and back to League City early today. I am going to see a little more wind and rain than I expected.

Now that it's Humberto, will the local ISD's start letting kids out early?

[windstorm99]

[Chacor]

THE EARLIER AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RETURNED TO BASE FOR MECHANICAL
REASONS...BUT A SECOND AIRCRAFT IS EXPECTED TO REACH HUMBERTO
WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO.

[Andrew92]

Not trying to sound alarms, but WHAT is that yellow curly-cue around the center? Is an eyewall forming?

-Andrew92

[HollynLA]

Speaking of pro mets, where are they today? Haven't seen much info from them today on Humberto?