Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[gboudx]

HUMBERTO?

Yeah, NHC advisory just came out. Check one of the other threads.

[HollynLA]

Not trying to sound alarms, but WHAT is that yellow curly-cue around the center? Is an eyewall forming?

-Andrew92

It does look like much more than a 45 mph storm to me too. I'd swear it was VERY close to hurricane status just by it's presentation. I guess we'll see when recon gets there.

[BigA]

Without any desire to cause alarm, I would say that if the storm only moves north at 6, or turns a little northeast, it might have about 10 hours before its center crosses the coast. This has the potential to be a pretty strong TS by the time it gets to the coast.

Ive noticed that on radar, it looks like it is hauling to the north, but what I see is that the storms north of the center are expanding; the center is only slowly moving.

[KWT]

Well its not really that surprsiing that they upgraded TD9 based on its current strengthening apperence on both Sat and radar. Recon will probably not find it to hard to find winds high enough to justify 45mph, may even find winds high enough to up it to 50mph, though I'm not sure if its quite that well devloped yet.

[Stratosphere747]

Speaking of pro mets, where are they today? Haven't seen much info from them today on Humberto?

Real paying jobs require a bit more presence with Humberto. I'm sure their time is limited today...

[vbhoutex]

Not trying to sound alarms, but WHAT is that yellow curly-cue around the center? Is an eyewall forming?

-Andrew92

No it is not an "eyewall". It is the convection wrapping around the center. TS Humberto is not strong enough to develop and "eyewall"-ie for us to see some sort of stadium effect eye like we see in strong TC's.

[CajunMama]

Speaking of pro mets, where are they today? Haven't seen much info from them today on Humberto?

Real paying jobs require a bit more presence with Humberto. I'm sure their time is limited today...

especially with wxman57 being in houston!

[tolakram]

We've seen some rapid intensification this year and looking at the radar image Humberto looks to be another candidate. What is the record for intensification of a storm so close to land? Could this thing become more than a strong tropical storm / minimal hurricane?

[HollynLA]

Speaking of pro mets, where are they today? Haven't seen much info from them today on Humberto?

Real paying jobs require a bit more presence with Humberto. I'm sure their time is limited today...

especially with wxman57 being in houston!

Oh you're right, I completely forgot that he is in Houston.

[Stratosphere747]

Yes CM. Along with AFM, I'm sure things have ramped up quite quickly at work over the last few hours.

[windstorm99]

Close-up radar view of Humberto...

[KWT]

Pro Mets are probably actually doing their real jobs now, esp the ones concerned with the part of the states its effecting right now!

Even though the winds are ramping up the amount of rainfall still seems to be the biggest threat right now with this system, esp given the convection is wrapping quite nicely now around the northern side and also given its slow northward motion.

[Cape Verde]

Holy crap! They weren't even discussing the possibility of this on the local Houston news channels this morning.

The last time we were caught offguard like this, it was Allison, and that storm ruined the city and killed a bunch of people.

I'll bet at least 90% of Houston is unaware that it's going to get a tropical storm in a few hours.

[opera ghost]

We've seen some rapid intensification this year and looking at the radar image Humberto looks to be another candidate. What is the record for intensification of a storm so close to land? Could this thing become more than a strong tropical storm / minimal hurricane?

Not really. Cat1 at the VERY worst. there's simply not enough time over water for anything more- no matter how rapid the intensification. Even if it bombed out (which it is not currently doing) I'd expect at worst a strong Cat 1.

As it is a strong TS or a very weak Cat1- but I'm not going to put any money on a cat1 strong OR weak. I'm all in for a strong TS.

[jasons2k]

Time to start doing center fixes:

[Andrew92]

Not trying to sound alarms, but WHAT is that yellow curly-cue around the center? Is an eyewall forming?

-Andrew92

No it is not an "eyewall". It is the convection wrapping around the center. TS Humberto is not strong enough to develop and "eyewall"-ie for us to see some sort of stadium effect eye like we see in strong TC's.

Thanks David. I don't mean to sound any alarms with this storm by any means, especially considering I don't live in hurricane territory. I'm just simply trying to learn and this storm has really captured my interest because it has developed (and is continuing to develop) so quickly.

Stay safe too!

-Andrew92

P.S. Upon posting this, I see a couple new radar images. I now understand what you're talking about a little more.

[deltadog03]

I think this **may give it a go to a weak hurricane***

[KWT]

I think this system is dragging in too much fairly dry air (well its all relative I suppose!) for it too rapidly develop IMO, it is organising though and can't rule out anywhere between 55-65mph though I think its probably too close to the shore to get much above that and tuime is probably against it as well.

[dwg71]

Is the center trying to relocate to the ENE of teh current center???

[Buck]

This definitely is getting it's act together. I could see it reaching minimal hurricane status or possibly pulling a Gaston and being reclassified. I hope all our people in Texas stay safe with all this rainfall coming in. Send some of it to Georgia, we need it bad!