Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[JessRomero]

I am in the Golden Triangle area and we can't handle much more rain we r soaked. This morning it rained so hard the my drainage ditch behind my house was over the top full and it is always dry. How much rain r we expecting here cause I am worried that we can't handle the rain or we will flood fast nothing is able soak up anymore water. How bad should I expect it to get?

[dwg71]

A nasty squall is coming ashore the Brazoria County coast. I wonder what the winds in it are.

The more the storm moves NE instead of N, the more time it will have over water. Looks sort of NNE to me now.

Storms arent holding together as they come ashore. The squall line in south brazoria county will only affect immediate coast.

[dwg71]

I am in the Golden Triangle area and we can't handle much more rain we r soaked. This morning it rained so hard the my drainage ditch behind my house was over the top full and it is always dry. How much rain r we expecting here cause I am worried that we can't handle the rain or we will flood fast nothing is able soak up anymore water. How bad should I expect it to get?

5 - 10 inches would be my guess for your area.

[HurricaneBelle]

The answer to the looping-back-and-hitting-the-same-place-twice question is Easy, although Homossasa Springs and Cedar Key are maybe about 20 miles apart.

[PTrackerLA]

Looking at the radar, south central LA is about to get nailed by heavy squalls moving onshore. Alot of the focus has been on Texas but I'm starting become concerned about a major flooding event unfolding in Louisiana as well.

[BigA]

The answer to the looping-back-and-hitting-the-same-place-twice question is Easy, although Homossasa Springs and Cedar Key are maybe about 20 miles apart.

Thank you HurricaneBelle! Hard question, easy answer...groan.

Humbeto really doesnt look like its in any hurry to get onshore. Should be interesting to see how much/if it strengthens in the next 6-12 hours.

Why cant rain fall in the places where it is needed?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 122023
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 23 20070912
201300 2827N 09458W 8434 01506 0048 +144 +000 292016 019 036 013 03
201330 2828N 09457W 8426 01512 0029 +166 +000 320013 014 029 006 03
201400 2830N 09456W 8436 01497 0011 +181 +000 348010 013 029 003 03
201430 2831N 09455W 8427 01501 0001 +186 +000 126005 008 015 001 03
201500 2831N 09453W 8427 01497 0000 +187 +000 169017 021 011 000 03
201530 2831N 09451W 8426 01505 0009 +184 +000 165029 036 039 001 03
201600 2833N 09450W 8428 01513 0024 +178 +000 156039 041 040 001 03
201630 2834N 09449W 8426 01527 0051 +155 +000 149039 040 037 002 00
201700 2836N 09448W 8432 01524 0056 +160 +000 144038 038 032 003 00
201730 2837N 09447W 8425 01540 0062 +160 +000 141041 045 034 003 00
201800 2839N 09446W 8434 01534 0063 +166 +000 149042 044 037 002 00
201830 2840N 09445W 8423 01551 0068 +172 +000 148039 040 039 002 00
201900 2842N 09443W 8428 01551 0072 +172 +000 149037 038 039 002 00
201930 2843N 09442W 8430 01553 0078 +168 +000 150037 038 040 002 00
202000 2844N 09440W 8431 01557 0082 +166 +000 146036 038 040 001 00
202030 2845N 09439W 8424 01562 0085 +166 +000 148035 036 040 001 00
202100 2846N 09438W 8428 01562 0089 +164 +000 144033 034 038 003 00
202130 2846N 09438W 8428 01562 0090 +164 +000 145034 034 035 005 00
202200 2849N 09435W 8430 01562 0093 +164 +000 146035 036 034 006 00
202230 2850N 09434W 8427 01569 0098 +159 +000 144037 037 033 007 00

30 second flight level sustained wind: 42 knots
10 second peak flight level wind: 45 knots

SFMR surface wind: 40 knots
Higher SFMR surface wind has occurred, but it was barely raining for this ob.

---

URNT12 KNHC 122026
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 12/20:14:30Z
B. 28 deg 31 min N
094 deg 55 min W
C. NA mb 1428 m
D. 43 kt
E. 159 deg 036 nm
F. 237 deg 036 kt
G. 167 deg 025 nm
H. 999 mb
I. 18 C/ 1524 m
J. 19 C/ 1519 m
K. 19 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / NA nm
P. AF306 0209A CYCLONE OB 12
MAX FL WIND 38 KT S QUAD 18:26:20 Z
RADAR DEPICTS BANDING EYEWALL FORMING

[JessRomero]

Hey if you want the rain u can have it lol I DON'T need it not anymore than we have had i am 5 minuted from port arthur and I am concerned about when it is hitting in the middle of the night is not safe. I guess I might be pulling a all nighter watching how much rain is falling and how my yard will handle it.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Looks very impressive on radar! I wonder what the 5pm intensity will be?

[dwg71]

Looks very impressive on radar! I wonder what the 5pm intensity will be?

center seems to be infected with dry air, I say 40Kts.

[Windsurfer_NYC]

774
URNT12 KNHC 122026
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 12/20:14:30Z
B. 28 deg 31 min N
094 deg 55 min W
C. NA mb 1428 m
D. 43 kt
E. 159 deg 036 nm
F. 237 deg 036 kt
G. 167 deg 025 nm
H. 999 mb
I. 18 C/ 1524 m
J. 19 C/ 1519 m
K. 19 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / NA nm
P. AF306 0209A CYCLONE OB 12
MAX FL WIND 38 KT S QUAD 18:26:20 Z
RADAR DEPICTS BANDING EYEWALL FORMING

[chadtm80]

MAX FL WIND 38 KT S QUAD 18:26:20 Z
RADAR DEPICTS BANDING EYEWALL FORMING

[Extremeweatherguy]

banding eyewall forming?! Could this become a Cat. 1 before landfall?

[Brent]

:eek:

774
URNT12 KNHC 122026
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 12/20:14:30Z
B. 28 deg 31 min N
094 deg 55 min W
C. NA mb 1428 m
D. 43 kt
E. 159 deg 036 nm
F. 237 deg 036 kt
G. 167 deg 025 nm
H. 999 mb
I. 18 C/ 1524 m
J. 19 C/ 1519 m
K. 19 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / NA nm
P. AF306 0209A CYCLONE OB 12
MAX FL WIND 38 KT S QUAD 18:26:20 Z
RADAR DEPICTS BANDING EYEWALL FORMING

Yikes! Hurricane Humberto here we come?

[PTrackerLA]

999 yikes, I bet we see winds rise to 60mph or so next advisory.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT15 KNHC 122033
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 24 20070912
202300 2851N 09432W 8426 01569 0102 +155 +000 144036 037 034 008 00
202330 2852N 09431W 8430 01569 0101 +160 +000 145039 040 035 008 00
202400 2853N 09429W 8423 01576 0111 +147 +000 151035 037 052 027 00
202430 2854N 09428W 8446 01551 0120 +133 +000 141036 037 053 039 00
202500 2856N 09427W 8412 01591 0114 +146 +000 139034 035 039 019 00
202530 2857N 09425W 8433 01572 0111 +156 +000 135033 034 034 007 00
202600 2858N 09424W 8435 01571 0111 +158 +000 137033 034 033 004 00
202630 2859N 09423W 8426 01581 0112 +162 +000 141032 033 031 004 00
202700 2900N 09421W 8423 01584 0114 +161 +000 145033 033 028 001 00
202730 2901N 09420W 8425 01584 0118 +156 +000 147033 033 029 000 00
202800 2903N 09418W 8427 01584 0119 +157 +000 147031 032 027 000 00
202830 2904N 09417W 8430 01582 0122 +158 +000 147029 030 026 000 00
202900 2905N 09416W 8426 01588 0122 +155 +000 149028 028 025 000 00
202930 2906N 09414W 8428 01586 0123 +158 +000 149028 028 028 000 00
203000 2907N 09413W 8430 01586 0124 +159 +000 153027 027 025 000 00
203030 2908N 09411W 8428 01588 0125 +157 +000 153025 026 024 000 00
203100 2910N 09410W 8430 01586 0126 +155 +000 154024 025 027 000 00
203130 2911N 09409W 8427 01589 0125 +156 +000 154025 025 028 000 00
203200 2912N 09407W 8420 01599 0126 +161 +000 154023 024 999 999 03
203230 2914N 09408W 8431 01587 0128 +159 +000 149023 023 999 999 03

39 knots 30 second sustained, 40 knot peak 10 second gust
SFMR was in heavy rain, 53 knots

[jasons2k]

It has wobbled slightly NW in the last few frames, so overall, the movement has been straight towards Galveston since I placed my marker this morning:

[KFDM Meteorologist]

It has wobbled slightly NW in the last few frames, so overall, the movement has been straight towards Galveston since I placed my marker this morning:

I've noticed that as well.

[Extremeweatherguy]

It is hard to believe that last night most of us (including myself) started to think this would not amount to much...and now here we are (less than 24 hours later) looking at a strong TS in the making..possibly even trying to become a weak hurricane.

[Johnny]

So much for 40 kts.