Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[drezee]

radar green is turning yellow fast

seems to going the wrong way

[fasterdisaster]

Am I the only one who can CLEARLY see an eye?

More like a break in the clouds and not an eye.

Typo, sorry, I meant to say an eye 'forming.' A break in the clouds with that kind of convection around it is the first sign of an eyewall forming in my experience.

[Yankeegirl]

Well it looks like its going to go more into far East Texas for a landfall, from what FOX is saying... I live in West Harris County, I dont expect too much.... Then again there all some other models that have it going in a little West of Galveston, in that case I would get more rain...It doesnt look like its going anywhere anytime fast... any thoughts on where it might go and what I might get outta it?

[PhillyWX]

This is about a 3 and a half hour loop. Gives you a much better idea about movement.


http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... rainsnow=0

Although the last few frame give the impression of a west or northwest jog. Hard to tell for sure though. Recon fixes indicate a NNE movement though.

great loop thank you.
almost stationary. I believe it going north, with wobbles that look like it is moving east or sometimes even west but they are just wobbles

I would agree with this. The overall trend is just right of due north but it's like 5 degrees right of 0, if that.

[mattpetre]

Why does the Quikscat keep missing this? I really wanted to verify it a little on this storm as I thought there was circulation a day or two ago, long before it saw anything... ugh.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 122213
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 34 20070912
220300 2911N 09327W 8426 01596 0130 +160 +000 150023 023 015 000 00
220330 2913N 09327W 8427 01594 0130 +160 +000 149023 023 016 000 00
220400 2914N 09326W 8426 01593 0129 +160 +000 149022 023 022 000 00
220430 2916N 09326W 8428 01592 0130 +160 +000 149023 023 017 000 00
220500 2918N 09326W 8428 01596 0131 +156 +000 151023 023 017 000 03
220530 2919N 09328W 8424 01596 0130 +156 +000 148022 023 020 000 03
220600 2920N 09330W 8430 01592 0131 +160 +000 145023 023 025 000 03
220630 2921N 09331W 8427 01594 0130 +160 +000 144023 023 022 000 00
220700 2921N 09333W 8428 01591 0129 +160 +000 140023 023 021 000 00
220730 2921N 09335W 8426 01593 0130 +160 +000 138022 023 021 000 00
220800 2922N 09337W 8428 01593 0128 +161 +000 140023 023 023 000 00
220830 2922N 09339W 8428 01590 0127 +165 +000 143023 023 024 000 00
220900 2923N 09341W 8427 01595 0127 +164 +000 142023 023 025 000 00
220930 2923N 09343W 8430 01591 0129 +159 +000 142022 023 026 000 00
221000 2924N 09345W 8427 01591 0128 +160 +000 142022 022 026 000 00
221030 2924N 09347W 8427 01591 0127 +160 +000 144022 023 027 000 00
221100 2925N 09349W 8427 01591 0124 +161 +000 144023 023 026 000 00
221130 2925N 09351W 8428 01588 0126 +160 +000 140023 024 032 000 00
221200 2926N 09353W 8428 01589 0126 +160 +000 141024 025 028 000 00
221230 2926N 09355W 8428 01592 0126 +159 +000 139024 024 026 000 00
$$

[GalvestonDuck]

You can say Galveston Island will be the landfall point, but it's a pretty wide target. For those saying Galveston, do you have a more specific thought -- Galveston (as in the city on the east end), Jamaica Beach, or San Luis Pass?

[mattpetre]

You can say Galveston Island will be the landfall point, but it's a pretty wide target. For those saying Galveston, do you have a more specific thought -- Galveston (as in the city on the east end), Jamaica Beach, or San Luis Pass?

I still say a little west of Galveson proper (about 10 miles or less).

OK, wait... I just checked the latest radar loop, looks to be heading NE now... maybe just E. of Galveston. Hard to say at this point. 90L has defied most everything up to this point.

[deltadog03]

last hour and a half I seem to calculate a 6.0 nm speed and movement around 40-50 degrees. Now, this is solely based by the radar. (via GRlevel2)

[skysummit]

A closeup of the loopty-loops...

[fasterdisaster]

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... ightning=0

Shows the eyewall tightening around the center, and the NNE movement CLEARLY continuing, at least if radar can give us accuracy.

[skysummit]

Ooops....made my post in the wrong thread.

A closeup of the loopty-loops...

[feederband]

Showing it here as well...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[MGC]

Humberto has sprang to life quickly today. This has been one fast developer. Looks like Humberto has slowed to a crawl per the Houston radar loop. Humberto continues to become better organized late this afternoon. Hopefully he will move onshore soon. If Humberto does linger off shore I see a real possiblility that Humberto could reach hurricane intensity.....only if he stalls off shore though. Worst case I could possible see is a stall tonight and then a slow NE or ENE drift allowing additional time to intensify. I doubt this happens though. Looks like western Louisiana and eastern Texas are gonna get quite a bit of rain tonight. If Humberto stalls or moves very slowly once onshore it could be a disasterous flood event. Ya'll stay safe over there and don't drive on any flooded roads....MGC

[Extremeweatherguy]

You can say Galveston Island will be the landfall point, but it's a pretty wide target. For those saying Galveston, do you have a more specific thought -- Galveston (as in the city on the east end), Jamaica Beach, or San Luis Pass?

I still say a little west of Galveson proper (about 10 miles or less).

OK, wait... I just checked the latest radar loop, looks to be heading NE now... maybe just E. of Galveston. Hard to say at this point. 90L has defied most everything up to this point.

It is not moving NE. What happened was that earlier I think we were looking at a false center on radar. This new "hole" that is opening in the storm though (on the latest radar images) is probably the real center and it is just SE of the false one we saw earlier. It still looks to be heading NNE though and it will probably go right up Galveston Bay.

[opera ghost]

Thank you Skysummit.

Anyone- What is the steering feature that would bring the system back into the gulf- and are they estimating it reaching TD status again once over the ocean, or would it just be mostly dissipated remnants?

[carversteve]

Seems to be moving somewhat east from the radar..is it my eyes or is it slowly and i mean slowly moving east..from the radar just posted it seems to be moving ene

[PTrackerLA]

Seems to be moving somewhat east from the radar..is it my eyes or is it slowly and i mean slowly moving east..from the radar just posted it seems to be moving ene

I see the ENE too on radar but it may just be an illusion. Humberto is already a little east of Galvestons longitude judging by the radar IMO.

[feederband]

Seems to be moving somewhat east from the radar..is it my eyes or is it slowly and i mean slowly moving east..from the radar just posted it seems to be moving ene

I didn't want to be the one the said ene first but its hard to tell on radar the way it is right now..

[Steve Cosby]

The recon missions have had so many problems this year it is amazing.

we can't help that.

Yeah! Like 4G's up and down? That sure ain't something we humans have control over, that's for sure.