Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[ROCK]

just got home....to bad I am blocked from 2k at work.....but this is quite interesting....looks to be wrapping up rapidly and might get close to cat 1 before its over. I think since recon left its looking much better. Got to give some time for the winds to catch up with the presure...

[opera ghost]

The recon missions have had so many problems this year it is amazing.

we can't help that.

Don't think it was criticism so much as amazement. Recon has been so stable for so long that any interruptions tend to be registered with surprise. I hope if it's more than just miserable luck that y'all get all the funding necessary to fix whatever problems crop up. Recon is so important in the hurricane season to those of us on the coast. Hats off sir.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Based on the radar..this is still clearly moving NNE:

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... rainsnow=0

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Gabby had higher surface winds then flight level...Increasing.

[fasterdisaster]

CLOSE UP OF THE POSSIBLE "EYE" AND EYEWALL FORMING ON HUMBERTO:

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... rainsnow=1

[ROCK]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm4.html

[Brent]

Based on the radar..this is still clearly moving NNE:

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... rainsnow=0

Looks ENE or even east to me. No hurry to get inland and not going into Galveston on this track.

[mattpetre]

Well well, new steering products ARE out now and all point toward a more NE scenario.

[GalvestonDuck]

GALVESTON RESIDENTS: Please do not venture outside in the next hour or so! A band of deep and strong thunderstorms is minutes away from passing right over you! Don't panic but don't be outside during these deep red on radar storms.

No panic...but I'm not staying here in the hospital at the end of the shift when I have to be back tomorrow. I'll venture out...I'm a duck. Or in the words of teenagers these days, ima duck -- if I see debris flying at me, ima duck.

[wiggles]

how far to the ne?

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 122243
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 37 20070912
223300 2846N 09450W 8431 01505 0029 +161 +000 095027 031 044 018 03
223330 2844N 09450W 8413 01515 0017 +165 +000 103020 022 039 016 03
223400 2843N 09450W 8422 01497 9992 +187 +000 106015 018 031 005 03
223430 2841N 09450W 8417 01495 9983 +193 +000 083005 008 022 001 03
223500 2840N 09450W 8420 01492 9986 +187 +000 280007 012 013 002 03
223530 2838N 09450W 8420 01497 9994 +180 +000 269020 023 031 004 00
223600 2836N 09449W 8426 01500 0016 +160 +000 264028 031 031 006 03
223630 2835N 09450W 8420 01513 0021 +163 +000 267029 031 036 007 03
223700 2834N 09451W 8418 01517 0025 +166 +000 274027 028 035 005 00
223730 2833N 09453W 8418 01522 0036 +158 +000 277027 028 031 006 00
223800 2832N 09454W 8416 01529 0033 +170 +000 284029 030 029 007 00
223830 2831N 09455W 8418 01532 0033 +178 +000 291032 034 028 005 00
223900 2830N 09456W 8419 01536 0043 +171 +000 290033 033 032 007 00
223930 2829N 09458W 8418 01543 0049 +169 +000 290034 035 034 008 00
224000 2828N 09459W 8418 01545 0055 +169 +000 292036 037 033 007 00
224030 2827N 09500W 8418 01551 0064 +162 +000 293036 037 036 008 00
224100 2826N 09501W 8419 01553 0069 +161 +000 296039 040 038 008 00
224130 2825N 09502W 8418 01557 0070 +166 +000 291037 038 036 007 00
224200 2824N 09504W 8422 01557 0073 +164 +000 284031 033 033 006 00
224230 2823N 09505W 8420 01563 0076 +170 +000 288031 032 034 004 00
$$

Pressure 998mb but no winds above 40 kt that time.

[ROCK]

Well well, new steering products ARE out now and all point toward a more NE scenario.

well that depends on what level you look at doesnt it.....

[Extremeweatherguy]

Brent - - I'm sorry, I just do not see what you are seeing. The radar loop I am looking at shows a clear NNE motion. I put the tip of a pen at the starting location of the "center" and then at the ending location of the "center" and it is clearly moving NNE.

[mattpetre]

how far to the ne?

More like just E. of Galveston rather than W. that's all, still within 100mile cone.

[fasterdisaster]

GALVESTON RESIDENTS: Please do not venture outside in the next hour or so! A band of deep and strong thunderstorms is minutes away from passing right over you! Don't panic but don't be outside during these deep red on radar storms.

No panic...but I'm not staying here in the hospital at the end of the shift when I have to be back tomorrow. I'll venture out...I'm a duck. Or in the words of teenagers these days, ima duck -- if I see debris flying at me, ima duck.

lol, just stay safe

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

"If" this stays off another 12 more hours, the trough over the midwestern united states could force the system eastward faster then the models show. We have to watch for this closely. This is just my thoughts.

[jaxfladude]

Was T.S.HUMBERTO (GOM) a surprize to anyone else besides me, the chance of it getting close to a weak Cat. 1 hurricane before landfall?

[DrewFL]

RECON just reported a pressure of 998.3 mb. So it is still strengthening a bit.

[DrewFL]

Storm CYCLONE: Observed By Air Force #306
Storm #09 in Atlantic Ocean
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 42KT (48.3mph 77.8km/h) In NW Quadrant At 20:47:50 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 37.8KT (43.5mph 70.0km/h) *
Misc Remarks: GOOD RADAR BANDING
Date/Time of Recon Report: Wednesday, September 12, 2007 6:34:00 PM (Wed, 12 Sep 2007 22:34:00 UTC)
Position of the center: 28° 41' N 094° 50' W (28.7°N 94.8°W) [See Map]
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850mb: 1413m (Normal: 1457)
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 53KT (60.95MPH 98.2km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 13nm (14.95miles) From Center At Bearing 26°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 41KT (47.15mph 75.9km/h) From 122°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 14nm (16.1 miles) From Center At Bearing 27°
Minimum pressure: 998mb (29.47in)
Eye Wall Characterization Not Reported
Eye Did Not Have A Definable Form or was not reported
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

[CrazyC83]

URNT12 KNHC 122247
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007
A. 12/22:34:40Z
B. 28 deg 41 min N
094 deg 50 min W
C. 850 mb 1413 m
D. 53 kt
E. 026 deg 13 nm
F. 122 deg 041 kt
G. 027 deg 014 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 15 C/ 1532 m
J. 20 C/ 1537 m
K. 17 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF306 0209A CYCLONE OB 23
MAX FL WIND 42 KT NW QUAD 20:47:50 Z
GOOD RADAR BANDING

998mb, 42 kt FL.