Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[Furious George]

Slow moving TS is likely worse than a fast moving CAT1. Look at the radar - major rain dumping likely between Houston and Tx/LA border

[Sean in New Orleans]

It's going to make landfall in SW Louisiana...it isn't going to strike Texas directly.

[ronjon]

I dunno - on RAD it looks like it is developing a small eye with an inner eyewall that is now forming an intense northern and western semi-circle. I expect at least six more hours over water as this may become a hurricane - my bet is that pressure is now down to CAT 1 but the winds have not got up to that yet. It may in 6 hrs.

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/OneKm.aspx?location=USTX0499&animate=true&enlarge=true

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Based on the surface wind of 51 knots, I will go with 60 mph at 8pm est.

[Tireman4]

It's going to make landfall in SW Louisiana...it isn't going to strike Texas directly.

No offense, but are you sure about that?

[Stratosphere747]

It finally has become easier to track the center by radar.

Observations - It is back to a slow crawl over the last 30mins.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 122333
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 42 20070912
232300 2904N 09342W 8444 01568 0121 +158 +000 166034 035 027 007 00
232330 2904N 09341W 8450 01567 0123 +158 +000 167032 033 025 006 00
232400 2905N 09339W 8421 01597 0127 +155 +000 168031 031 026 004 00
232430 2905N 09337W 8428 01586 0126 +155 +000 172030 030 024 004 00
232500 2906N 09335W 8427 01590 0127 +157 +000 176029 029 028 004 00
232530 2906N 09334W 8430 01587 0127 +152 +000 183031 032 045 016 00
232600 2907N 09332W 8423 01591 0147 +121 +000 178026 035 058 041 00
232630 2907N 09330W 8434 01585 0144 +132 +000 152026 034 035 044 00
232700 2907N 09328W 8429 01591 0131 +150 +000 163031 032 028 007 00
232730 2908N 09327W 8418 01600 0131 +151 +000 161028 028 020 003 00
232800 2908N 09325W 8415 01606 0134 +153 +000 164028 029 019 002 00
232830 2909N 09322W 8420 01606 0139 +154 +000 166027 028 019 002 00
232900 2910N 09320W 8419 01610 0139 +157 +000 168023 024 020 001 00
232930 2910N 09318W 8424 01605 0139 +159 +000 166023 023 019 001 00
233000 2911N 09315W 8422 01608 0140 +159 +000 168024 024 021 000 00
233030 2912N 09313W 8423 01606 0140 +157 +000 172024 024 020 001 00
233100 2912N 09310W 8424 01606 0140 +159 +000 177023 024 022 000 00
233130 2913N 09308W 8423 01608 0140 +159 +000 176024 024 020 002 00
233200 2914N 09305W 8426 01602 0140 +159 +000 175023 023 023 000 00
233230 2914N 09303W 8421 01611 0139 +161 +000 176023 023 022 000 00
$$

58 kt SFMR - must be a squall?

[KatDaddy]

You can see the NE jog ongoing on the latest radar images

[Category 5]

Looks disturbingly healthy on radar.

I think it might flirt with Hurricane strength.

[dwg71]

Storm is already east of Galveton proper, slow progrss will result in a landfall much further east. possible jefferson county, I will stick with my original prediction of Chamber county/jefferson county line.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Storm is already east of Galveton proper, slow progrss will result in a landfall much further east. possible jefferson county, I will stick with my original prediction of Chamber county/jefferson county line.

It's not east of Galveston. I just used a ruler and it is still clearly due south of Galveston moving N/NNE...not ENE or NE or E as some are trying to say..but N/NNE. This motion was confirmed by the recon too when you compare the VDMs. This storm still has Galveston Bay written all over it, IMO.

[Stratosphere747]

7pm advisory will verify where the center is at.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Storm is already east of Galveton proper, slow progrss will result in a landfall much further east. possible jefferson county, I will stick with my original prediction of Chamber county/jefferson county line.

It's not east of Galveston. I just used a ruler and it is still clearly due south of Galveston moving N/NNE.

LOL..Ruler...Maybe you should get out the protractor.. No offense but N is not the current motion..

[galvestontx13]

It's going to make landfall in SW Louisiana...it isn't going to strike Texas directly.

comments like these should not be allowed. your comment could put peoples lifes in danger.

[HouTXmetro]

Storm is already east of Galveton proper, slow progrss will result in a landfall much further east. possible jefferson county, I will stick with my original prediction of Chamber county/jefferson county line.

The radar I'm veiwing shows due south of Galveston. What are you looking at? Can you post a link?

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 122343
AF306 0209A CYCLONE HDOB 43 20070912
233300 2915N 09301W 8423 01606 0137 +165 +000 174024 024 021 000 00
233330 2915N 09258W 8419 01610 0137 +164 +000 173023 023 017 000 00
233400 2916N 09256W 8140 01900 0138 +149 +000 172022 023 018 000 00
233430 2917N 09253W 7833 02231 0137 +133 +000 167023 024 016 000 00
233500 2918N 09251W 7548 02539 0126 +122 +000 166020 021 015 001 00
233530 2918N 09249W 7275 02845 0129 +102 +000 169021 021 014 001 00
233600 2919N 09246W 7011 03155 0132 +083 +000 171022 025 015 001 00
233630 2920N 09244W 6754 03468 0137 +064 +000 176027 028 013 002 00
233700 2920N 09241W 6503 03779 0140 +044 +000 178029 029 013 002 00
233730 2921N 09239W 6262 04091 0145 +023 +000 177031 031 020 000 00
233800 2922N 09237W 6028 04400 0129 +006 +000 176030 031 021 001 00
233830 2923N 09234W 5802 04681 0090 +000 +000 173031 032 023 001 00
233900 2923N 09232W 5581 05008 0091 -014 -014 167032 033 022 001 00
233930 2924N 09230W 5370 05311 0273 -028 -028 166029 030 022 001 00
234000 2925N 09228W 5198 05574 0290 -042 -042 167028 028 021 002 00
234030 2925N 09226W 5073 05771 0304 -051 -051 167029 030 023 002 00
234100 2926N 09223W 4951 05967 0318 -061 -061 165031 032 024 001 00
234130 2927N 09221W 4832 06150 0330 -073 -073 163028 029 054 000 00
234200 2927N 09219W 4714 06349 0340 -084 -084 161025 026 022 000 00
234230 2928N 09216W 4601 06528 0348 -095 -095 161024 024 026 000 00
$$

Ascending - mission complete.

[dwg71]

Storm is already east of Galveton proper, slow progrss will result in a landfall much further east. possible jefferson county, I will stick with my original prediction of Chamber county/jefferson county line.

It's not east of Galveston. I just used a ruler and it is still clearly due south of Galveston moving N/NNE.

LOL..Ruler...Maybe you should get out the protractor.. No offense but N is not the current motion..

EWG, wait till advisory and you will see that current motion takes this east of galveston bay, possibly by quite a bit. It will move even futher east as trough approaches.

[GalvestonDuck]

Forget radar.

I'm IN Galveston and clearly it's not here yet.

[Brent]

REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...28.8 N...94.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

[ROCK]

Storm is already east of Galveton proper, slow progrss will result in a landfall much further east. possible jefferson county, I will stick with my original prediction of Chamber county/jefferson county line.

It's not east of Galveston. I just used a ruler and it is still clearly due south of Galveston moving N/NNE.

LOL..Ruler...Maybe you should get out the protractor.. No offense but N is not the current motion..

remember the rules.....I can post a link if you like...