Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[Yankeegirl]

still dry here... kind of orange-ish colored outside... i would be happy with an inch of rain from this...

[JessRomero]

Hey I got some question I am in Jefferson County I am 5 minutes from Port Arthur what time and I looking at to get hit with the hard rains? I am kinda worried about this being we can't handle anymore rain? any advice on what I need to watch for like tornado? or anything?

[ronjon]

Starting to get donut-shaped eye ring around the entire center on RAD. Over the last hour a wobble to the NE. It seems to me that this will make landfall east of Galveston Bay somewhere between there and the La/Tx border. Still looks like it might have another 6-8 hrs over water to strengthen.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=HGX&lat=29.30124092&lon=-94.78842163&label=Galveston%2C+TX&type=N0R&zoommode=pan&map.x=400&map.y=240&centerx=400&centery=240&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&delay=15&scale=1&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0

[pojo]

The recon missions have had so many problems this year it is amazing.

we can't help that.

Don't think it was criticism so much as amazement. Recon has been so stable for so long that any interruptions tend to be registered with surprise. I hope if it's more than just miserable luck that y'all get all the funding necessary to fix whatever problems crop up. Recon is so important in the hurricane season to those of us on the coast. Hats off sir.

actually hats off ma'am.... no offense taken.
Recon has always had problems with aircraft, its just come up more this year.... everyone is watching... and everyone knows where we are... we can't hide that fact.... thus meaning we can't hide if there are aircraft problems.

We have no problems with funding... I'm part of the USAFR Hurricane Hunters.... NOAA has problems with funding because they do other experiments with HRD (Hurricane Research Division).

[Stormcenter]

This radar presentation looks a lot like a hurricane. (My opinion only)
I do believe the motion definitely has an eastward component to it now
but its still at a snails pace. It doesn't look like it's moving at 7mph.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[pojo]

The recon missions have had so many problems this year it is amazing.

we can't help that.

We were both right/wrong on something a couple of weeks ago, where the HH fly Cuban airspace.


They normally don't, but per a MSgt Bynon, (who e-mailed a response to a question I sent) they got special permission from the Cuban govt. for a flight during Charley.

Typically, we have to pull teeth to fly into Cuban Airspace. Randy (MSgt Bynon) is a fellow dropsonde operator.

[feederband]

Another view


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... h&loop=yes

[pojo]

The recon missions have had so many problems this year it is amazing.

we can't help that.

Yeah! Like 4G's up and down? That sure ain't something we humans have control over, that's for sure.

True.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Well, I think I am going to give in and change my ideas. Based on the most recent radar trends, it does now appear that a more NE motion may have begun. Because of this, I think a landfall east of Galveston island is now likely...may be ending up closer to High Island. I wouldn't even rule out further east than that though. We shall see.

[HollynLA]

This radar presentation looks a lot like a hurricane. (My opinion only)
I do believe the motion definitely has an eastward component to it now
but its still at a snails pace. It doesn't look like it's moving at 7mph.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

By that radar, it almost looks like Humberto is riding the coastline with a NE movement.

[Buck]

^Yes, it looks to me too like it's just riding the coastline.

[tolakram]

I don't think you can tell motion from radar. I would bet this is still moving N,NE and these NE motions are just long wobbles. Radar images are very close together compared to satellite which can be 15 to 30 minutes apart.

[mattpetre]

If you cover everything on the radar but the "eye" you will see that this thing is very close to stationary, the surrounding bands give it the illusion of more of a NE motion than it actually has.

[HollynLA]

I don't think you can tell motion from radar. I would bet this is still moving N,NE and these NE motions are just long wobbles. Radar images are very close together compared to satellite which can be 15 to 30 minutes apart.

Whatever, there's not such thing as a "long" wobble. It contradicts what a wobble means. But at any point, wobbles at this time will make a difference where it makes landfall.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

You know there is a small chance this could
be pushed back into the gom after
landfall and well then
it could...regenerate....
that would be peculiar, now
wouldn't it.

In any case, Texas is about to be
flooded really bad (the parts getting hit)
and also LA.

[Extremeweatherguy]

If you cover everything on the radar but the "eye" you will see that this thing is very close to stationary, the surrounding bands give it the illusion of more of a NE motion than it actually has.

wow. You're right mattpetre. I just did that and the "eye" is basically stationary. What would be crazy is if this thing just decided to stall out and ended up still being out there tomorrow.

[ROCK]

Sky Summit that was this morning....


Dwg- trace huh? Whats your defnition of trace because I am watching it rain right now.....

[feederband]

If you cover everything on the radar but the "eye" you will see that this thing is very close to stationary, the surrounding bands give it the illusion of more of a NE motion than it actually has.

wow. You're right mattpetre. I just did that and the "eye" is basically stationary. It would be crazy if this thing just decided to stall out and ended up still being out there tomorrow.

That would not be good... I would like to goto bed tonite..

[HollynLA]

If you cover everything on the radar but the "eye" you will see that this thing is very close to stationary, the surrounding bands give it the illusion of more of a NE motion than it actually has.

wow. You're right mattpetre. I just did that and the "eye" is basically stationary. It would be crazy if this thing just decided to stall out and ended up still being out there tomorrow.

That would be a nightmare. I do think it's moving, just ever so slightly.

[Buck]

It's good that the area of rain isn't very large (at least compared to some similar storms).