Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[tolakram]

Back to that bouy again, looks like it's darn close to the center, check out the pressure drop and the wind speed.

http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/buoy/42035.html



Air Temperature: 78° F / 26° C
Humidity: 94
Wind direction (W Dir): East (95 - 104 Degrees)
Wind Speed (W Spd): 44.7 kts (51.5 mph / 82.8 km/h)
Dominant Wave Period (DWP): 8 sec
Dominant Wave Height (DWH): 12.14 ft / 3.70 m
Dominant Wave Range (DWR): exactly 12.1 ft / exactly 3.7 m
Wind Wave Period (WWP): 8 sec
Wind Wave Height (WWH): 11.48 ft / 3.50 m
Wind Wave Range (WWR): 10.66 - 12.30 ft / 3.25 - 3.75 m
Wave Swell Period (WSP): 16 sec
Wave Swell Height (WSH): 3.28 ft / 1.00 m
Wave Swell Range (WSR): 2.46 - 4.10 ft / 0.75 - 1.25 m
Atmospheric Pressure (AP): 29.52 in / 1000 hPa
Pressure Tendency (PT): -0.25 in / -8.6 hPa
Steady or increasing, then decreasing; or decreasing, then decreasing more rapidly

[Bailey1777]

Steve I think it's making a run at it, East end of Galveston.

[Stormcenter]

But check this out on radar LC. The heaviest weather on the north side of the circulation appears to be making a run for the coast. But with the center kind of pulsing, you can't tell if the circulation is the yellow right south of those reds or if it is the green hook kind of to the ENE of where it started. Which one of these areas is the center will determine where the landfall is. Hard to tell:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... h&loop=yes

Then you go down to Houston/Galveston and see the same thing. Landfall could be soon if it's making a run.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... x&loop=yes

Need another hour of sat to tell for sure.

Steve

I still believe it's moving NNE to NE per those radar loops you posted.

[Ptarmigan]

I saw stars outside. Weird with a TS Humberto not too far. Kinda brings back memories of Hurricane Jerry in 1989. Nothing happened where I lived at the time.

[Steve]

>>I still believe it's moving NNE to NE per those radar loops you posted.

Yeah, but look at the centerwall convection. It's hooking toward the coast, but also intensifying to the ENE of where the center starts on the loop. Hard to say. Click on the radar face and zoom and you'll see the humps that give the center some ambiguity. JMO

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... h&loop=yes

[WindRunner]

Plane is up and well en route already . . .

URNT11 KNHC 130410
97779 04060 51298 91700 54900 15021 56/// /4590
RMK AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 02

URNT15 KNHC 130407
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 05 20070913
035730 2958N 09054W 5054 05818 0326 -060 +999 174019 019 999 999 05
035800 2958N 09056W 5056 05817 0327 -058 +999 169019 019 999 999 05
035830 2957N 09059W 5056 05818 0328 -060 +999 164019 020 999 999 05
035900 2956N 09102W 5053 05825 0330 -061 +999 165019 019 999 999 05
035930 2956N 09104W 5058 05818 0330 -060 +999 172019 020 999 999 05
040000 2955N 09107W 5054 05820 0328 -060 +999 170020 020 999 999 05
040030 2955N 09110W 5057 05817 0328 -060 +999 170020 020 999 999 05
040100 2954N 09113W 5053 05822 0327 -061 +999 164019 020 999 999 05
040130 2954N 09115W 5055 05820 0329 -060 +999 162019 019 999 999 05
040200 2953N 09118W 5055 05818 0328 -060 +999 163019 020 999 999 05
040230 2953N 09121W 5055 05819 0326 -060 +999 163019 019 999 999 05
040300 2952N 09124W 5054 05817 0325 -060 +999 157019 019 999 999 05
040330 2951N 09127W 5057 05813 0324 -061 +999 159020 021 999 999 05
040400 2951N 09130W 5055 05817 0324 -060 +999 165017 018 999 999 05
040430 2950N 09132W 5055 05817 0324 -057 +999 167017 018 999 999 05
040500 2950N 09135W 5054 05817 0323 -060 +999 162017 018 999 999 05
040530 2949N 09138W 5055 05814 0323 -059 +999 154018 019 999 999 05
040600 2948N 09141W 5055 05813 0323 -059 +999 152020 021 999 999 05
040630 2948N 09144W 5055 05814 0322 -062 +999 156021 021 999 999 05
040700 2947N 09147W 5055 05811 0320 -060 +999 157022 022 999 999 05

[Sean in New Orleans]

Such a tiny system...it isn't even raining in Sugarland, yet you go 20 miles East and your in the center bands of the storm!

[BigA]

Gust to 65 mph recorded on a buoy 22 miles east of Galveston.

[WindRunner]

Descending to operational altitude . . .

URNT15 KNHC 130417
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 06 20070913
040730 2947N 09150W 5055 05809 0319 -058 +999 159022 022 125 000 05
040800 2946N 09152W 5054 05811 0318 -055 +999 157024 025 099 001 05
040830 2946N 09155W 5055 05809 0317 -055 +999 161024 024 041 000 01
040900 2945N 09158W 5054 05811 0317 -054 +999 166023 023 018 000 01
040930 2944N 09201W 5057 05805 0316 -055 +999 168024 025 021 000 01
041000 2944N 09204W 5053 05811 0316 -055 -055 165024 025 023 000 00
041030 2943N 09207W 5055 05811 0318 -055 -055 164024 024 046 000 03
041100 2943N 09209W 5053 05812 0318 -055 -055 164024 024 090 000 03
041130 2942N 09212W 5115 05733 0325 -048 -048 165024 026 113 000 03
041200 2941N 09215W 5367 05352 0306 -032 -032 165026 026 999 999 03
041230 2941N 09218W 5604 05008 0133 -009 -009 170025 026 999 999 03
041300 2940N 09220W 5793 04727 0138 -005 -005 174022 024 999 999 03
041330 2940N 09223W 5976 04476 0150 +004 +000 174021 021 999 999 03
041400 2939N 09225W 6182 04205 0155 +019 +000 173020 020 999 999 03
041430 2939N 09228W 6373 03957 0155 +033 +000 171020 020 999 999 03
041500 2938N 09230W 6536 03749 0154 +046 +000 173020 021 999 999 03
041530 2938N 09232W 6679 03569 0144 +060 +000 177022 023 999 999 03
041600 2937N 09235W 6696 03546 0138 +066 +000 176023 023 999 999 03
041630 2937N 09237W 6701 03538 0133 +069 +000 173023 024 999 999 03
041700 2937N 09239W 6713 03524 0131 +068 +000 178024 024 999 999 03

[Sean in New Orleans]

You can believe the surf is really going up in Cameron Parish. They have been getting a straight hard push from due South now for over 6 hours....bet there is plenty of coastal flooding. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... h&loop=yes

[Jagno]

You can believe the surf is really going up in Cameron Parish. They have been getting a straight hard push from due South now for over 6 hours....bet there is plenty of coastal flooding. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... h&loop=yes

Big Lake and Holly Beach are getting the brunt right now.

[Stormcenter]

>>I still believe it's moving NNE to NE per those radar loops you posted.

Yeah, but look at the centerwall convection. It's hooking toward the coast, but also intensifying to the ENE of where the center starts on the loop. Hard to say. Click on the radar face and zoom and you'll see the humps that give the center some ambiguity. JMO

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... h&loop=yes

Check out Weather Underground tropical weather page and check out their long range national radar loop and it will pretty much put the NNW movement to rest.

[bbadon]

You can believe the surf is really going up in Cameron Parish. They have been getting a straight hard push from due South now for over 6 hours....bet there is plenty of coastal flooding. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... h&loop=yes

Actually I just go back from the beach here in extreme sw Cameron Parish we are not experiencing any flooding yet but we are expecting it early in the morning at high tide.

[Ptarmigan]

Such a tiny system...it isn't even raining in Sugarland, yet you go 20 miles East and your in the center bands of the storm!

Humberto is probably one of the smallest tropical storms in recent years.

[WindRunner]

A good bit of lightning flaring up due east of the opening into Galveston harbor now . . . should be a good light show for those of you who live there . . .

[Nate-Gillson]

Such a tiny system...it isn't even raining in Sugarland, yet you go 20 miles East and your in the center bands of the storm!

Humberto is probably one of the smallest tropical storms in recent years.

Smaller than cyclone tracy?

[Jagno]

You can believe the surf is really going up in Cameron Parish. They have been getting a straight hard push from due South now for over 6 hours....bet there is plenty of coastal flooding. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... h&loop=yes

Actually I just go back from the beach here in extreme sw Cameron Parish we are not experiencing any flooding yet but we are expecting it early in the morning at high tide.

Glad to hear that. My info was from high school kids coming to my house to stay the night. I do trust your eyes more. LOL

[Ptarmigan]

Smaller than cyclone tracy?

No way. Humberto has TS winds extending up to 60 miles from the eye. That is small, but not Tracy tiny.

[Steve]

>>Check out Weather Underground tropical weather page and check out their long range national radar loop and it will pretty much put the NNW movement to rest.

It's running the coast on the long time loop, but the NWS was updated about 17 minutes ahead of TWU. Overall, I think the track is close to or south of Alex (and a close call for south of Jackson), so I'm not saying it's going NNW. But a run at the coast from where it is doesn't have to have a western component because the coast is slanted "/" in that part of Texas.

Again, JMO. Like I said, I called it High Island this morning though I still might have been a hair west. We'll know in a few hours either way.

Steve

[WindRunner]

URNT15 KNHC 130427
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 07 20070913
041730 2936N 09241W 6736 03497 0140 +066 +000 176025 026 999 999 03
041800 2936N 09243W 7053 03123 0155 +083 +000 170027 028 999 999 03
041830 2936N 09246W 7423 02697 0159 +106 +000 172026 026 999 999 03
041900 2935N 09248W 7757 02325 0154 +128 +000 169022 024 018 000 03
041930 2935N 09250W 7994 02067 0153 +140 +000 163021 022 018 000 00
042000 2935N 09253W 8218 01832 0155 +150 +000 162024 024 016 001 00
042030 2935N 09255W 8413 01625 0147 +161 +000 163024 025 014 001 00
042100 2935N 09257W 8428 01602 0138 +163 +000 162024 025 010 002 00
042130 2934N 09259W 8427 01603 0141 +160 +000 161025 026 013 003 00
042200 2934N 09300W 8426 01604 9990 +163 +999 168024 025 016 003 01
042230 2934N 09302W 8426 01602 9990 +162 +999 163025 026 018 004 01
042300 2934N 09304W 8424 01603 9990 +163 +999 165025 027 019 004 01
042330 2934N 09306W 8409 01620 9990 +151 +999 144025 029 027 010 01
042400 2934N 09308W 8425 01598 9990 +145 +999 147028 032 024 010 01
042430 2933N 09310W 8437 01587 9990 +136 +999 158029 032 028 013 01
042500 2933N 09312W 8422 01603 9990 +136 +999 146033 035 037 028 01
042530 2933N 09314W 8423 01598 9990 +124 +999 141026 029 041 029 01
042600 2933N 09316W 8417 01605 9990 +148 +999 167023 027 044 023 01
042630 2933N 09318W 8424 01599 9990 +154 +999 163026 027 020 007 01
042700 2932N 09320W 8427 01595 9990 +157 +999 165028 029 012 006 01

SFMR is now on, and finding 44kts at the surface . . .

FYI . . . this is in the band of convection extending south from Cameron, LA right now.