Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[Jagno]

Steve;
Where are you located?

[WindRunner]

UZNT13 KNHC 130429
XXAA 63048 99296 70930 08293 99013 27425 12023 00114 26420 11024
92799 21620 14020 85529 17416 16025 88999 77999
31313 09608 80421
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 04
62626 SPL 2959N09297W 0423 MBL WND 11523 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13022
012880 WL150 11023 080 =
XXBB 63048 99296 70930 08293 00013 27425 11958 22803 22896 20030
33850 17416 44842 16012
21212 00013 12023 11991 10522 22954 12524 33942 13020 44880 16024
55842 16025
31313 09608 80421
61616 AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 04
62626 SPL 2959N09297W 0423 MBL WND 11523 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13022
012880 WL150 11023 080 =

23kt surface/1013hPa

[HurricaneRobert]

Such a tiny system...it isn't even raining in Sugarland, yet you go 20 miles East and your in the center bands of the storm!

Humberto is probably one of the smallest tropical storms in recent years.

Smaller than cyclone tracy?

Do you count the outer bands, or just the tight convection? Otherwise, it looks like a similar size.

[Bailey1777]

Radar shows Humberto making his move not to much longer over the water.

[Steve]

>Steve; Where are you located?

I'm a little bit to the SW of New Orleans down in the bayous.

If the link works...

http://maps.google.com/maps?q=Lockport, ... 7&z=8&om=1

I'm not completely sure what the coordinates here are, but I think I'm close to 29.6 and 90.5 or so. I think New Orleans is around 29.9/89.9.

Steve

[Ptarmigan]

Do you count the outer bands, or just the tight convection? Otherwise, it looks like a similar size.

I am thinking of the tight convection. Even the outer bands is not that large.

[WindRunner]

URNT15 KNHC 130437
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 08 20070913
042730 2932N 09322W 8427 01597 9990 +161 +999 167030 031 000 003 01
042800 2932N 09324W 8429 01592 9990 +161 +999 169031 031 000 002 01
042830 2932N 09325W 8428 01594 9990 +163 +999 171032 033 000 005 05
042900 2931N 09327W 8427 01595 9990 +160 +999 172034 034 002 004 01
042930 2931N 09329W 8426 01594 9990 +159 +999 169033 033 001 005 05
043000 2930N 09331W 8430 01588 9990 +155 +999 170036 036 012 008 01
043030 2930N 09332W 8426 01592 9990 +162 +999 171036 036 007 006 01
043100 2929N 09334W 8429 01589 9990 +161 +999 171036 037 000 004 01
043130 2929N 09336W 8434 01578 9990 +149 +999 166034 035 008 006 01
043200 2928N 09337W 8437 01578 9990 +157 +999 164030 033 014 001 01
043230 2928N 09339W 8431 01585 9990 +167 +999 171034 036 031 000 01
043300 2927N 09341W 8426 01586 9990 +162 +999 167034 035 029 000 01
043330 2926N 09343W 8426 01584 9990 +162 +999 171037 039 021 002 01
043400 2926N 09343W 8426 01584 9990 +161 +999 168039 040 022 003 01
043430 2925N 09346W 8428 01582 9990 +162 +999 167041 042 024 003 01
043500 2925N 09348W 8427 01579 9990 +159 +999 165040 040 025 004 01
043530 2924N 09349W 8427 01580 9990 +157 +999 162039 040 025 003 01
043600 2924N 09351W 8411 01597 9990 +149 +999 155036 041 027 005 01
043630 2923N 09353W 8418 01586 9990 +154 +999 158040 043 029 005 01
043700 2923N 09355W 8431 01569 9990 +156 +999 159042 042 030 005 01

Just barely getting into the central convection, and FL winds are already indicating TS surface winds.

Also of note, the auto-xtrap pressure seems to not be working tonight.

[Bailey1777]

Moving North per radar.

[WindRunner]

They should be punching the core from the east on the next set, and we should have our fix within 20 minutes . . .

[Steve]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

No, it wasn't moving north. Look at the new wall of convection forming. I'm surprised. (*edit* Looks like landfall's gonna be between SW Jefferson County and Cameron Parish.)

time to 11:34 CDT.

Steve

[CrazyC83]

Unfortunately no direct extrapolated pressure data from the plane...

[Bailey1777]

weather.gov
National Weather Service Enhanced Radar Image Loop

Houston/Galveston, TX Radar
Go to: Standard Version Local weather forecast by "City, St" Long Range Reflectivity
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
11:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 12 2007

Java is necessary for radar looping and is best optimized using Java version 1.4.2 or higher.
Go to http://www.java.com/en for more information regarding Java.

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[WindRunner]

URNT15 KNHC 130447
AF306 0309A HUMBERTO HDOB 09 20070913
043730 2922N 09357W 8426 01573 9990 +148 +999 155042 042 032 007 01
043800 2921N 09358W 8428 01568 9990 +145 +999 152042 042 034 010 01
043830 2921N 09400W 8423 01571 9990 +152 +999 157042 042 037 008 01
043900 2920N 09402W 8428 01561 9990 +158 +999 159048 049 036 012 01
043930 2920N 09404W 8418 01571 9990 +155 +999 152049 052 038 015 01
044000 2919N 09405W 8429 01559 9990 +130 +999 141049 050 038 021 01
044030 2919N 09407W 8416 01565 9990 +137 +999 154052 056 046 038 01
044100 2918N 09409W 8416 01559 9990 +142 +999 160050 054 053 037 01
044130 2917N 09411W 8458 01515 9990 +133 +999 155057 059 048 035 01
044200 2917N 09412W 8433 01532 9990 +131 +999 160059 060 049 027 01
044230 2916N 09414W 8428 01534 9990 +144 +999 167064 065 050 023 01
044300 2916N 09416W 8417 01533 9990 +137 +999 165065 068 039 033 01
044330 2915N 09417W 8421 01524 9990 +142 +999 168066 067 048 025 01
044400 2915N 09419W 8423 01507 9990 +162 +999 172068 071 052 027 01
044430 2914N 09420W 8430 01481 9990 +168 +999 176077 079 061 013 01
044500 2914N 09422W 8430 01462 9990 +169 +999 187071 077 070 000 01
044530 2914N 09423W 8429 01447 9990 +178 +999 193053 063 062 006 05
044600 2914N 09425W 8436 01431 9990 +179 +999 192032 036 047 004 01
044630 2914N 09427W 8422 01441 9990 +176 +999 200021 024 031 002 05
044700 2915N 09429W 8435 01425 9990 +184 +999 208014 016 014 001 05

79kts FL > 63kts surface.

SFMR reports 70kts surface . . . we have a hurricane!

[CrazyC83]

79 kt FL - I think we have Hurricane Humberto!!!

[WindRunner]

70kts surface via SFMR . . .

[CrazyC83]

My current estimate: 65-70 kt, 988mb = Hurricane Humberto

Special advisory around 12:30 am CDT?

[Sean in New Orleans]

The system is hardly moving at all...it's been practically stationery or barely moving to the NE for several hours now, IMO.

[WindRunner]

044330 2915N 09417W 8421 01524 9990 +142 +999 168066 067 048 025 01
044400 2915N 09419W 8423 01507 9990 +162 +999 172068 071 052 027 01
044430 2914N 09420W 8430 01481 9990 +168 +999 176077 079 061 013 01
044500 2914N 09422W 8430 01462 9990 +169 +999 187071 077 070 000 01
044530 2914N 09423W 8429 01447 9990 +178 +999 193053 063 062 006 05
044600 2914N 09425W 8436 01431 9990 +179 +999 192032 036 047 004 01
044630 2914N 09427W 8422 01441 9990 +176 +999 200021 024 031 002 05
044700 2915N 09429W 8435 01425 9990 +184 +999 208014 016 014 001 05

Obviously the good data is in here . . . my only suspicion is that the 70kt SFMR came in an area where SFMR saw no precip? That flags something in my mind

[Andrew92]

Well, I'd like to see a vortex message before we call Humberto a hurricane.

But man, I'm not totally surprised that it has become one, if it has.

-Andrew92

P.S. I'd be surprised if there's a special advisory. The next advisory comes out in an hour.

[CrazyC83]

044330 2915N 09417W 8421 01524 9990 +142 +999 168066 067 048 025 01
044400 2915N 09419W 8423 01507 9990 +162 +999 172068 071 052 027 01
044430 2914N 09420W 8430 01481 9990 +168 +999 176077 079 061 013 01
044500 2914N 09422W 8430 01462 9990 +169 +999 187071 077 070 000 01
044530 2914N 09423W 8429 01447 9990 +178 +999 193053 063 062 006 05
044600 2914N 09425W 8436 01431 9990 +179 +999 192032 036 047 004 01
044630 2914N 09427W 8422 01441 9990 +176 +999 200021 024 031 002 05
044700 2915N 09429W 8435 01425 9990 +184 +999 208014 016 014 001 05

Obviously the good data is in here . . . my only suspicion is that the 70kt SFMR came in an area where SFMR saw no precip? That flags something in my mind

That's possible, but it is surely still 65 kt at least anyway...