Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

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cycloneye
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave with low in Eastern Atlantic

#41 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 15, 2007 6:11 am

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W/34W SOUTH OF 18N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER FROM SIX HOURS
AGO DISSIPATED. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 35W AND 38W...AND JUST WEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 27W AND 29W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N
TO 16N BETWEEN 30W AND 33W.


8 AM Discussion.

Yep,there is now low.
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Typhoon_Willie
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Tropical wave SW of Cape Verde islands in 5:30 TWO...

#42 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Sat Sep 15, 2007 6:14 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 150912
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM INGRID CENTERED ABOUT 575 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEMS IS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER MAINELLI
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of Cape Verde islands

#43 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 15, 2007 6:28 am

Typhoon_Willie I moved your post from Active Storms forum to this thread.
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#44 Postby punkyg » Sat Sep 15, 2007 6:54 am

Right now i still can't tell if its two waves or one.-
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#45 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 15, 2007 6:58 am

Image
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#46 Postby punkyg » Sat Sep 15, 2007 7:08 am

If this were to develop would this follow the same track as ingrid.
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#47 Postby skysummit » Sat Sep 15, 2007 7:13 am

LOL....Heck, I made my post in the wrong thread. Sorry! ...deleted.
Last edited by skysummit on Sat Sep 15, 2007 8:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#48 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 15, 2007 8:13 am

Where is everybody? This Wave has some potential and is at a climatologically favored lattitude for a long tracker. That TUTT should be long gone by the time this wave gets farther west...

and a ridge is building in over the Western Atlantic for next week through the weekend...

seems like sooner or later one of these waves north of 15N is bound to develop and bust through without getting sheared to bits recurving or staying way to the south.

Hmmm...
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Re:

#49 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Sep 15, 2007 8:56 am

gatorcane wrote:Where is everybody? This Wave has some potential and is at a climatologically favored lattitude for a long tracker. That TUTT should be long gone by the time this wave gets farther west...

and a ridge is building in over the Western Atlantic for next week through the weekend...

seems like sooner or later one of these waves north of 15N is bound to develop and bust through without getting sheared to bits recurving or staying way to the south.

Hmmm...




Good post I agree. This will stay much more southward. Is away from the tutt.
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Derek Ortt

#50 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Sep 15, 2007 9:04 am

SAL... enough said
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of Cape Verde islands

#51 Postby Blown Away » Sat Sep 15, 2007 9:26 am

If this wave keeps it up it may become an invest.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of Cape Verde islands

#52 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sat Sep 15, 2007 10:22 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION INGRID CENTERED ABOUT 510 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES.

A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CENTERED BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES IS ASSOCIATED WITH
A TROPICAL WAVE. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEMS IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15
MPH.

AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES
NORTH OF HISPANIOLA IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL
LOW. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME AND
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE VERY SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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Re: Tropical Wave SW Cape Verde islands=11:30 AM TWO Posted

#53 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 15, 2007 10:35 am

May be trying to twist up. Too early to tell and a touch too close to naked Ingrid.
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#54 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 15, 2007 10:56 am

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Re: Tropical Wave SW Cape Verde islands

#55 Postby Frank2 » Sat Sep 15, 2007 11:05 am

Several weeks systems this morning (including what's left of TS Ingrid) - the Atlantic basin looks quiet in the short term, anyway...
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#56 Postby Buck » Sat Sep 15, 2007 12:09 pm

It does look like it wants to tighten up.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW Cape Verde islands

#57 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Sep 15, 2007 1:42 pm

This should be the next invest. Maybe it will be posted by tomorrow
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Re: Tropical Wave SW Cape Verde islands

#58 Postby jhamps10 » Sat Sep 15, 2007 1:46 pm

canegrl04 wrote:This should be the next invest. Maybe it will be posted by tomorrow


I don't know, it's a little too close to the shear of ingrid to last long though.
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#59 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 15, 2007 1:48 pm

folks just an update regarding Ingrid as we discuss the the wave SW of the Cape Verde Islands... as many of us have written Ingrid off -- the shear over Ingrid is now forecasted to possibly weaken as early as tomorrow now. Again, its another lesson not put faith in model shear forecasts.

So the real focus will be on Ingrid still in my opinion....

check out the thread for updates. :P
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Re:

#60 Postby Fego » Sat Sep 15, 2007 3:57 pm

gatorcane wrote:folks just an update regarding Ingrid as we discuss the the wave SW of the Cape Verde Islands... as many of us have written Ingrid off -- the shear over Ingrid is now forecasted to possibly weaken as early as tomorrow now. Again, its another lesson not put faith in model shear forecasts.

So the real focus will be on Ingrid still in my opinion....

check out the thread for updates. :P


Interesting.. But.. it had forescasted to weaken by the same models that forescated to increase?.. just a question, I am not arguing. :wink:
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