Western GOM storms

LaBreeze · #1 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:11 pm

I was wondering how many or possibly, how often do tropical systems strike the western GOM during the last week of September and beyond? I remember once reading that most of the western GOM (at least the Texas coast) shuts down tropical activity by this time. I may be way off and I know that anything is possible, I've seen too many to be fooled. I just remember reading that somewhere on here. Are there any fronts predicted for the next week or so? Just some curious questions if anyone wants to chime in.

Ptarmigan · #2 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 6:26 pm

LaBreeze wrote:I was wondering how many or possibly, how often do tropical systems strike the western GOM during the last week of September and beyond? I remember once reading that most of the western GOM (at least the Texas coast) shuts down tropical activity by this time. I may be way off and I know that anything is possible, I've seen too many to be fooled. I just remember reading that somewhere on here. Are there any fronts predicted for the next week or so? Just some curious questions if anyone wants to chime in.

Tropical systems have struck the western GOM as late as mid October, the latest being Hurricane Jerry in 1989.

Extremeweatherguy · #3 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 6:56 pm

dwg71 · #4 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:27 pm

A TS in late September and beyond is a very rare event for the upper texas coast. Even Rita, (though technically was a LA storm at landfall, but devestated East TX) turned North before Houston. Its just the time of the year.

#5 Postby **jeff** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:41 pm

It is much harder to get stronger storms this far west unless they form in the central or western Gulf this time of year as troughs begin to amplify and turn more systems northward. With that said with the correct ridging in place a tropical cyclone could for sure make a run for the western Gulf from the E Gulf or Caribbean still into early Oct (ie Lili 02)

Western GOM storms

Western GOM storms

Re: Western GOM storms

Re: Western GOM storms

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