Tropical Depression TEN: Discussions & Images

[skysummit]

12z UKMET....Louisiana

[HURAKAN]

Loop: http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/se5vs.html

[tracyswfla]

Loop: http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/se5vs.html

it looks healthy!

[HURAKAN]

Latest:

[JonathanBelles]

This may knock out much of the no hit zone this year in the SE.

[Stormcenter]

Latest:

It looks sheared.

[Brent]

This looks to be developing now. Very similar setup to a certain K storm 2 years ago.

[Ivanhater]

12z UKMET....Louisiana

Amazing agreement with GFS, UKMET, GFDL all showing just south of New Orleans..looks like we have a problem this week along the north gulfcoast, eh skysummit?

[DESTRUCTION5]

This looks to be developing now. Very similar setup to a certain K storm 2 years ago.

<choke> That will get the Natives restless Brent..LOL

[CrazyC83]

This looks to be developing now. Very similar setup to a certain K storm 2 years ago.

Farther north and west though.

[tracyswfla]

This looks to be developing now. Very similar setup to a certain K storm 2 years ago.

I was thinking the same thing, Brent. If it comes across the Everglades, it shouldn't weaken it to much, as with Katrina. Depends on how much time though it will take to cross Florida...

[Stormcenter]

This looks to be developing now. Very similar setup to a certain K storm 2 years ago.

The K storm did not have to deal with any shear or dry air. It was in
an ideal environment for development. The conditions now are not the same as they
were then. Even now it is dealing with shear already.

[skysummit]

12z UKMET....Louisiana

Amazing agreement with GFS, UKMET, GFDL all showing just south of New Orleans..looks like we have a problem this week along the north gulfcoast, eh skysummit?

Bleh....I just sent out an email to my distribution group at work along the gulf coast and we're about to go into storm mode....deploying generators, survival packs, MREs, etc. Should be fun....bleh..

Well, models may shift west again tonight though!

[Alacane2]

12z UKMET....Louisiana

Amazing agreement with GFS, UKMET, GFDL all showing just south of New Orleans..looks like we have a problem this week along the north gulfcoast, eh skysummit?

If the storm does follow those models, what can we expect in the Mobile/Pensacola area? When?

[Ivanhater]

12z UKMET....Louisiana

Amazing agreement with GFS, UKMET, GFDL all showing just south of New Orleans..looks like we have a problem this week along the north gulfcoast, eh skysummit?

Bleh....I just sent out an email to my distribution group at work along the gulf coast and we're about to go into storm mode....deploying generators, survival packs, MREs, etc. Should be fun....bleh..

Well, models may shift west again tonight though!

Lol...I hear ya...crazy how fast things change...busy week for sure

[Ivanhater]

12z UKMET....Louisiana

Amazing agreement with GFS, UKMET, GFDL all showing just south of New Orleans..looks like we have a problem this week along the north gulfcoast, eh skysummit?

If the storm does follow those models, what can we expect in the Mobile/Pensacola area? When?

With that track, heavy rain and gusty winds as it passes south of our coasts

[PTrackerLA]

Football forecast says it NEVER rains in Tiger Stadium on a Saturday night. so therefore the GFS is wrong. So the saying goes, I've been there when the liquid sunshine was really coming down hard though.

The game is at 2:30pm Saturday though . I'll be there unless we have bigger issues at hand. Not too concerned with this system although it has surprised me how fast it's spun up today. And on the issue of LSU still having a game while N.O. was evacuating, that was 1998. I promise you that would NOT happen in our post-Katrina era.

[dtrain44]

Nobody seems to be mentioning what the inevitable Florida crossing could do to the system - I am pretty new to this game, but doesn't the land interaction here have to have a lot to do with 93L's potential in the Gulf? It would seem to be a big difference to me whether 93L is a TD heading into the Gulf or if it's just some convection struggling to hold onto an LLC. What's the likely impact of Florida on this system as it is?

[JonathanBelles]

Nobody seems to be mentioning what the inevitable Florida crossing could do to the system - I am pretty new to this game, but doesn't the land interaction here have to have a lot to do with 93L's potential in the Gulf? It would seem to be a big difference to me whether 93L is a TD heading into the Gulf or if it's just some convection struggling to hold onto an LLC. What's the likely impact of Florida on this system as it is?

All I expect here in Florida is heavy rain and moderate winds (up to 30mph)

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Nobody seems to be mentioning what the inevitable Florida crossing could do to the system - I am pretty new to this game, but doesn't the land interaction here have to have a lot to do with 93L's potential in the Gulf? It would seem to be a big difference to me whether 93L is a TD heading into the Gulf or if it's just some convection struggling to hold onto an LLC. What's the likely impact of Florida on this system as it is?

Storms don't weaken much over florida- especially south florida-
katrina was actually holding its strength as it crossed south florida.

Despite the shear, this is looking like a Katrina Track/Setup