Tropical Depression TEN: Discussions & Images

[HURAKAN]

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Tammy: (Looked a little more consolidated)

[HURAKAN]

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[caneman]

Look at the rain coming

[HURAKAN]

Don't know if this was already posted:

18/2345 UTC 25.3N 78.8W ST1.5/1.5 93L

[Coredesat]

Yeah, it was posted earlier. There haven't been any fixes since then.

[Stratosphere747]

BAM's were initialized at 26.3N 80.0W.

[Emmett_Brown]

What about that ball of convection just east of the N Bahamas (Bimini?). Any chance of a new center forming in this region? There is some upper level ridging there, and a lot of convergence.

Radar doesnt show anything well definined in the low levels yet... the low off of Miami is really weak and seems to be diffuse enough that it could give way to another better defined low should one form. East in the area of deepest convection would seem a logical place. Radar also shows that this is not happening at this time, however... no sign of rotation out to the E.

[HURAKAN]

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[HURAKAN]

TWD 805:

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA AND A UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA ARE PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...NORTHERN BAHAMAS...AND THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT
THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SURFACE PRESSURES ARE SLOWLY FALLING AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A SUBTROPICAL OR A
TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA AND INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY
BRING SHOWERS...SQUALLS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTION
OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MOSAIC DOPPLER RADAR FROM
THE SE US SHOWS SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
TSTMS ROTATING CYCLONICALLY MAINLY OVER NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALONG SOUTH FLORIDA EAST COAST.

[cycloneye]

BAM's were initialized at 26.3N 80.0W.

As more north in latitud goes,the less warmer waters it will go thru in the Gulf,so is good news.

[fci]

Oh boy.
We get the center to pass over us and all the rain is well to the north.

We NEED the rain HERE!!!!!

Hopefully when we are on the backside of this thing the afternoon thunderstorms will develop inland and move east and northeast and at least we will get PM T-Storms.

I really hoped that we would get our 3-5 inches and it looks like a dud for us.

Good luck to those in the GOM and hope it doesn't develop into anything important.

[deltadog03]

so, bamms where intialized with the low basically on the coast?

[tgenius]

We absolutely need the rain down here in South FL, and from the looks of it, we aren't going to be getting very much.Lake O really needs some of that rain!

[HURAKAN]

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First visible coming really soon!

[Weatherfreak14]

Im soo happy for the people in south flordia finally they will get some rain.

[HURAKAN]

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[wzrgirl1]

as of right now most of the rain is toward the central and northern parts of the east coast of florida....as the LLC (if there is one) creeps closer to the coast, it is possible that south florida may see some good rains out of this, plus with the heating of the day....but right now it is clear....i just drove from west broward county where I live to north dade county where I work and it is pretty clear outside....just humid.

[HURAKAN]

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[tailgater]

If I had to pick out an LLC( very weak) I would go with just south of WPB along the coast, S fla will get it's best chance of rain as the system emerges into the Gulf and they get the southerly flow.IMHO This evening and tomorrow morning. It's not forecast to develop until it reaches the GOM.

[HURAKAN]

In reality the lowest pressure being reported is in Freeport with 1010.8 mb.