Tropical Depression TEN: Discussions & Images

[Zardoz]

What is going on at 25.5N 84W?

GOM AVN Loop

The ULL. Look at a WV loop.

Okay, thanks.

What do you think of this? :

AccuWeather

We expect the upper-level low and surface low to become more vertically stacked on Thursday, putting this system into a process that will allow it to become an organized tropical system just west of Florida. The low will then move west as an organizing tropical system Thursday night and Friday.

[weatherwoman]

is there a low on both sides of florida? i see something e/c and w/c of florida whats going on

[jhamps10]

several options published by accuweather today, Links to each one:
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.a ... &article=0

http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.a ... &article=1

http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.a ... &article=2

[k4sdi]

OK, here's the view from Melbourne

[mattpetre]

is there a low on both sides of florida? i see something e/c and w/c of florida whats going on

There was not a surface low on the west coast of Florida as of a couple hours ago. I'm not sure what they think now...

[redstick]

is there a low on both sides of florida? i see something e/c and w/c of florida whats going on

There was not a surface low on the west coast of Florida as of a couple hours ago. I'm not sure what they think now...

Upper Level Low - Western side of Florida Pennisula. Could dig down and become low level warm core.

Possible surface low-Eastern side of Florida Pennisula. Hard to detect on a hourly basis.

[HURAKAN]

[jasons2k]

The circulation near MLB is very apparent on radar but I cannot find a LLC based on surface obs. Pressures are down but there is not apparent surface reflection based on winds. Winds from MLB down to Palm Beach are consistently out of the NE - the complete wrong direction if a surface low were present @ MLB.

[sevenleft]

The circulation near MLB is very apparent on radar but I cannot find a LLC based on surface obs. Pressures are down but there is not apparent surface reflection based on winds. Winds from MLB down to Palm Beach are consistently out of the NE - the complete wrong direction if a surface low were present @ MLB.

Buoy 41009 has SE winds. It is located on the eastern side of the circulation.

Station TRDF1, located on the cape is now reporting WNW winds.

[AJC3]

The circulation near MLB is very apparent on radar but I cannot find a LLC based on surface obs. Pressures are down but there is not apparent surface reflection based on winds. Winds from MLB down to Palm Beach are consistently out of the NE - the complete wrong direction if a surface low were present @ MLB.

Winds here at the office are out of the west, and just shifted to northwest at the airport. The feature is small and weak, but there is a low out there...trust me.

[dizzyfish]

Question here, hopefully not too off topic.

Is all the weather that I see here http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ECIR4.html
off shore going to eventually make it's way across Florida?

Asking 'cause I would like some rain.

[GeneratorPower]

Looks like Ingrid is back on the NRL and SSD floater. What is up with that? Sorry for the off-topic but it looks like breaking news.

[jasons2k]

Looks like Ingrid is back on the NRL and SSD floater. What is up with that? Sorry for the off-topic but it looks like breaking news.

Sorry, it's not, that's why the Ingrid thread was moved to the active storms forum this AM.

[dizzyfish]

Snippet from the local disco this afternoon:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
127 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2007

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-FRI)...UPPER LOW CURRENTLY IN PLACE OFFSHORE OF
SW FLORIDA WITH THE DEVELOPING SFC LOW STILL IN PLACE OFFSHORE OF SE
FL AND A SECOND LOW TRYING TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE OF NAPLES. DRY AIR
CONTINUES TO WRAP INTO THE UPPER LOW KEEPING SOUTH FL LESS CLOUDY
WITH ONLY WIDELY SCT SHOWER(S) CURRENTLY IN PLACE.

ULL and 2 surface lows = 3 lows? Am I reading that right?

[Stormcenter]

Is this 93L or whatever actually following what "any" of the models are predicting right now in reference to track?

[Ed Mahmoud]

On Melbourne radar, looks like Tropical Disturbance #93L is making landfall now near the Cape.

[Stormcenter]

Snippet from the local disco this afternoon:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
127 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2007

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-FRI)...UPPER LOW CURRENTLY IN PLACE OFFSHORE OF
SW FLORIDA WITH THE DEVELOPING SFC LOW STILL IN PLACE OFFSHORE OF SE
FL AND A SECOND LOW TRYING TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE OF NAPLES. DRY AIR
CONTINUES TO WRAP INTO THE UPPER LOW KEEPING SOUTH FL LESS CLOUDY
WITH ONLY WIDELY SCT SHOWER(S) CURRENTLY IN PLACE.

ULL and 2 surface lows = 3 lows? Am I reading that right?

All it is right now is one big mess and until you get a warm core dominant center that
is all it will be. IMO I have my fingers crossed it stays that way.

[jasons2k]

SECOND LOW TRYING TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE OF NAPLES.

If that is indeed the case, THIS is the area to watch IMO

[Stormcenter]

Interesting NWS discussion excerpt out of Shreveport, LA. this afternoon.

HOWEVER...THERE IS A SUBTROPICAL...MAYBE SOON TO BECOME
TROPICAL...LOW PROGGED TO MOVE OFF OF FLORIDA AND INTO THE GULF
OF MEXICO BY THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SLOWLY DRIFT WEST OVER
THE GULF OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...POSSIBLY REACHING THE AREA JUST
SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS BY SATURDAY...AND BE NEAR BEAUMONT TX BY
SUNDAY MORNING. THESE FORECASTS ARE VERY PRELIMINARY...AND THE
POTENTIAL STRENGTHENING OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE GULF IS NOT KNOWN
AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE IN THE FORECAST FOR NORTH LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS...WITH
HIGHER POPS SOUTH AND LOWER POPS NORTH...FOR THE SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY TIME FRAME...DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL GENERATED BY
THIS SYSTEM.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Watch for a LLC to form just west of Fort Myers florida. Or how ever you say that. This is how I seen Barry 2001 first form.