Tropical Depression TEN: Discussions & Images

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deltadog03
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#1361 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:19 am

Mrs. Kahanek was my chief at my internship....HAHAA AFM...lol
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#1362 Postby gboudx » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:20 am

deltadog03 wrote:Mrs. Kahanek was my chief at my internship....HAHAA AFM...lol


Change your handle from deltadog to luckydog. ;)
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Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1363 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:25 am

I don't envy the forecasters at the local NWS over the next few days because this is one complex forecast. We have good model agreement, but we still don't have all the necessary pieces of the puzzle. Yet. The system's proximity to the shoreline is probably one of the more difficult elements because we don't have the luxury of time.
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caneman

Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1364 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:31 am

This thing looks like crapola. Switchin my attention to the Caribb for now
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#1365 Postby CajunMama » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:32 am

Could we please get back on track???????? I feel like i'm watching the local news with all the "fluff" going on in here :D
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Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1366 Postby MGC » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:33 am

The possibility of a significant TC is going down by the hour. I agree that the recon mission today is a waste of fuel and time as there is no TC in the GOM. If anything does form it will be a weak sheared system that will likely provide some much need rain on someone lawn. This has been so over hyped down here. Yesterday I was thinking a 50% chance of development today I'd say a 25% chance. Nothing here folks, move along......MGC
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#1367 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:35 am

I agree MGC.....nothing going on
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#1368 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:39 am

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I vote to change Florida's motto from "The Sunshine State" to "Please, make it rain!"
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#1369 Postby Steve » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:42 am

>>Yesterday I was thinking a 50% chance of development today I'd say a 25% chance. Nothing here folks, move along......MGC

I'd say there's about a 95% chance you're going to be wrong (but probably not by much).

>>
>>I agree MGC.....nothing going on

Well there are about 5,000 other threads on the site where something might be going on that interests you, so... ;)
--------------------------------
I don't know what people were expecting to see today. Any "good looks" will be tomorrow, if ever. I think about 30% of the board's population needs to get on either ADHD medicine, or for those who are on it, you need to start taking it.

Steve
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Re:

#1370 Postby fci » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:45 am

HURAKAN wrote:I vote to change Florida's motto from "The Sunshine State" to "Please, make it rain!"


WOW, what a tease 93L was.
So promising as it first started off the SE FL coast and was bring us the north easterly flow with bursts of rain and then............................. nothing............................

I will cast my vote with you on the motto change..
Perhaps a second choice would be The Brown Lawn State
Last edited by fci on Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1371 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:47 am

What ever it becomes is really looking like a NO storm...all models have latched on to that idea now except Euro which I would bet will be next..
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Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1372 Postby ronjon » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:52 am

Are we seeing the development of an LLC about 60 miles west of Naples? Showing up on long range Key West RAD.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=BYX&loop=yes
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caneman

Re:

#1373 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:54 am

Steve wrote:>>Yesterday I was thinking a 50% chance of development today I'd say a 25% chance. Nothing here folks, move along......MGC

I'd say there's about a 95% chance you're going to be wrong (but probably not by much).

>>
>>I agree MGC.....nothing going on

Well there are about 5,000 other threads on the site where something might be going on that interests you, so... ;)
--------------------------------
I don't know what people were expecting to see today. Any "good looks" will be tomorrow, if ever. I think about 30% of the board's population needs to get on either ADHD medicine, or for those who are on it, you need to start taking it.

Steve



Steve,

Clearly this system hasn't lived up to the potential that was forecast and looks like it probably won't either. NOw I'll go take my pill :wink: And when you've taken yours :D you might wanta check out the Caribb.
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#1374 Postby sevenleft » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:54 am

It's a little bit funny that a surface low is finally developing in the GOM and NOW people are giving up on it.
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caneman

Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1375 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:57 am

sevenleft,

There have been a variety of surface lows in and around the area. Need favorable consditions for it to actually develop. Still time for something minimal but a long way to go.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1376 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:57 am

Hmmm, I'd have expected to see the automated HDOBs from the plane warming up at Keesler by now. I thought the scheduled arrival time was 12:30 pm EDT. I know it isn't a very long flight, but still...
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#1377 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:57 am

Too much shear right now for anything.
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Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1378 Postby sevenleft » Thu Sep 20, 2007 11:59 am

caneman wrote:sevenleft,

There have been a variety of surface lows in and around the area. Need favorable consditions for it to actually develop. Still time for something minimal but a long way to go.
Surface lows over central Florida don't really count.

If something happens, it's going to come from the one that is establish itself now.
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caneman

Re: INVEST 93L: Eastern Gulf : Discussions & Images

#1379 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 20, 2007 12:00 pm

That one has been there for awhile as well. Check back throughout the thread. Many claimed and perhaps right that it was there yesterday. YOu need more than just a surface low........
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#1380 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Sep 20, 2007 12:04 pm

This isn't over yet, I didn't really expect anything to really get going till Friday anyway. A system in this setup will take longer, but once it gets going it could develop rapidly. Things will start popping down there late this afternoon or this evening IMO.
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