Tropical Depression TEN: Discussions & Images

[Brent]

This reminds me of Gabrielle. A lot of hype and then a big nothing. I will be very surprised if this is more than a weak TS. Next please.

[k4sdi]

...I know people expect to see RI all the time but it just doesn't happen that often.

Seems to happen more than usual this season.

[Wx_Warrior]

I would never call people out but a few have been quiet since the EURO has moved a tad...Its a shame how some convince themselves of one thing and then POOF, they are gone.

Best thing is stop making BOLD calls when NOTHING is formed, regardless what models say.

[LaBreeze]

and, my goodness, can't anyone just make the comment that "anything can happen?" It's just a comment and something that I have noticed in my fifty-somthing years.

[jhamps10]

I would never call people out but a few have been quiet since the EURO has moved a tad...Its a shame how some convince themselves of one thing and then POOF, they are gone.

Best thing is stop making BOLD calls when NOTHING is formed, regardless what models say.

hey, some people can't be on here 24 hours a day, we got other things to do like school, errens etc...

All I got to say is, this was a TOTAL waste thus far.

[LaBreeze]

Thanks Sabanic, I'm glad that you understood what I was saying.

[WeatherNLU]

and, my goodness, can't anyone just make the comment that "anything can happen?" It's just a comment and something that I have noticed in my fifty-somthing years.

Calm down, you were absolutely right. Don't worry about what other people say. Regardless of whether the situation is the same or not, things in tropics change rapidly. Anyone who disputes that is wasting their time. They were just trying to explain the differences in the situation.

Right now, no there is not going to be anything like that happening. That doesn't mean things can't and won't change.

[eaglegirl]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
149 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM.

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 149 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS...CONTAINING WATERSPOUTS...4 MILES SOUTH OF M6
REEF...OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SIESTA KEY...MOVING NORTH AT 15
KNOTS.

* THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
M4 REEF BY 210 PM EDT.
LYNN SILVERTOOTHS REEF BY 215 PM EDT.
M1 REEF BY 220 PM EDT.

SEEK SAFETY IMMEDIATELY!

PLEASE REPORT WATERSPOUTS OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 34 KNOTS OR
HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER...AND ANY VESSEL DAMAGE
TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323.

&&

LAT...LON 2741 8292 2741 8267 2712 8249 2703 8279
TIME...MOT...LOC 1749Z 185DEG 20KT 2715 8270

$$

25

[sphelps8681]

I live in Lumberton, Tx which is North of Beaumont. And was here for Rita and Humberto. And based on those storms anything can happen in my experience. Like they say it ain't over till the fat lady sings.

I would hate for another to hit here, but I sure would like to be prepared if it does. Did not get much prep time on the last two storms. So if I here the pro mets say that it is possible that this thing could come my way, whether it is a 20% or 80% chance I appreciate that they are looking at all the models and available data and not just one piece of the puzzle.

I appreciate all the info i get here. Ya'll all do a great job. Keep up the good work.

Thanks

[cpdaman]

first does anyone else agree that this should be a subtropical depression right NOW

now subtropical storms have their highest winds out from the center and usually most convection as well. also these kind of storms don't rapadily intensify like pure tropical systems can. but still 2 foot surge in s. carolina from howling winds. 10 inches of rain in N. fl and now the N gulf coast can get ready for more of the same, although probably a bit worse

[poof121]

I think after the recon they will make it a least a subtropical depression at 4pm, given the winds they are finding out there.

[BigA]

first does anyone else agree that this should be a subtropical depression right NOW

Perhaps. Right now, I see wind reports of about 32 mph with gusts to 36, so maybe this is a subtropical depression. In any case, the recon will say for sure.

[Steve]

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

Some development? Animate on a zoom and see some of the cloud tops cooling nearer to the center of the circulation. Not sure if the snowball is rolling downhill yet, but at least there is some consolidation of storms closer into the circulation.

Steve

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Based on what others posted that recon is finding,
I think we will have a subtropical depression
at 5.

[jasons2k]

People, people:

Once again this is the Active Storms forum. Cut the chat and OT posts please!!! It's getting out of control...Thanks!!

[sphelps8681]

I know this may sound like a stupid question, but what is the difference between tropical and subtropical.

[drezee]

Winds are gusting to TS force in NE GOM:

20/16 SGOF1 29.4 -84.8 23.5 22.5 030 29 G 31 030 36 1010.5 0.0 29.3 SGOF1
20/18 SGOF1 29.4 -84.8 25.4 22.5 050 28 G 32 050 34 1009.7 -0.9 29.3 SGOF1

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SGOF1

[chadtm80]

I know this may sound like a stupid question, but what is the difference between tropical and subtropical.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subtropical_cyclone

[M_0331]

It is amazing that the center is in the gulf because S.C. has been hit by some serious feeder bands today with more coming.
Eddie

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

It is amazing that the center is in the gulf because S.C. has been hit by some serious feeder bands today with more coming.
Eddie

That's a characteristic of subtropical cyclones- the worst weather can
be 200 miles away from the center while here near the center in western
florida it is actually pretty calm outside...like we are in some giant eye...
of course it is breezy but certainly nothing as intense as what the carolinas
are getting.

Interestingly enough- South Carolina NE FL and GA have been
getting the tropical storm type weather from this over the
past few days. It's almost as if a tropical storm moved
right on top of you guys. I mean that describes the weather
conditions in those areas.