ULL in the North Central Atlantic

#41 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Sep 21, 2007 6:27 pm

Very intense convection.

#42 Postby **RL3AO** » Fri Sep 21, 2007 6:39 pm

I wonder if the NHC would upgrade this at anytime. Its not even an invest. They said they were watching for signs of tropical development. It has to be close now.

#43 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Sep 21, 2007 7:36 pm

TWD 805:

THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS A LONG DRAWN OUT SFC
TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM A NEARLY STATIONARY 1009 MB LOW NEAR
35N47W TO A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 18N56W ALONG 32N46W 25N50W 15N57W.
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGES AND THE TPW ANIMATION...THE SRN LOW IS
LIKELY PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE NRN PORTION OF A TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY IN THE CENTRAL CARIB. THE NRN LOW...NON-TROPICAL
IN NATURE...HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE YESTERDAY AND IS BEING
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. A SWATH OF MID TO
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 240 NM E
OF THE TROUGH AXIS.

punkyg · #44 Postby **punkyg** » Fri Sep 21, 2007 8:34 pm

New pic.
Hey is that convection rapping into the low?

#45 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Sep 21, 2007 9:22 pm

10:30 PM TWO

A NEARLY STATIONARY NON-TROPICAL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS
LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION SINCE YESTERDAY AND CONDITIONS
ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.

#46 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 5:14 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC

A NON-TROPICAL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC LOCATED ABOUT 1100
MILES EAST OF BERMUDA IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. WHILE THIS
SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT...CONDITIONS
ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

#47 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 5:22 am

#48 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 5:23 am

All the images:

#49 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 5:25 am

This should haved been a invest a couple of days ago.But still not one?

#50 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 5:26 am

cycloneye wrote:This should haved been a invest a couple of days ago.But still not one?

I know, it's still not an invest, and convection is developing all around the LLC. Do you want something more tropical than that!!!

#51 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 5:40 am

SHIP S 1000 36.10 -48.20 59 276 340 29.1 - - - - - 29.93 +0.05 73.2 76.1 70.7
SHIP S 0900 36.20 -47.90 45 286 350 25.3 - - - - - 29.90 +0.03 74.1 76.1 71.1

Two ship reports, a few hundred miles from the center of circulation, reporting gusty winds far out.

#52 Postby **storms in NC** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 7:49 am

They said somthing about it this morning

A NEARLY STATIONARY NON-TROPICAL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS
LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. THERE HAS BEEN NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION SINCE YESTERDAY AND CONDITIONS
ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

#53 Postby **RL3AO** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 9:39 am

At least they said something different. This might have post-season written on it.

#54 Postby **RL3AO** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 9:48 am

#55 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 10:15 am

423
ABNT20 KNHC 221510
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC
A NON-TROPICAL LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC LOCATED ABOUT 1150
MILES EAST OF BERMUDA IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. SHOWER
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LIMITED...AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH

#56 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 2:06 pm

#57 Postby **RL3AO** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 2:08 pm

I guess its not a convection issue else we would be following Jerry.

#58 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 2:32 pm

#59 Postby **BigA** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 2:43 pm

This thing looks like it is slowly becoming tropical over a period of days. Looks more tropical than yesterday.

#60 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Sep 22, 2007 3:53 pm

95L is up!

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=98216&hilit=&p=1641556#p1641556

ULL in the North Central Atlantic

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Re: ULL in the North Central Atlantic: becoming better organized

Re: ULL in the North Central Atlantic: becoming better organized

Re: ULL in the North Central Atlantic

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