Well Organized Low Pressure SSW of Cape Verde Islands

[CrazyC83]

Should be 96L anytime now.

[JTD]

GFS *appears* to go fishing at 0Z but I didn't track the low from the beginning so I'm not sure.

[cycloneye]

00z CMC



The 00z Canadian model develops it in a strong way,and tracks almost westward,with a more WNW at the end.Gets very close to the Leeward islands.

[Fego]

What about NOGAPS Cycloneye ?

[marcane_1973]

00z CMC



The 00z Canadian model develops it in a strong way,and tracks almost westward,with a more WNW at the end.Gets very close to the Leeward islands.

I had a feeling that this storm was going to have a hard time fishing being as far south as it is. This one could be a big punch to some of the Leeward islands. Looks like this will be the talk of the tropics for awhile to come. If this strom does get that strong the U.S. better hope for a trough to pick this baby up especially with that more of a wnw at the end.

[cycloneye]

2:05 AM TWD

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ANALYZED AS A 1010 MB LOW IS
ABOUT 500 NM S OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR 8N24W MOVING WNW
AT 15-20 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION
ARE FROM 3N-13N BETWEEN 22W-30W. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS
WELL-ORGANIZED AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

[BigA]

2:05 AM TWD

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ANALYZED AS A 1010 MB LOW IS
ABOUT 500 NM S OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR 8N24W MOVING WNW
AT 15-20 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION
ARE FROM 3N-13N BETWEEN 22W-30W. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS
WELL-ORGANIZED AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

Wow, We've got a 4 way race to Jerry! In any event, things thing should develop, and its wondrous south, so it isnt an autofish by any means. Cant wait to check back when I wake up.

[HURAKAN]

934
WHXX01 KWBC 230731
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0731 UTC SUN SEP 23 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962007) 20070923 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070923 0600 070923 1800 070924 0600 070924 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 6.2N 26.1W 6.8N 28.1W 7.7N 30.6W 8.9N 33.4W
BAMD 6.2N 26.1W 6.6N 28.2W 7.3N 30.3W 8.2N 32.6W
BAMM 6.2N 26.1W 7.0N 28.3W 7.9N 30.8W 8.9N 33.4W
LBAR 6.2N 26.1W 6.8N 28.9W 7.8N 32.0W 9.0N 35.2W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 38KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 38KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070925 0600 070926 0600 070927 0600 070928 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 9.9N 36.4W 12.0N 42.7W 14.5N 49.6W 17.5N 55.3W
BAMD 9.0N 34.8W 10.1N 39.6W 11.7N 44.1W 13.9N 47.2W
BAMM 9.7N 36.0W 10.9N 41.5W 12.4N 46.8W 14.8N 50.6W
LBAR 10.1N 38.4W 12.0N 44.1W 14.1N 48.6W .0N .0W
SHIP 58KTS 76KTS 84KTS 83KTS
DSHP 58KTS 76KTS 84KTS 83KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 6.2N LONCUR = 26.1W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 6.2N LONM12 = 23.0W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 6.2N LONM24 = 19.9W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

96L is up: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=98229&p=1641925#p1641925