Ex Tropical Depression KAREN: Discussions & Images

[Beam]

Easy there, H. Don't count your chickens before they're hatched and what not. Besides, there's a chance that this one could wind up being Lorenzo or even (though unlikely) Melissa. Gotta be careful making images like that.

[HURAKAN]

Easy there, H. Don't count your chickens before they're hatched and what not. Besides, there's a chance that this one could wind up being Lorenzo or even (though unlikely) Melissa. Gotta be careful making images like that.

ex. 94L: Not likely to become Karen as upper level winds remain unfavorable.

97L: Not organizing at the moment and upper level winds are not the best for development.

Therefore, if you're thinking of Karen forming in the near future, then 96L presents itself as the best case.

[Chacor]

I think you're rather missing the point, it's not even a TC yet, not really right to stick the word "Karen" next to an image of an invest, because someone who's just browsing might treat it as real.

[HURAKAN]

I think you're rather missing the point, it's not even a TC yet, not really right to stick the word "Karen" next to an image of an invest, because someone who's just browsing might treat it as real.

To eliminate the controversy I changed it. Nevertheless, since I knew it was just an invest that's why at the bottom it said that Karen was not far from the present, meaning, that it had not formed yet.

[cycloneye]

8:05 AM TWD

A 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 565 NM SW OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR 8.5N31W. THIS LARGE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10-15 KT. A MORE CONCENTRATED AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW MOSTLY W OF
THE CENTER FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 31W-37W. ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE ELSEWHERE FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 29W-38W.
THIS IS ONE OF THE MORE CLASSIC LOOKING CAPE VERDE SYSTEMS WE
HAVE SEEN OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS.

$$
MW



Mike Watkins?

http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?n ... ge&pid=109

[RL3AO]

If organization continues we could get to code orange at 11:30 am or 5:30 pm.

[Chacor]

$$
MW



Mike Watkins?

http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?n ... ge&pid=109

No.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutstaff.shtml

Mark Willis.

[cycloneye]

Thank you Chacor.I thought it was the host of Talking Tropics show .

[punkyg]

Hi yall,
man i thinking TD later today or tomorrow yea!
cycloneye can you make a poll about what day and what hour 96L would form into a TD you know like you did for ingrid

[HURAKAN]

I don't want to be the first mentioning the "K" word!!!

[punkyg]

Whats the T numbers for 96L?

[HURAKAN]

Whats the T numbers for 96L?

24/0600 UTC 8.7N 30.6W T1.0/1.0 96L -- Atlantic Ocean

That was at 6Z, now it's almost 12Z.

[HURAKAN]

[boca]

96L might have a good shot at Karen but I think it will be a fish. The only way this might make it across is if it stays weak and doesn't develop.Especially this time of year.

[stormchazer]

96L might have a good shot at Karen but I think it will be a fish. The only way this might make it across is if it stays weak and doesn't develop.Especially this time of year.

The fact that it is at a very low Latitude could have a bearing as well, especially if an LLC forms low, but I agree that storms forming in the East Atlantic this time of year have a good chance of recurving.

[Typhoon_Willie]

Lets not call this a fish yet. At least until more evidence suggest that is what will happen.

[canegrl04]

96L might have a good shot at Karen but I think it will be a fish. The only way this might make it across is if it stays weak and doesn't develop.Especially this time of year.

Hopefully its a fish.Because if it isn't, a major hurricane in the making is going to do alot of damage from the Carribean,to the US

[wxman57]

Very good rotation on satellite. About to 9N now. High pressure to the north is not nearly as strong as in late August or early September. Ridge weakens west of 50W, which should allow for a northward turn east of the Caribbean. Only question is whether the northward turn just takes it out to sea of if it's blocked and shoved back westward toward the Bahamas or SE U.S. It does look well on its way to becoming a TD by tomorrow. Probably not today.

[HURAKAN]

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
24/1145 UTC 9.0N 31.3W T1.0/1.0 96L