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'CaneFreak wrote:Ok, now I am changing the title of this thread. It appears now from the SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) that we are now trending away from a La Nina pattern. It may have peaked a few weeks ago and now it is on the decline. I agree with the CPC in saying that we HAD La Nina a couple of weeks ago, but now I am not so sure with the recent SOI trends. This is certainly strange for a moderate La Nina. We dont go through SOI trends like this in a REAL La Nina. I am now thinking that this negative trend we are seeing may be linked with other climatic factors and causing this strong shear we have seen all year. This has really been a weird season. Shear is hardly ever an issue in seasons with La Nina.
Jim Hughes wrote:'CaneFreak wrote:Ok, now I am changing the title of this thread. It appears now from the SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) that we are now trending away from a La Nina pattern. It may have peaked a few weeks ago and now it is on the decline. I agree with the CPC in saying that we HAD La Nina a couple of weeks ago, but now I am not so sure with the recent SOI trends. This is certainly strange for a moderate La Nina. We dont go through SOI trends like this in a REAL La Nina. I am now thinking that this negative trend we are seeing may be linked with other climatic factors and causing this strong shear we have seen all year. This has really been a weird season. Shear is hardly ever an issue in seasons with La Nina.
We saw the SOI go out of phase with the last lengthy La Nina between 98-00. It's no big deal.
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