INVEST 98L: FL East Coast: Discussions & Images

[ronjon]

On NASA's High RES VIS SAT you can clearly make out the LLC right over or just west of Key West. It's exposed with the heavy convection being sheared off to the east.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

We have moderate rain right now at SR84/turnpike/I-95 area.

20 minutes ago we had very heavy tropical rain with some dark scary looking clouds. Currently is light grey featureless overcast with the moderate rain.

No lightning/thunder at all so far today (unlike yesterday)

[Sanibel]

No lightning/thunder is sign of tropical nature.

[hiflyer]

We do have a radar out of key west.....It does show some slight rotation. I have noticed a llc just north of key west.

Huh ...

Last image I'm getting from KBYX is from 11:05:55 PM last night.

Same here..it's down.

[Sanibel]

NOAA Floater on 98L.

Initial motion drift WSW.

[ronjon]

11 AM Pressures are actually falling along the SW FL coast and rising along the SE coast. This indicates to me that at least for the short term that this low pressure may move more northerly than NE.

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
PUNTA GORDA MOSUNNY 84 72 67 E8 30.01F
FT MYERS SUNNY 82 73 74 E7 29.98F
SOUTHWEST INTL MOSUNNY 80 73 79 NE6 29.98F
NAPLES PTSUNNY 85 73 67 E9 29.97F
MARATHON RAIN 76 72 87 VRB7 29.97R FOG
KEY WEST NAS PTSUNNY 77 74 90 NE7 29.96R
KEY WEST INTL CLOUDY 82 73 74 NE8 29.95S

FLZ067-068-071>074-168-172>174-261600-
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
W PALM BEACH LGT RAIN 74 71 91 CALM 30.01F
FT LAUDER-EXEC HVY RAIN 72 69 90 E9 30.01R FOG
FT LAUDERDALE RAIN 73 70 88 SE7 30.02R FOG
PEMBROKE PINES HVY RAIN 73 72 94 SE12 30.04R FOG
OPA LOCKA N/A N/A N/A N/A MISG 30.02R
MIAMI LGT RAIN 74 70 87 NE8 30.02R
MIAMI BEACH N/A 73 72 94 MISG 30.00R
WEST KENDALL RAIN 73 71 93 NE7 30.00S
HOMESTEAD RAIN 72 70 94 E9 30.01R FOG

[AJC3]

FYI...

http://www.weather.gov/data/KEY/FTMBYX

NOUS62 KMFL 261513
FTMBYX
Message Date: Sep 26 2007 15:13:19

KBYX RADAR IS DOWN FOR AT LEAST THROUGH MIDDAY TOMORROW 27 SEPT.
TECHS FOUND A DEFECTIVE SERVO POWER AMP AND AZIMUTH MOTOR. PARTS
ARE ON ORDER AND EXPECTED TO ARRIVE MID MORNING TOMORROW. TECHS
WILL REPLACE PARTS TOMORROW. WILL KEEP UPDATED TO ETR.

[HouTXmetro]

Ok.. I thought The High Pressure over the Gulf would push this West as TD13 is moving west...??????

[fci]

Definitely had thunder this morning at around 7:15 AM up here in Palm Beach County.

I don't think there is a TD from this thing until it is offshore east of Florida. Hopefully, it will take its time and pinwheel the huge area of convection North and Northwest into our area and up to Lake O.

This is the chance for us to get a good 5-10 inches of rain over a 2-3 day period (including some good rain last night) before we get back into the drought type pattern again.



Then lets see if the Tropical Wave (old 97L) can bring us some more rain this weekend.
UKMET needs to change its mind and not have Karen lurking for us afterwards!

[Sanibel]

No, the Texas magnet isn't working on this one. It should go up the trough.

Sunny dry and blue sky here where we need the rain.

[hiflyer]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1111 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2007

FLC087-261645-
1111 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
MIDDLE KEYS IN MONROE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MARATHON...

* UNTIL 1245 PM EDT

* AT 1115 AM EDT DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LARGE AREA OF
LIGHT RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED POCKETS OF MODERATE RAIN OVER THE
MIDDLE KEYS...AND THE ADJACENT NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH FOR
OVER 20 MILES...MOVING LITTLE. RADAR ESTIMATES AND OBSERVATIONS
REVEAL OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN SOME LOCATIONS SINCE
MIDNIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER TO ONE INCH OF RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS THAT SOMBRERO BOULEVARD AND SOMBRERO COUNTRY
CLUB ARE SIGNIFICANTLY FLOODED.

[rainydaze]

Tons of rain here in Palm Bch Gardens for past two days. Big thunderstorms overnight too.

[Vortex]

This is nearly the perfect set-up for a flood event along the SE Florida coast and upper keys...By Thursday evening it's possible to have localized areas receiving 10"+ from the northern keys and especially along the SE coast of Florida..

[Vortex]

12Z GFS at H+12 depicts surface reflection tonight at 8pm


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_012l.gif

[Vortex]

H+24
low moving off the SE coast of Florida

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024l.gif

[Vortex]

H+30

Some drying by Thursday evening for S.FL and the Keys..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_030l.gif

[Jinkers]

It's been dark, and light rain all morning, have had some heavy tropical down pours here in Hollywood FL (Southeast Broward County), no thunder or lightning today tho.

[gatorcane]

The Low is swirling west of Key West...not moving

possible rapid intensification on this folks. Stay tuned. South Florida get ready for alot of rain at the minimum

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html

[cycloneye]

Will this end the drought that parts of Florida has been thru? Lets see if Lake Okechobee fills.

[Lowpressure]

The Low is swirling west of Key West...not moving

possible rapid intensification on this folks. Stay tuned. South Florida get ready for alot of rain at the minimum

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html

I see a sheared system with the low becoming exposed, not buying RI. Not today anyway. IMO.