Tropical Depression LORENZO: Discussions & Images

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261718
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 20 20070926
171100 2053N 09442W 9772 00298 0109 +234 +228 351010 010 999 999 03
171130 2052N 09444W 9771 00299 0109 +234 +224 354010 011 999 999 03
171200 2051N 09445W 9771 00299 0109 +236 +220 350011 012 999 999 03
171230 2050N 09447W 9771 00300 0111 +234 +216 348011 011 999 999 03
171300 2050N 09448W 9771 00300 0111 +234 +220 340011 011 999 999 03
171330 2049N 09450W 9771 00300 0110 +234 +222 340010 011 999 999 03
171400 2048N 09451W 9771 00300 0110 +234 +232 349009 009 999 999 03
171430 2047N 09452W 9771 00301 0111 +234 +232 351009 009 999 999 03
171500 2046N 09454W 9772 00301 0112 +236 +228 336007 009 999 999 03
171530 2045N 09455W 9769 00305 0114 +230 +230 355008 009 999 999 03
171600 2044N 09457W 9773 00301 0114 +230 +230 314010 010 999 999 03
171630 2044N 09458W 9769 00305 0115 +226 +226 298013 016 999 999 03
171700 2043N 09459W 9774 00299 0115 +216 +216 307014 014 999 999 03
171730 2042N 09501W 9767 00305 0114 +224 +224 322014 015 999 999 03
171800 2041N 09502W 9773 00301 0114 +236 +232 324015 015 999 999 03
171830 2040N 09503W 9771 00303 0114 +236 +228 320014 014 999 999 03
171900 2040N 09505W 9771 00304 0115 +236 +228 320015 015 999 999 03
171930 2039N 09506W 9772 00303 0115 +232 +232 310015 015 999 999 03
172000 2038N 09507W 9770 00305 0115 +230 +230 309015 016 999 999 03
172030 2037N 09509W 9771 00305 0116 +230 +230 308015 016 999 999 03
$$

[Derek Ortt]

may be degenerating into a broad area of low-pressure based upon that pass

[Thunder44]

000
URNT12 KNHC 261720
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 26/17:01:10Z
B. 21 deg 12 min N
094 deg 17 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 20 kt
E. 47 deg 035 nm
F. 104 deg 023 kt
G. 42 deg 016 nm
H. EXTRAP 1010 mb
I. 23 C/ 306 m
J. 24 C/ 305 m
K. 22 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 00134/ 1
O. 0.02 / 8 nm
P. AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 07
MAX FL WIND 23 KT NE QUAD 16:55:00 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.
SFC CNTR W/IN 5NM OF FL CNTR

[Thunder44]

Recon fixed a center afternoon about 50 miles NE of the NHC position from the 11am Advisory.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261728
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 21 20070926
172100 2036N 09510W 9771 00305 0117 +228 +228 304015 016 999 999 03
172130 2035N 09512W 9774 00301 0118 +212 +212 310014 015 999 999 03
172200 2035N 09513W 9766 00309 0119 +212 +212 325015 017 999 999 03
172230 2034N 09514W 9773 00304 0117 +234 +228 313017 017 999 999 03
172300 2033N 09516W 9772 00305 0117 +236 +222 309015 016 999 999 03
172330 2032N 09517W 9771 00306 0117 +236 +222 313016 016 999 999 03
172400 2031N 09518W 9772 00305 0117 +236 +228 316017 017 999 999 03
172430 2030N 09520W 9771 00307 0118 +232 +232 315018 018 999 999 03
172500 2030N 09521W 9771 00307 0119 +230 +230 315018 018 999 999 03
172530 2029N 09522W 9771 00308 0120 +232 +232 320017 018 999 999 03
172600 2028N 09524W 9772 00307 0120 +232 +230 319017 018 999 999 03
172630 2027N 09525W 9771 00308 0120 +232 +232 315017 018 999 999 03
172700 2026N 09526W 9771 00308 0120 +230 +230 314016 017 999 999 03
172730 2025N 09528W 9771 00308 0120 +232 +228 324018 018 999 999 03
172800 2025N 09529W 9771 00309 0121 +236 +222 322019 019 999 999 03
172830 2024N 09530W 9772 00308 0121 +230 +230 312016 017 999 999 03
172900 2023N 09532W 9770 00309 0120 +228 +228 323015 017 999 999 03
172930 2022N 09533W 9770 00309 0120 +230 +230 330016 018 999 999 03
173000 2021N 09535W 9774 00305 0124 +202 +202 326015 016 999 999 03
173030 2020N 09536W 9772 00306 0123 +198 +198 324017 019 999 999 03
$$

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261738
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 22 20070926
173100 2020N 09537W 9769 00310 0123 +206 +206 319018 019 999 999 03
173130 2019N 09539W 9769 00311 0121 +230 +230 322019 020 999 999 03
173200 2018N 09540W 9773 00307 0121 +234 +234 319021 021 999 999 03
173230 2017N 09541W 9771 00309 0120 +236 +232 320022 022 999 999 03
173300 2016N 09543W 9772 00309 0122 +236 +230 317021 022 999 999 03
173330 2015N 09544W 9771 00310 0122 +236 +224 321021 022 999 999 03
173400 2015N 09545W 9771 00310 0122 +236 +222 320022 023 999 999 03
173430 2014N 09547W 9769 00313 0123 +236 +220 319023 023 999 999 03
173500 2012N 09546W 9771 00311 0123 +238 +216 315024 024 999 999 03
173530 2012N 09544W 9773 00308 0122 +236 +218 312022 022 999 999 03
173600 2013N 09543W 9772 00309 0122 +238 +218 311021 021 999 999 03
173630 2014N 09541W 9772 00308 0121 +236 +224 311021 022 999 999 03
173700 2014N 09540W 9770 00310 0120 +236 +228 308021 022 999 999 03
173730 2014N 09538W 9771 00310 0122 +236 +228 306021 021 999 999 03
173800 2014N 09536W 9772 00308 0121 +232 +232 305019 019 999 999 03
173830 2014N 09534W 9771 00308 0120 +230 +230 306018 020 999 999 03
173900 2015N 09532W 9770 00309 0120 +226 +226 311019 020 999 999 03
173930 2015N 09531W 9772 00306 0119 +230 +230 309019 021 999 999 03
174000 2015N 09529W 9772 00306 0119 +226 +226 309019 020 999 999 03
174030 2015N 09527W 9770 00308 0119 +230 +224 301022 023 999 999 03
$$

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 261748
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 23 20070926
174100 2015N 09525W 9772 00306 0119 +232 +228 301019 020 999 999 03
174130 2016N 09524W 9770 00308 0119 +228 +228 296019 019 999 999 03
174200 2016N 09522W 9772 00306 0119 +226 +226 294018 019 999 999 03
174230 2016N 09520W 9771 00307 0119 +226 +226 297019 020 999 999 03
174300 2016N 09518W 9771 00307 0119 +230 +226 295019 019 999 999 03
174330 2016N 09516W 9771 00306 0118 +232 +222 292020 021 999 999 03
174400 2016N 09515W 9772 00305 0118 +232 +220 288020 021 999 999 03
174430 2017N 09513W 9771 00305 0116 +232 +220 284019 019 999 999 03
174500 2017N 09511W 9771 00305 0116 +230 +230 281019 019 999 999 03
174530 2017N 09509W 9772 00304 0117 +230 +230 276016 018 999 999 03
174600 2017N 09508W 9770 00306 0117 +228 +228 280015 016 999 999 03
174630 2017N 09506W 9771 00305 0117 +228 +228 283016 017 999 999 03
174700 2017N 09504W 9771 00305 0117 +230 +226 286018 018 999 999 03
174730 2018N 09502W 9771 00304 0115 +230 +228 290017 018 999 999 03
174800 2018N 09500W 9771 00304 0116 +228 +228 284017 017 999 999 03
174830 2018N 09459W 9771 00304 0115 +230 +228 288017 018 999 999 03
174900 2018N 09457W 9771 00303 0114 +234 +216 288018 018 999 999 03
174930 2018N 09455W 9771 00303 0114 +234 +218 284017 017 999 999 03
175000 2018N 09453W 9771 00303 0114 +230 +226 283018 019 999 999 03
175030 2019N 09452W 9772 00302 0114 +234 +212 287017 018 999 999 03
$$

Someone else can take over if they can...

[vegastar]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261758
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 24 20070926
175100 2019N 09450W 9770 00304 0114 +230 +216 285016 017 999 999 03
175130 2019N 09448W 9772 00302 0114 +230 +224 283015 016 999 999 03
175200 2019N 09446W 9771 00303 0114 +230 +224 283015 015 999 999 03
175230 2019N 09444W 9771 00303 0114 +230 +230 281014 015 999 999 03
175300 2019N 09443W 9771 00302 0113 +232 +230 278014 015 999 999 03
175330 2020N 09441W 9770 00302 0111 +236 +224 273016 016 999 999 03
175400 2020N 09439W 9772 00300 0112 +234 +226 272017 017 999 999 03
175430 2020N 09437W 9771 00302 0113 +232 +228 268018 018 999 999 03
175500 2020N 09436W 9770 00303 0113 +230 +230 261017 018 999 999 03
175530 2020N 09434W 9771 00302 0113 +228 +228 260014 015 999 999 03
175600 2020N 09432W 9772 00300 0112 +226 +226 255014 015 999 999 03
175630 2021N 09430W 9771 00301 0112 +230 +230 258017 018 999 999 03
175700 2021N 09428W 9772 00299 0111 +230 +230 256018 019 999 999 03
175730 2021N 09426W 9769 00302 0110 +232 +232 258020 021 999 999 03
175800 2021N 09425W 9773 00297 0109 +236 +228 257020 021 999 999 03
175830 2021N 09423W 9769 00301 0109 +238 +218 257018 020 999 999 03
175900 2021N 09421W 9774 00296 0109 +234 +230 248018 020 999 999 03
175930 2022N 09420W 9771 00299 0112 +216 +216 255019 020 999 999 03
180000 2022N 09418W 9769 00302 0113 +216 +216 231021 023 999 999 03
180030 2022N 09416W 9772 00298 0110 +230 +230 231018 019 999 999 03
$$

I can only post this set for now.

[Derek Ortt]

the main problem with this system is no low-level convergence

if some does not form, this may not make it onshore. Was a little surpised when I saw this about an hour ago

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261808
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 25 20070926
180100 2022N 09414W 9772 00298 0109 +234 +228 235018 018 999 999 03
180130 2022N 09412W 9769 00302 0110 +236 +224 233021 022 999 999 03
180200 2022N 09411W 9772 00299 0111 +232 +224 239018 020 999 999 03
180230 2023N 09409W 9773 00299 0114 +216 +216 235019 020 999 999 03
180300 2023N 09407W 9770 00302 0112 +228 +218 231021 022 999 999 03
180330 2023N 09405W 9772 00300 0113 +224 +216 228021 021 999 999 03
180400 2023N 09403W 9769 00303 0112 +228 +228 227022 024 999 999 03
180430 2023N 09402W 9773 00299 0112 +228 +228 225024 025 999 999 03
180500 2023N 09400W 9771 00301 0112 +228 +228 224024 024 999 999 03
180530 2024N 09358W 9771 00301 0113 +222 +222 226024 025 999 999 03
180600 2024N 09356W 9771 00301 0113 +222 +222 232025 025 999 999 03
180630 2024N 09354W 9772 00301 0114 +222 +222 230026 027 999 999 03
180700 2024N 09353W 9771 00303 0115 +226 +226 228027 027 999 999 03
180730 2024N 09351W 9770 00304 0115 +226 +226 227027 028 999 999 03
180800 2024N 09349W 9771 00303 0115 +226 +226 228026 026 999 999 03
180830 2024N 09347W 9770 00304 0114 +230 +230 234025 026 999 999 03
180900 2025N 09345W 9774 00301 0115 +230 +230 226027 027 999 999 03
180930 2025N 09343W 9770 00305 0115 +230 +230 225028 028 999 999 03
181000 2025N 09342W 9771 00304 0115 +230 +230 229028 029 999 999 03
181030 2025N 09340W 9770 00306 0116 +230 +230 229025 025 999 999 03

[Lowpressure]

Not much wind in there, it is a bit strange.

[HenkL]

URNT11 KNHC 261814
97779 18144 41205 93508 03000 24016 23238 /0012
42020
RMK AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 09


URNT15 KNHC 261818
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 26 20070926
181100 2025N 09338W 9773 00302 0115 +230 +230 232024 025 999 999 03
181130 2025N 09336W 9770 00305 0116 +228 +228 230022 023 999 999 03
181200 2026N 09334W 9772 00303 0115 +230 +230 234023 024 999 999 03
181230 2026N 09333W 9771 00304 0116 +228 +228 235021 022 999 999 03
181300 2026N 09331W 9772 00303 0116 +226 +226 239021 021 999 999 03
181330 2026N 09329W 9771 00305 0117 +226 +226 240020 020 999 999 03
181400 2027N 09327W 9769 00308 0118 +226 +226 237019 020 999 999 03
181430 2028N 09328W 9774 00302 0117 +226 +226 237016 017 999 999 03
181500 2029N 09329W 9770 00305 0116 +228 +228 231015 016 999 999 03
181530 2030N 09330W 9771 00304 0115 +230 +230 228015 016 999 999 03
181600 2032N 09331W 9771 00304 0116 +226 +226 231015 016 999 999 03
181630 2033N 09332W 9772 00303 0116 +228 +228 228018 019 999 999 03
181700 2034N 09333W 9769 00306 0116 +228 +226 225020 020 999 999 03
181730 2035N 09334W 9772 00302 0115 +228 +222 222021 021 999 999 03
181800 2036N 09336W 9771 00303 0115 +226 +212 224020 020 999 999 03
181830 2037N 09337W 9771 00303 0115 +228 +218 228020 020 999 999 03
181900 2038N 09338W 9771 00303 0114 +230 +220 226020 020 999 999 03
181930 2039N 09339W 9772 00301 0113 +230 +222 219019 019 999 999 03
182000 2041N 09340W 9770 00303 0114 +226 +226 212018 019 999 999 03
182030 2042N 09341W 9772 00300 0112 +226 +226 209019 019 999 999 03

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261828
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 27 20070926
182100 2043N 09342W 9771 00301 0112 +226 +226 205019 020 999 999 03
182130 2044N 09344W 9771 00300 0111 +226 +226 204021 021 999 999 03
182200 2045N 09345W 9771 00299 0110 +230 +224 205022 022 999 999 03
182230 2046N 09346W 9771 00299 0110 +228 +228 202022 023 999 999 03
182300 2047N 09347W 9772 00297 0108 +232 +220 202022 023 999 999 03
182330 2049N 09348W 9771 00297 0107 +236 +220 206021 022 999 999 03
182400 2050N 09350W 9771 00296 0106 +236 +220 201020 020 999 999 03
182430 2051N 09351W 9772 00295 0106 +236 +226 207020 021 999 999 03
182500 2052N 09352W 9771 00297 0108 +228 +218 224014 018 999 999 03
182530 2053N 09353W 9772 00294 0107 +218 +214 244009 010 999 999 03
182600 2054N 09354W 9771 00295 0108 +206 +206 228009 009 999 999 03
182630 2055N 09355W 9769 00296 0108 +198 +198 208009 010 999 999 03
182700 2057N 09356W 9771 00293 0108 +194 +194 182006 007 999 999 03
182730 2058N 09358W 9773 00291 0107 +198 +198 191012 014 999 999 03
182800 2059N 09359W 9770 00295 0107 +206 +206 200018 018 999 999 03
182830 2100N 09400W 9772 00293 0104 +226 +226 203014 015 999 999 03
182900 2101N 09401W 9772 00292 0103 +226 +226 198013 013 999 999 03
182930 2102N 09402W 9771 00293 0103 +228 +228 199013 014 999 999 03
183000 2104N 09404W 9770 00293 0102 +228 +228 187012 014 999 999 03
183030 2105N 09405W 9771 00292 0101 +232 +228 184009 009 999 999 03

Nearing the center again. Max flight level wind in SE quad 29 kt.

[Derek Ortt]

but it is farther NE... gives it 24 more hours over the water

[Lowpressure]

but it is farther NE... gives it 24 more hours over the water

Could it be feeling 98L?

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261838
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 28 20070926
183100 2106N 09406W 9772 00290 0100 +234 +226 188010 010 999 999 03
183130 2107N 09407W 9771 00291 0100 +236 +224 189010 010 999 999 03
183200 2108N 09408W 9771 00290 0099 +236 +226 194010 011 999 999 03
183230 2109N 09410W 9772 00289 0099 +238 +218 201011 011 999 999 03
183300 2110N 09411W 9771 00289 0098 +240 +204 199010 010 999 999 03
183330 2112N 09412W 9771 00289 0098 +238 +214 203009 010 999 999 03
183400 2113N 09413W 9772 00286 0095 +238 +216 209009 010 999 999 03
183430 2114N 09414W 9770 00288 0095 +236 +228 205011 011 999 999 03
183500 2115N 09415W 9772 00285 0094 +238 +224 197011 011 999 999 03
183530 2116N 09417W 9770 00287 0094 +236 +224 190010 011 999 999 03
183600 2117N 09418W 9772 00285 0094 +236 +230 184008 009 999 999 03
183630 2118N 09420W 9772 00284 0093 +232 +232 165006 007 999 999 03
183700 2118N 09421W 9771 00285 0094 +230 +228 153005 005 999 999 03
183730 2119N 09423W 9772 00284 0094 +230 +228 153004 004 999 999 03
183800 2119N 09424W 9771 00285 0094 +228 +228 134004 004 999 999 03
183830 2120N 09426W 9772 00284 0094 +228 +228 121003 003 999 999 03
183900 2120N 09427W 9771 00285 0094 +226 +226 121004 004 999 999 03
183930 2121N 09429W 9771 00286 0095 +228 +228 130003 004 999 999 03
184000 2122N 09431W 9771 00286 0095 +230 +228 107003 003 999 999 03
184030 2122N 09432W 9770 00287 0095 +230 +228 083004 005 999 999 03

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 261848
AF301 0313A CYCLONE HDOB 29 20070926
184100 2123N 09434W 9772 00285 0095 +230 +228 075005 005 999 999 03
184130 2123N 09435W 9771 00286 0095 +230 +228 073006 006 999 999 03
184200 2124N 09437W 9772 00286 0096 +230 +228 079006 006 999 999 03
184230 2125N 09438W 9770 00288 0096 +230 +228 082005 006 999 999 03
184300 2126N 09439W 9771 00287 0096 +230 +228 084007 007 999 999 03
184330 2127N 09440W 9771 00288 0098 +224 +224 071008 010 999 999 03
184400 2129N 09442W 9770 00289 0097 +226 +226 062009 009 999 999 03
184430 2130N 09443W 9772 00287 0097 +228 +226 060010 011 999 999 03
184500 2131N 09444W 9771 00288 0097 +228 +228 065011 011 999 999 03
184530 2132N 09445W 9772 00287 0097 +228 +228 066011 011 999 999 03
184600 2133N 09446W 9771 00289 0098 +230 +226 063011 011 999 999 03
184630 2134N 09447W 9769 00292 0099 +230 +230 067013 014 999 999 03
184700 2136N 09448W 9774 00287 0099 +236 +226 044012 013 999 999 03
184730 2137N 09449W 9771 00290 0099 +232 +232 039011 012 999 999 03
184800 2138N 09451W 9771 00290 0099 +232 +232 032011 012 999 999 03
184830 2139N 09452W 9771 00290 0099 +236 +230 034011 012 999 999 03
184900 2140N 09453W 9772 00290 0100 +236 +228 036011 011 999 999 03
184930 2141N 09454W 9769 00293 0100 +236 +228 038011 011 999 999 03
185000 2142N 09455W 9772 00290 0100 +236 +224 038011 011 999 999 03
185030 2144N 09456W 9771 00292 0101 +236 +222 039011 011 999 999 03

[HenkL]

URNT12 KNHC 261850
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 26/18:39:30Z
B. 21 deg 21 min N
094 deg 30 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 25 kt
E. 128 deg 051 nm
F. 200 deg 023 kt
G. 128 deg 053 nm
H. EXTRAP 1009 mb
I. 23 C/ 304 m
J. 23 C/ 304 m
K. 23 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 00134/ 1
O. 0.02 / 7 nm
P. AF301 0313A CYCLONE OB 10
STORM ID AL132007
MAX FL WIND 29 KT SE QUAD 18:09:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.
SFC CNTR W/IN 5NM OF FL CNTR

[CrazyC83]

26/1745 UTC 21.1N 94.5W T2.5/2.5 13L -- Atlantic Ocean

[HenkL]

Cross is NHC position 15Z. Others are the two VDM positions so far.