It seems 97L will have an impact in the Lesser Antilles and we will like to know about how people are reacting to this tropical menace. As the system moves closer then we will like to know how are the conditions in the islands.
Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
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HURAKAN
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Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
It seems 97L will have an impact in the Lesser Antilles and we will like to know about how people are reacting to this tropical menace. As the system moves closer then we will like to know how are the conditions in the islands.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
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Ouchhh, not good news for us in the Carib, i will keep you informed as usual Hurakan, but if my eyes are deceiveing me ...the first plots putting this system once again near Martiniqua...and puts my island in troubles too...definitely something to watch, alerts may be required later tonight 
!
!
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Re: Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
future track plots got my attention here in south florida...interesting to monitor and see if this develops
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cycloneye
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Re: Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 231107
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
707 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007
.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS CONTINUED TO BE ADVECTED ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF A TROUGH WHICH WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW MORE SHOWERS ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS BUT THE MAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL-SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF MAINLAND
PUERTO RICO AND ON THE DOWNWIND SIDE OF MOST OF THE SMALLER
ISLANDS.
OF PARTICULAR INTEREST TO THE LOCAL AREA IS THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
53 WEST WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST INTO LOCAL REGION.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DID PICK UP ALONG THE WAVE OVERNIGHT AND
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER BELIEVES THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BECAUSE OF THE
PROXIMITY TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS TROPICAL WAVE SHOULD BE
MONITORED VERY CLOSELY FOR ANY RAPID CHANGES.
FXCA62 TJSJ 231107
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
707 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007
.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS CONTINUED TO BE ADVECTED ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF A TROUGH WHICH WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW MORE SHOWERS ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS BUT THE MAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL-SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF MAINLAND
PUERTO RICO AND ON THE DOWNWIND SIDE OF MOST OF THE SMALLER
ISLANDS.
OF PARTICULAR INTEREST TO THE LOCAL AREA IS THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
53 WEST WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST INTO LOCAL REGION.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DID PICK UP ALONG THE WAVE OVERNIGHT AND
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER BELIEVES THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BECAUSE OF THE
PROXIMITY TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS TROPICAL WAVE SHOULD BE
MONITORED VERY CLOSELY FOR ANY RAPID CHANGES.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
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- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
cycloneye wrote:000
FXCA62 TJSJ 231107
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
707 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007
.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS CONTINUED TO BE ADVECTED ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF A TROUGH WHICH WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW MORE SHOWERS ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS BUT THE MAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL-SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF MAINLAND
PUERTO RICO AND ON THE DOWNWIND SIDE OF MOST OF THE SMALLER
ISLANDS.
OF PARTICULAR INTEREST TO THE LOCAL AREA IS THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
53 WEST WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST INTO LOCAL REGION.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DID PICK UP ALONG THE WAVE OVERNIGHT AND
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER BELIEVES THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BECAUSE OF THE
PROXIMITY TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS TROPICAL WAVE SHOULD BE
MONITORED VERY CLOSELY FOR ANY RAPID CHANGES.
Tkanks Cycloneye maybe another candidate...something serious to watch in the next couple of hours seems that it could form pretty quickly than expected" THE TROPICAL WAVE SHOULD MONITORED VERY CLOSELY FOR ANY RAPID CHANGES
" note Cycloneye that my island seems directly on the path meaning that you too by extension...Herbert Box 
, we will see what pan's out , but no more time if there's alerts tonight, but at this rate of developpement that's seems highly credible 
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Gustywind
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- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Note that we 're in YELLOW ALERT in GUADELOUPE like MARTINIQUA at 6 PM, due to the incertitudes of this system, whereas we should feel or experience... strong showers and huge thunderstorms tommorow night or higher according to the latest forecasts by Meteo France!
We must continue to monitor closely this perturbed area showing always signs of organization, approaching the islands...and if the situations evoles unhopefully warning will be required...hope nooo! But keep in my mind that this could flaring up at any time given the lastest from the TWO:roll:
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...BUT COULD STILL DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
Please all residents of Carib keep watching it...
We must continue to monitor closely this perturbed area showing always signs of organization, approaching the islands...and if the situations evoles unhopefully warning will be required...hope nooo! But keep in my mind that this could flaring up at any time given the lastest from the TWO:roll:
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...BUT COULD STILL DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
Please all residents of Carib keep watching it...
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cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
10:30 PM Tropical Weather Outlook:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPRECTED TO BRING SQUALLY WEATHER TO THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS ON MONDAY...AND THIS WEATHER COULD SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD
INTO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON TUESDAY. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
Is important that all who live in the Eastern Caribbean islands pay attention to the local authorities concerning any watches or warnings that may be issued.However,the most important thing for us to do is to prepare for anything that this system may bring to the Eastern Caribbean.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPRECTED TO BRING SQUALLY WEATHER TO THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS ON MONDAY...AND THIS WEATHER COULD SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD
INTO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON TUESDAY. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
Is important that all who live in the Eastern Caribbean islands pay attention to the local authorities concerning any watches or warnings that may be issued.However,the most important thing for us to do is to prepare for anything that this system may bring to the Eastern Caribbean.
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cycloneye
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Re: Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 241022
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
622 AM AST MON SEP 24 2007
.DISCUSSION...A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM JUST SOUTHEAST
OF ST CROIX NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WILL MOVE SLOWLY
WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING...THEN
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING. THIS FEATURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL COMBINE
WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WIND CONDITIONS TODAY
THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT...TO PRODUCE SOME CLOUDINESS...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. "DRIER"
WEATHER APPEARS ON TAP FOR TUESDAY...BUT THERE STILL SHOULD BE
SOME DIURNALLY INDUCED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
LOOKING AHEAD...A TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WAS
LOCATED ALONG 58.5 WEST EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL MOVE WEST
NORTHWEST AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATER TODAY...AND THEN
MOVE MORE NORTHWEST TOWARD AND THEN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ALL LOCAL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO KEEP
ABREAST OF THIS TROPICAL WAVE AS IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED AND DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD RESULT IN ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THE
FIRST PART OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY BRIEF DRYING LATER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
INDICATED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
FXCA62 TJSJ 241022
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
622 AM AST MON SEP 24 2007
.DISCUSSION...A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM JUST SOUTHEAST
OF ST CROIX NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WILL MOVE SLOWLY
WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING...THEN
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING. THIS FEATURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL COMBINE
WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WIND CONDITIONS TODAY
THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT...TO PRODUCE SOME CLOUDINESS...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. "DRIER"
WEATHER APPEARS ON TAP FOR TUESDAY...BUT THERE STILL SHOULD BE
SOME DIURNALLY INDUCED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
LOOKING AHEAD...A TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WAS
LOCATED ALONG 58.5 WEST EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL MOVE WEST
NORTHWEST AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATER TODAY...AND THEN
MOVE MORE NORTHWEST TOWARD AND THEN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ALL LOCAL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO KEEP
ABREAST OF THIS TROPICAL WAVE AS IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED AND DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD RESULT IN ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THE
FIRST PART OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY BRIEF DRYING LATER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
INDICATED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
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bvigal
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Re: Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
low is passing WNW through the Windward islands, 1pm MLT winds up to 18kts in Barbados and St. Lucia
Code: Select all
Station Name Location Time Wind Pressure Temperature Dew Point RH Weather METAR
Arnos Vale/St V 13.13N 61.20W 9/24/2007 6:00 Calm 1010.8 mb 77.0°F 69.8°F 79%
Arnos Vale/St V 13.13N 61.20W 9/24/2007 7:00 E (100 degrees) at 5 kt 1011.9 mb 77.0°F 69.8°F 79%
Arnos Vale/St V 13.13N 61.20W 9/24/2007 8:00 Calm 1011.9 mb 82.4°F 73.4°F 74%
Arnos Vale/St V 13.13N 61.20W 9/24/2007 9:00 W (270 degrees) at 4 kt 1012.9 mb 86.0°F 69.8°F 59%
Arnos Vale/St V 13.13N 61.20W 9/24/2007 10:00 WSW (240 degrees) at 5 kt 1013.9 mb 87.8°F 73.4°F 63%
Arnos Vale/St V 13.13N 61.20W 9/24/2007 11:00 WNW (300 degrees) at 6 kt 1013.9 mb 87.8°F 73.4°F 63%
Arnos Vale/St V 13.13N 61.20W 9/24/2007 13:00 WNW (300 degrees) at 5 kt 1011.9 mb 87.8°F 75.2°F 66%
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 4:00 NNE (20 degrees) at 11 kt 1009.1 mb 77.0°F 73.4°F 89% Rain Shower
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 5:00 NNW (330 degrees) at 4 kt 1009.1 mb 77.0°F 73.4°F 89%
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 6:00 N (350 degrees) at 4 kt 1010.2 mb 78.8°F 75.2°F 89% Rain Shower
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 7:00 NW (310 degrees) at 3 kt 1010.2 mb 78.8°F 75.2°F 89% Shower In Vicinity
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 8:00 N (10 degrees) at 3 kt 1010.8 mb 80.6°F 77.0°F 89%
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 9:00 Calm 1011.9 mb 84.2°F 77.0°F 79% Light Rain Shower
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 10:00 SSE (150 degrees) at 5 kt 1011.9 mb 84.2°F 77.0°F 79%
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 11:00 SW (220 degrees) at 9 kt 1011.9 mb 86.0°F 75.2°F 70%
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 12:00 WSW (250 degrees) at 15 kt 1010.8 mb 86.0°F 77.0°F 75%
Grantley Adams 13.07N 59.48W 9/24/2007 13:00 WSW (250 degrees) at 18 kt 1010.8 mb 87.8°F 73.4°F 63%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 4:00 N (360 degrees) at 3 kt 1010.2 mb 75.2°F 73.4°F 94%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 5:00 NNW (340 degrees) at 4 kt 1010.2 mb 75.2°F 73.4°F 94%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 6:00 NNW (340 degrees) at 5 kt 1010.8 mb 73.4°F 73.4°F 100%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 7:00 Calm 1011.9 mb 75.2°F 73.4°F 94%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 8:00 Calm 1011.9 mb 80.6°F 77.0°F 89%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 9:00 NNE (30 degrees) at 10 kt 1012.9 mb 86.0°F 77.0°F 75%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 10:00 ENE (70 degrees) at 10 kt 1012.9 mb 87.8°F 77.0°F 71%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 11:00 E (80 degrees) at 10 kt 1011.9 mb 89.6°F 77.0°F 67%
Hewanorra Intl 13.75N 60.95W 9/24/2007 12:00 W (260 degrees) at 18 kt 1011.9 mb 78.8°F 77.0°F 94% Rain with Thunderstorm
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 6:00 Calm 1010.8 mb 77.0°F 73.4°F 89%
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 7:00 Calm 1011.9 mb 78.8°F 75.2°F 89%
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 8:00 Calm 1011.9 mb 82.4°F 77.0°F 84%
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 9:00 Calm 1012.9 mb 84.2°F 77.0°F 79%
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 10:00 NNE (20 degrees) at 5 kt 1012.9 mb 86.0°F 77.0°F 75%
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 11:00 ESE (110 degrees) at 6 kt 1012.9 mb 86.0°F 75.2°F 70%
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 12:00 ENE (60 degrees) at 6 kt 1011.9 mb 82.4°F 77.0°F 84%
Vigie/St Lucia 14.02N 61.00W 9/24/2007 13:00 SE (140 degrees) at 6 kt 1011.9 mb 80.6°F 77.0°F 89%
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 4:00 E (90 degrees) at 3 kt 1010.2 mb 73.4°F 71.6°F 94%
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 5:00 E (90 degrees) at 2 kt 1010.8 mb 73.4°F 71.6°F 94%
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 6:07 Variable at 1 kt 1010.8 mb 71.6°F 71.6°F 100%
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 7:00 Variable at 2 kt 1011.9 mb 73.4°F 73.4°F 100%
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 8:00 Variable at 2 kt 1011.9 mb 78.8°F 75.2°F 89% Shower In Vicinity
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 9:00 NE (50 degrees) at 5 kt 1012.9 mb 84.2°F 77.0°F 79%
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 10:00 NE (40 degrees) at 8 kt 1012.9 mb 87.8°F 75.2°F 66%
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 11:00 NE (40 degrees) at 8 kt 1012.9 mb 87.8°F 77.0°F 71% Shower In Vicinity
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 12:00 NNE (20 degrees) at 8 kt 1011.9 mb 87.8°F 77.0°F 71% Shower In Vicinity
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 13:11 S (180 degrees) at 3 kt 1010.8 mb 84.2°F 75.2°F 75% Thunderstorm
Shower In Vicinity
Rain Shower
Le Lamentin/Mart 14.60N 61.00W 9/24/2007 13:22 WSW (250 degrees) at 7 kt 1010.8 mb 84.2°F 77.0°F 79% Thunderstorm
Shower In Vicinity
Rain Shower
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cycloneye
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Re: Invest 97L: Threat Area: Lesser Antilles
Interesting those observations.Lets see how it all evolves in the next few hours as it moves WNW to NW.
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