Tropical Depression LORENZO: Discussions & Images

[Terry]

STORM_FULLNAME

I didn't know we were already to "S."

[CrazyC83]

What are the chances of this pulling an Opal at this point?

[americanrebel]

Am I the only one that is seeing the circulation had moved further east towards the blob just off the Yucatan.

[lrak]

Am I the only one that is seeing the circulation had moved further east towards the blob just off the Yucatan.

im watching it.

[americanrebel]

I definitely see a spin on that blob.

[tolakram]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-ir2.html

I only see the spin of TD13 NE of most of the convection.

[JonathanBelles]

Its back to TD thirteen

[lrak]

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html


click about 12 high speed loops between the two blobs, I think the LLC is drifting ENE.

[americanrebel]

Look around 20.8N and 91W

[Ed Mahmoud]

OK, I could be wrong, but this thing looks like it has picked up a little speed to the SW and should be inland tomorrow if nothing changes.

[JonathanBelles]

000
WTNT33 KNHC 270301
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
1000 PM CDT WED SEP 26 2007

CORRECTED FOR SPELLING OF PALMA SOLA.

Both the public and fcst advs were corrected.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Well, judging from Hurricane Lili, Crowley, LA isn't out of the woods. (Disclaimer- I have consumed adult beverages there, at someones rental house about a mile North of the Rice Palace in the woods). But with 2 storms of hurricane strength after this date in seven decades hitting Texas, it is probably rather safe to predict it is now safe here, and now it is only two months to Houston snow watch.

[bwhorton2007]

As far as the tstorms over the yuk thats just blowoff from
the tops no circulation there.The circulation is in the bay of campeche and might have nudged to the ne just a speck.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
1000 PM CDT WED SEP 26 2007

CORRECTED FOR SPELLING OF PALMA SOLA.

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTION OF THE COAST OF MEXICO...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PALMA SOLA TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT
210 MILES...340 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO AND ABOUT 170
MILES...270 KM...EAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH. A SLOW MOTION
TO THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
THURSDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...21.2 N...94.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[lrak]

i can agree on a speck

[bwhorton2007]

we will see if this ne nudge is just a wobble or a trend by tommorrow morning but td 13 is going nowhere fast.

[americanrebel]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

The blob over the Yucatan is looking pretty impressive. Lets see what will happen over the next 8 hours.

[bwhorton2007]

put it like this i put my pc's curser over the center at the start of the frame and the center moved very little so all
i see right now is a tiny ne wobble.

[HURAKAN]

The blob in the Yucatan peninsula should dissipate as land diurnal maximum gives way to minimum.

TD 13 should develop another area of thunderstorms and the system will look good in the morning.

[bwhorton2007]

yes all that is on the yuk is tstorms nothing else.i may not
know everythin about the tropics but i do know the difference between tropical circulation and a plain ole thunderstorm like we have over the yuk right now.