Decreasing Shear in West Atlantic?

['CaneFreak]

Ok, this may not be appropriate for the Active Storms Forum and if it isn't then just move this over to the other forum mods. Thanks.

I am becoming increasingly concerned that we are about to enter a portion of the season where we may get quite active. Yes, I know I am a wishy-washy poster. I can agree with that. Just last night I was saying, "UL Winds are going to end the season quite early". Well, today, now that I have cleared my head a bit I am now seeing what forecasters around the world have been worried about for so long. *&*( is about to hit the fan ladies and gentlemen. We have monsoon troughiness down in the western atlantic stretching from FL to north of Puerto Rico and at any time one of these elongated areas of 850 mb vorticity could break off and spin up into a TC at any time. Why? Ridging dominates from Texas all the way to Bermuda folks. Wxman57 was right. I am becoming increasingly concerned about a NW Carribean threat come tomorrow night and into Sunday morning. Get prepared folks. The real meat of the season is coming. 2005 like conditions MAY be setting in for the long haul for areas west of 60W. I am VERY concerned. I am seeing the most surface area of low level convergence and upper level divergence across the west atlantic that I have seen all year. This is getting ready to get VERY interesting. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF NECESSARY.

The infamous shear tendency map: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

YES!!! I hope for some action canefreak this would be
awesome if I could get a good tropical storm

['CaneFreak]

Not only is the shear lessening its grip west of 60W, the upper level winds are out of the east!!!! This is a much moister wind flow than the westerly winds when you are talking about development west of 60. Things are really getting ready to heat up. I would keep my eye on that area of thunderstorms moving from north to south stretching from the west coast of FL down to western Cuba. That is heading for PERFECT UL conditions. Its heading directly towards the core of the UPPER HIGH!!!! Hats off to Wxman57 for picking this up earlier this week. Wxman57 will be my nominee for poster of the month NEXT month. Good catch 57!! Keep up the good work my friend!!!

[JonathanBelles]

Ive been watching this for the last couple days. The Shear Tendency is on the negative side, or its going down, over much of the Atlantic.

[alan1961]

The way these invests are popping up all over the place i think this wind shear as saved what could have been a dangerous period from mid september till now..if it starts to relax in a day or two's time there could be trouble brewing somewhere..wait and see game as usual