10 years ago today

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

10 years ago today

#1 Postby Andrew92 » Mon Oct 08, 2007 9:16 am

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/1997pauline.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Pauline

Probably the most forgotten hurricane of the last 25 years, and probably the worst hurricane to ever hit Mexico.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
gilbert88
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 367
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:57 pm

Re: 10 years ago today

#2 Postby gilbert88 » Mon Oct 08, 2007 1:39 pm

Talk about worst possible scenarios... a Cat. 4 stalling over the poorest region in Mexico, really prone to mudslides even with the smallest thunderstorm. It was a real tragedy... easily one of the worst weather events ever to impact Mexico, along with Gilbert and Wilma.
0 likes   

User avatar
Category 5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10074
Age: 35
Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ
Contact:

Re: 10 years ago today

#3 Postby Category 5 » Mon Oct 08, 2007 5:41 pm

Costliest Hurricane in Mexicos history. A terrible Hurricane that goes disgustingly overlooked.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Oct 08, 2007 5:47 pm

it's overlooked because it is the EPAC

Even Hawaii hits are overlooked here (and part of the reason why my ignore list is long). Remember the total lack of interest in Flossie...
0 likes   

Coredesat

Re:

#5 Postby Coredesat » Mon Oct 08, 2007 5:57 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:it's overlooked because it is the EPAC

Even Hawaii hits are overlooked here (and part of the reason why my ignore list is long). Remember the total lack of interest in Flossie...


Quoted for emphasis, this is a pretty serious problem. These sorts of storms make the apathy toward other basins (or other countries, i.e. Dean and Felix) quite irritating.

At any rate, this was a major disaster for some very poor areas of Mexico. Nearly 400 dead, plus $9 billion is huge for Mexico.
0 likes   

User avatar
Category 5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10074
Age: 35
Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ
Contact:

Re: Re:

#6 Postby Category 5 » Mon Oct 08, 2007 6:00 pm

Coredesat wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:it's overlooked because it is the EPAC

Even Hawaii hits are overlooked here (and part of the reason why my ignore list is long). Remember the total lack of interest in Flossie...


Quoted for emphasis, this is a pretty serious problem. These sorts of storms make the apathy toward other basins (or other countries, i.e. Dean and Felix) quite irritating.

At any rate, this was a major disaster for some very poor areas of Mexico. Nearly 400 dead, plus $9 billion is huge for Mexico.


It's overlooked for 2 reasons

1. It's the EPAC
2. It's not the CONUS.

9 Billion dollars in damage in Mexico is insane, thats enough to be the 7th costliest in U.S history.
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#7 Postby RL3AO » Mon Oct 08, 2007 7:00 pm

$9B in damage for a Mexico storm is incredible.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: 10 years ago today

#8 Postby Sanibel » Mon Oct 08, 2007 7:04 pm

Hawaiian hurricanes fascinate me because they are so rare. The Hawaiians had a name for them. I bet they were feared like the volcano gods.

I think this Mexican hurricane was the one where they had all that brown water flooding video.
0 likes   

User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

#9 Postby Andrew92 » Mon Oct 08, 2007 7:32 pm

And 25 years could be very generous. This could be the most forgotten hurricane since at least Fifi in 1974.

Honestly, we really need to start caring more that we are not the only ones who get hit by these storms. Only Gilbert and Mitch seem to get talked about at all in terms of hurricanes that didn't hit the U.S.

-Andrew92
0 likes   

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5316
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: 10 years ago today

#10 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Oct 08, 2007 8:31 pm

I remember Pauline. One of the deadliest EPAC hurricane besides Paul in 1982 and one in 1959. EPAC hurricanes are overlooked. We really need to pay attention to them because they can affect America in the form of heavy rain. The Texas October floods in 1994 and 1998 were caused by EPAC hurricanes. EPAC hurricanes are interesting because they are more active than ATL, even though it is a smaller area. Also, EPAC can be very active while WPAC and ATL is quiet.
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: 10 years ago today

#11 Postby HurricaneBill » Mon Oct 08, 2007 10:49 pm

I think Pauline was also overlooked because of Hurricane Linda earlier that year.

However, Pauline was destructive enough that the WMO retired the name from the EPAC list. It was replaced with Patricia.

Another overlooked hurricane was Hurricane Ismael in 1995.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34005
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re:

#12 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 10, 2007 4:02 pm

RL3AO wrote:$9B in damage for a Mexico storm is incredible.


That is even higher than Wilma's damage in Mexico (about $7.5B).
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: Re:

#13 Postby RL3AO » Wed Oct 10, 2007 4:04 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
RL3AO wrote:$9B in damage for a Mexico storm is incredible.


That is even higher than Wilma's damage in Mexico (about $7.5B).


And Wilma affected one of the more wealthy regions of Mexico.
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5597
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#14 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:04 pm

Deleted.
Sorry I misinterpreted stuff.

But yes, these tragedies are very devastating.
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Category 5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10074
Age: 35
Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ
Contact:

Re:

#15 Postby Category 5 » Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:08 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:My prayers are always with victims in the
path of the storm.

And Thank you to those in rememberance of
this storm.

But I would like to correct one false assumption:

I don't see why this is being portrayed as people
not caring for other countries. If a storm doesn't hit your
area, you probably won't remember it, and if it does, you
will. So the point is people aren't insensitive just
because they "forgot" about other storms in
other places, it's just because it didn't effect
them, so they don't remember them. That's the
way memory works, unless someone is a climate
scientist and memorizes and studies hurricanes on a
daily basis.

In so many recent threads people are saying that people
don't care about other countries. We DO care, but we won't
remember an event unless it had some association in memory
such as severe impact. So please there is no need
to make generalized assumptions about people
not caring.


Thank you.


Nobody accused you.
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5597
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#16 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:16 pm

I think Mex gets hit hard during El Nino years
especially if I remember right.

**Original post here deleted
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:52 pm, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

Re: 10 years ago today

#17 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:31 pm

I remember Ismael in 1995-I have video of the low level remnants in SE Arizona (NM got some heavy rains from the mid level remnants).

Steve
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: 10 years ago today

#18 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Oct 10, 2007 9:25 pm

Hurricane Pauline was Mexico's deadliest hurricane since Hurricane Liza in 1976. Liza caused a dam to collapse and flood a poor section of La Paz. At least 600 people lost their lives, although some say the toll may have been as high as 990.
0 likes   

User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

Re: 10 years ago today

#19 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:32 pm

Ismael in 1995 had a remarkably high death toll for being only a Cat 1. It was a small storm that developed quickly before making landfall over Los Mochis. Hundreds of fishermen were caught at sea in the Sea of Cortez and 200+ were killed or missing as a result of the storm. The name was retired and initially replaced with Israel but that was quickly changed to Ivo for political reasons despite the fact that Israel is a fairly common male name in Mexico.

Steve
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: 10 years ago today

#20 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Oct 11, 2007 3:50 am

Aslkahuna wrote:Ismael in 1995 had a remarkably high death toll for being only a Cat 1. It was a small storm that developed quickly before making landfall over Los Mochis. Hundreds of fishermen were caught at sea in the Sea of Cortez and 200+ were killed or missing as a result of the storm. The name was retired and initially replaced with Israel but that was quickly changed to Ivo for political reasons despite the fact that Israel is a fairly common male name in Mexico.

Steve


Something similar happened in southern Vietnam in 1997. The storm was a Category 1 typhoon named, ironically, Linda. Linda peaked at only 65KT. However, her path had her striking the extreme southern portion of Vietnam and crossing into the Gulf of Thailand. She eventually struck Thailand and crossed into the Indian Ocean. She briefly strengthened but eventually weakened and disappated.

Although typhoons occasionally strike the Gulf of Thailand area, they are uncommon. Linda caught thousands of fishermen at sea off guard. Linda was one of Vietnam's costliest typhoons, causing $472 million in damage. (Xangsane would later exceed this with $628 million in 2006.)

Deaths were reported in Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia. But the worst toll was from fishermen out at sea. Typhoon Linda left a total of 4,502 dead/missing.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: afswo, cartnut32, Kludge, REDHurricane, ScottNAtlanta, weatherSnoop and 25 guests