Concerns about Inland Bill

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Scott_inVA
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Concerns about Inland Bill

#1 Postby Scott_inVA » Mon Jun 30, 2003 4:52 pm

AVN (GFS) not painting a pretty inland picture. The map shows jumpy AVN movement...that's (IMO) the the remnant SFC circ getting cut off by the building Ridge. We have a back door Front comes thru Mid-Atlantic and washes out. Timing is close with lift, esp in NC. These "wimpy" tropical storms can bedevil those of us in the Apps...well inland.

The Eta is having none of this and the 0Z will be closely reviewed. We've had 14" of rain in the last 2 months... don't need this. :roll:

Numeric (tropicals) drop tonight so I'll keep plotting using the globals. Going to be an interesting 48 hours.

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm

Scott
WREL Radio
Lexington, VA
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 30, 2003 5:11 pm

If that verifies it would be bad for the southeast US that has many surpluses of rainfall in many places.
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#3 Postby Colin » Mon Jun 30, 2003 5:43 pm

Interesting that 2 models take it very close to my area... Hmmmmmm... :o :o :o
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#4 Postby JetMaxx » Mon Jun 30, 2003 6:51 pm

It's frightening Scott.....here are a few updated stats for my location west of Atlanta....updated as of 7:30 p.m. today.

Rainfall today:
0.89"

June Rainfall:
15.11" (normal is 3.7")

May & June Rainfall:
24.90" (normal is 7.7")

2003 Rainfall:
39.64" (normal is 27")

Rainfall since 9/01/02 (10 months):
68.71" (normal is 41")

Northern Georgia and much of Alabama is primed for massive flooding. Just this afternoon's preliminary feeder bands produced over 3" in some areas (one report off 3.00" falling in 30 minutes in Carrollton, twenty miles SW of my location).

A slow moving tropical thunderstorm dropped 2-3" of rain in portions of North Atlanta in less than an hour this afternoon....and serious flooding was the result.

This is a potentially very dangerous flash flooding event unfolding across much of Georgia and Alabama....I just hope everyone is ready.
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#5 Postby Scott_inVA » Mon Jun 30, 2003 7:09 pm

JetMaxx wrote:It's frightening Scott.....here are a few updated stats for my location west of Atlanta....updated as of 7:30 p.m. today.

Rainfall today:
0.89"

June Rainfall:
15.11" (normal is 3.7")

May & June Rainfall:
24.90" (normal is 7.7")

2003 Rainfall:
39.64" (normal is 27")

Rainfall since 9/01/02 (10 months):
68.71" (normal is 41")

Northern Georgia and much of Alabama is primed for massive flooding. Just this afternoon's preliminary feeder bands produced over 3" in some areas (one report off 3.00" falling in 30 minutes in Carrollton, twenty miles SW of my location).

A slow moving tropical thunderstorm dropped 2-3" of rain in portions of North Atlanta in less than an hour this afternoon....and serious flooding was the result.

This is a potentially very dangerous flash flooding event unfolding across much of Georgia and Alabama....I just hope everyone is ready.


OMG!
You've had nearly 40" of rain this year?

HOLY
Image

I thought I needed pontoons!
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Jun 30, 2003 7:51 pm

JetMaxx wrote:It's frightening Scott.....here are a few updated stats for my location west of Atlanta....updated as of 7:30 p.m. today.

Rainfall today:
0.89"

June Rainfall:
15.11" (normal is 3.7")

May & June Rainfall:
24.90" (normal is 7.7")

2003 Rainfall:
39.64" (normal is 27")

Rainfall since 9/01/02 (10 months):
68.71" (normal is 41")

Northern Georgia and much of Alabama is primed for massive flooding. Just this afternoon's preliminary feeder bands produced over 3" in some areas (one report off 3.00" falling in 30 minutes in Carrollton, twenty miles SW of my location).

A slow moving tropical thunderstorm dropped 2-3" of rain in portions of North Atlanta in less than an hour this afternoon....and serious flooding was the result.

This is a potentially very dangerous flash flooding event unfolding across much of Georgia and Alabama....I just hope everyone is ready.


Perry, my rainfall totals in Ladson, SC and also in Charleston, SC at the WFO in the past 12 months are quite similar ... so far, already over 32" this year and an estimated 45" of rain fell from June last year till the end of 2002 ... (13 month total of an estimated 77"+ of rain)...

The Southeast does NOT need this much rain now (I would have taken it last year about this time) ...

SF
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