WPAC: Tropical Storm Lingling

[Chacor]

TS Lingling.

WTPQ20 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0718 LINGLING (0718) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 25.4N 172.7E FAIR
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 130600UTC 28.2N 169.1E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 140600UTC 30.5N 168.3E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 150600UTC 33.2N 170.4E 290NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[Chacor]

JTWC carrying as TD 18W.

[RL3AO]

Anyone get it? No? Oh well.

It looks like an EPac storm in the WPac in the fact that it will be weak and won't last long.

[WmE]

LOL RL3AO! That was the first thing that came to my mind when I read Lingling.

[CrazyC83]

Up to 45 kt now...maybe an STS?

[chris_fit]

Heh... I thought this was name Yuengling, like the great beer from PA.

[Chacor]

392
WTPQ20 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0718 LINGLING (0718)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130600UTC 28.8N 170.5E FAIR
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 80NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 140600UTC 31.8N 168.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 150600UTC 33.5N 170.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 160600UTC 36.6N 176.2E 290NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

[Chacor]

The JMA expect it to pass into the CPHC's area as a tropical storm.

WTJP21 RJTD 131200
WARNING 131200.
WARNING VALID 141200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 0718 LINGLING (0718) 998 HPA
AT 29.0N 170.6E NORTHEAST OF WAKE ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 30.3N 170.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 31.9N 170.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 34.8N 174.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 38.0N 177.0W WITH 270 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

However, the JTWC disagrees. Extratropical within 24 hours from them.

[CrazyC83]

What was the last WPAC to CPAC crossover?

[CrazyC83]

13/0830 UTC 28.6N 170.3E T2.5/2.5 LINGLING -- West Pacific Ocean

[Chacor]

What was the last WPAC to CPAC crossover?

TD16W/TS Wene from 2000.

[Coredesat]

This would be north of CPHC's supposed AOR, so it'll be interesting to see what happens here.

[HURAKAN]

This qualifies for a named system? WOW, incredible.

[Chacor]

Final JTWC warning.

REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 30.7N 170.3E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W (LINGLING) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE STORM IS TRANSITIONING
TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AS IS EVIDENT ON A 131733Z AMSU
MICROWAVE PASS WHICH SHOWS THE STORM HAS LOST DEEP CONVECTION
AND IS ELONGATING NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
WILL BE COMPLETE BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN).
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET.//

[Coredesat]

Convection has made quite a comeback:

[CrazyC83]

Doesn't look bad at all...

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 140300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0718 LINGLING (0718)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140300UTC 32.0N 170.0E FAIR
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 130NM NORTHEAST 70NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 150300UTC 35.7N 173.6E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[CrazyC83]

Still a TS, although likely to become extratropical before reaching the CPac.

[cycloneye]

SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (LINGLING) WARNING NR 007
WTPN31 PGTW 132100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (LINGLING) WARNING NR 007
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 18W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 30.3N 170.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N 170.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 31.9N 170.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 33.3N 171.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 30.7N 170.3E.

THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MON-
ITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET.
//

Final Warning by JTWC.

[Andrew92]

Well, good-bye Lingling. We enjoyed the presence of your name while it lasted, but at least you caused no harm either.

-Andrew92