LLC has developed off of Broward Cty/Palm Bch

[DESTRUCTION5]

GFS and NAM say so..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

[BigA]

The NAM is the NAM, but the strong tropical storm moving north in the Caribbean at 84 hours looks interesting.

[gatorcane]

I assume you are talking about the area in the SE Bahamas? It has caught my eye. If you click the visible loop I see some kind of rotation already.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html

[Sanibel]

The main feature is that Low in the SW Caribbean it creates.

[TampaFl]

Nice close up of area off Miami. You can see a slight spin off the south east coast of Andros Island. (Click on "Visable Satillite Loop in the upper right hand corner). Loop courtesy of College of DuPage Weather Lab:


http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/radmaster.pl?Carribbean

[DESTRUCTION5]

I guess this is our low..little rain for ECFL


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

[fci]

We have had over 4 inches of rain and 2-4 more inches may fall from a low forming right off the coast of Broward and Palm Beach County. It's actually a nice looking little swirl!

Latest AFD from Miami:
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Miami Florida
1047 PM EDT Tuesday Oct 16 2007


Update...surface observation and radar imagery show that weak low
pressure may have formed just off the northern Broward County
coast...between Fort Lauderdale and Boca Raton. The convergent
flow on the north side of this feature continues to result in
widespread rainfall across the Palm Beach metropolitan area. We
will be continuing an urban flood advisory for this area as
training continues over eastern Palm Beach County. Given the fact that
heavy rainfall has already fallen across this area...and with the
potential for bands of heavy rain continuing to the north of this
weak circulation overnight...decided that it is prudent to Post a
Flood Watch for the Palm Beach metropolitan area for the overnight hours.

[cpdaman]

make that a lot of rain

west palm beach has had 4 inches at least, and here in boca by the water has had nearly 2 inches

a weak low spinning off shore just south of palm beach is causing alot of tropical moisture and training storms on the north side in central palm beach. There are alot of urban flood warnings

[DAVE440]

Local met didnt say anything about development. Just rain tonight. Already had some light rain here. Rain coming from the north towards me...Sky very dark to the east with no stars then theres a line of light white clouds. Very tropical look and feel out there.

live radar
http://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS?station=AMX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=50&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1&noclutter=1&lat=26.149799&lon=-80.272377&label=Sunrise,+FL

[Coredesat]

I wouldn't call it a LLC. It resembles a weak mesoscale convective complex to me.

EDIT: Okay, I didn't read the AFD. At any rate I went ahead and merged these two threads since they popped up at about the same time, and are about the same thing.

[Thunder44]

I wouldn't call it a LLC. It resembles a weak mesoscale convective complex to me.

EDIT: Okay, I didn't read the AFD. At any rate I went ahead and merged these two threads since they popped up at about the same time, and are about the same thing.

The other thread about the "Little Low Too Form off the FL Coast" is also related to this topic.

Anyway, the 5:30am TWO mentions this system now:

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST IS
PRODUCING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

[cycloneye]

The other thread about the "Little Low Too Form off the FL Coast" is also related to this topic.

The Destruction5 thread has been merged to this one.

[DanKellFla]

Around 11:00 PM last night I noticed a spin in the radar off of Broward. And, it rained a lot last night. I hope the lake got some of the rain.

[Sanibel]

Spiral off Florida over Gulf Stream. Florida on dry side. Will it deepen and develop?

[cpdaman]

i don't think it would deepen consindering the 530 TWO says conditions not favorable over next couple days.... in other words what else is new E of 90W and N of 20

[fci]

I heard we ended up with about 7 inches of rain here.
However it was very localized and mainly near the coast so the Lake proabably got very little.

[cpdaman]

correct the lake got "none"

the nhc.noaa.gov radar will show precip amounts of the past hour and also "storm history"
(when a storm occurs) and this shows none for the lake mostly an event from 441 eastward and confined to palm beach

http://www.weatherunderground.com/satel ... 1k/US.html

this little visible loop shows me a LLC becoming a bit better organized over the gulf stream 50 miles east of fort pierce , looks like i was wrong in my last post trusting the TWO's assement

this may be an invest soon

here's betting the 530 two will say "conditions appear to have become marginally favorable"

[HURAKAN]

629
ABNT20 KNHC 171518
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED OCT 17 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS
MOVED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
RAPIDLY NORTHWARD AND BECOME ABSORBED BY A STRONG MID-LATITUDE
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES.

THE SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF
FLORIDA IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...WITH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 172104
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL
FLORIDA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD
TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE

[Sanibel]

Heading north into high shear. The Gulf Stream doesn't seem to mean anything now.