Dr Jeff Masters remainder of season outlook

[cycloneye]

Jeff Masters Remainder of Season Outlook

He still expects one more hurricane by early November.

Any comments are welcomed about his outlook.

[Cyclone1]

I'd say that's about right.

[jlauderdal]

Jeff Masters Remainder of Season Outlook

He still expects one more hurricane by early November.

Any comments are welcomed about his outlook.

i would say that is a good guess, as good as zero or two.

[Cyclone1]

I know this probably doesn't belong HERE, but it really doesn't fit anywhere else, and I don't feel like starting a new thread. Here's what I call for.

First, a disclaimer.
This poster is NOT a pro by ANY means, and the things he posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Cool.

I call for 2-4 more storms this year. At least one in October, and atleast one in November. I'm calling for one more hurricane also. A December storm wouldn't surprise me, but it's unlikely.

I think Noel will form before October 25th, somewhere.

After the season, Karen will be upgraded to hurricane, Melissa's track will extend a few days after official dissipation. TD-10 could be upgraded, but that's doubtful.

Two 96L's have the chance to be added as tropical storms, and one 95L has that chance.

As far as retirements go, Dean and Felix are guarenteed, Humberto has a decent shot, and Erin, depending on final damage reports, isn't out of the question either.

Remember, I am no pro, and this is my own personal opinion.

[Cyclone1]

Oh and Erin and 90L will be upgraded to tropical storms near the Oklahoma border.

Kidding.

[Derek Ortt]

Erin almost certainly will be a TS over Oklahoma as that is what the data suggested

In fact, it reached peak intensity over Oklahoma http://ams.confex.com/ams/88Annual/tech ... 136100.htm

[Cyclone1]

Erin almost certainly will be a TS over Oklahoma as that is what the data suggested

In fact, it reached peak intensity over Oklahoma http://ams.confex.com/ams/88Annual/tech ... 136100.htm

I find it kinda hard to believe that they will upgrade to a TS from a depression over land. Has taht ever happened before (when a storm wasn't heading for water like Gaston or Allison)?

[Derek Ortt]

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/r ... n2007.html

BT for Erin may be set at 45KT over Oklahoma, so yes, Cyclone1... you should not have been joking about Erin

[Cyclone1]

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/erin2007.html

BT for Erin may be set at 45KT over Oklahoma, so yes, Cyclone1... you should not have been joking about Erin

Wow... that's really cool.

I'd like to see a storm form overla.... well, Leslie, and Christine... nevermind.

[Derek Ortt]

Allison was upgraded to a STS over central Mississippi

[Toadstool]

Jeff Masters Remainder of Season Outlook

He still expects one more hurricane by early November.

Any comments are welcomed about his outlook.

Too late, I've already cracked open my bottled water...