Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains

[streetsoldier]

Not an official notification, but we (SE Missouri, Scott County) got hit HARD twice last PM-early AM, with more on the way tomorrow. The Tornado Watch is in effect here until 0600 CDT, with isolated T-storms (some carrying winds from 40-60 mph) developing early this morning, and again later in the evening until midnight.

This, from TWC, KFVS-12 Cape Girardeau, and WPSD Paducah.

[Weatherfreak14]

NOW A TORNADO WARNING IN NEW ORLEANS


WFUS54 KLIX 181146
TORLIX
LAC071-181230-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0030.071018T1146Z-071018T1230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
646 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ORLEANS PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...NEW ORLEANS...EAST NEW ORLEANS...

* UNTIL 730 AM CDT

* AT 643 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR NEW
ORLEANS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
EAST NEW ORLEANS BY 705 AM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 2994 9004 2994 9014 3005 9011 3006 9000
3017 8987 3012 8982 3016 8977 3014 8969
3001 8983 2999 9001 2994 8997 2993 8992
2991 8994 2990 9000
TIME...MOT...LOC 1146Z 214DEG 22KT 2998 9002

$$



609

[HarlequinBoy]

2 reported dead in Monroe County, MO.

[JonathanBelles]

Did anything come out of that warning in NOLA?

[dtrain44]

Sorry to hear about those folks in MO. Yesterday was bad, but certainly could have been worse. Luckily, there were a lot of interactions between the cells that kept the threat a bit lower in OK than it could have been. Looks like another long one today, especially in the Ohio valley.

Fact, I haven't seen anything definitive, but I don't think a whole lot came of it, thankfully.

[Ed Mahmoud]

SWODY1 Tornado Outlook

[CrazyC83]

Long day ahead it looks like. Notice the secondary risk area on the Gulf Coast.

[CrazyC83]

Notice the very large clearing...could set up for something!

[Weatherfreak14]

Tornado Warning in Escambia County FL, nice hook feature on it and good radar return.
WFUS54 KMOB 181510
TORMOB
FLC033-113-181545-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0045.071018T1510Z-071018T1545Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1010 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PENSACOLA...
SOUTH CENTRAL SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 1045 AM CDT

* AT 1007 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
WARRINGTON...OR ABOUT NEAR PENSACOLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PENSACOLA...EAST PENSACOLA HEIGHTS...GOULDING AND BRENT BY 1015 AM
CDT...
PENSACOLA REGIONAL A/P BY 1020 AM CDT...
FERRY PASS BY 1025 AM CDT...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PACE BY 1040 AM CDT...
BAGDAD AND MILTON BY 1045 AM CDT...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3039 8738 3070 8709 3055 8690 3048 8698
3050 8702 3048 8704 3038 8707 3039 8708
3031 8718 3030 8725
TIME...MOT...LOC 1510Z 222DEG 23KT 3041 8723

$$
JP

[Weatherfreak14]

LARGE TORNADO ON GROUND IN DOWNTOWN PENSCOLA.

[CrazyC83]

Current conditions in the threat area - 11 am EDT/10 am CDT:

Alabama
Anniston - Partly cloudy, 75 (68)
Birmingham - Partly cloudy, 72 (69)
Dothan - Light rain, 74 (71)
Florence - Partly cloudy, 75 (70)
Huntsville - Mostly cloudy, 72 (67)
Mobile - Partly cloudy, 79 (75)
Montgomery - Light rainshower, 71 (68)
Tuscaloosa - Mostly cloudy, 75 (71)

Arkansas
Jonesboro - Mostly cloudy, 76 (68)

Florida
Panama City - Rain, 73 (72)
Pensacola - Thunderstorm, 73 (72)
Tallahassee - Mostly cloudy, 78 (73)

Georgia
Albany - Mostly cloudy, 77 (70)
Atlanta - Overcast, 71 (67)
Columbus - Mostly cloudy, 75 (72)
Macon - Overcast, 76 (68)
Rome - Overcast, 71 (67)

Illinois
Carbondale - A few clouds, 76 (66)
Champaign - Mostly cloudy, 70 (65)
Chicago - Partly cloudy, 69 (61)
Decatur - A few clouds, 74 (64)
Effingham - Partly cloudy, 72 (66)
Joliet - Partly cloudy, 68 (61)
Mount Vernon - A few clouds, 73 (64)
Peoria - Mostly cloudy, 68 (61)
Rockford - Partly cloudy, 67 (58)
Springfield - Sunny, 71 (62)

Indiana
Bloomington - Mostly cloudy, 70 (65)
Evansville - Partly cloudy, 76 (68)
Fort Wayne - Partly cloudy, 70 (63)
Gary - Partly cloudy, 72 (66)
Indianapolis - Mostly cloudy, 69 (65)
Lafayette - Partly cloudy, 71 (63)
Muncie - Mostly cloudy, 66 (63)
South Bend - A few clouds, 70 (62)
Terre Haute - Partly cloudy, 72 (66)

Kentucky
Hopkinsville - Partly cloudy, 76 (70)
Lexington - Partly cloudy, 71 (64)
London - Partly cloudy, 74 (62)
Louisville - Mostly cloudy, 73 (64)
Owensboro - Mostly cloudy, 74 (69)
Paducah - Mostly cloudy, 77 (68)

Louisiana
New Orleans - Mostly cloudy, 83 (79)

Michigan
Alpena - Light rain, 59 (57)
Cadillac - Rain, 61 (59)
Detroit - Overcast, 67 (60)
Flint - Light rain, 66 (61)
Gaylord - Light rain, 60 (58)
Grand Rapids - Light rain, 69 (63)
Kalamazoo - Mostly cloudy, 67 (62)
Lansing - Mostly cloudy, 66 (62)
Marquette - Light rain, 55 (55)
Midland - Overcast, 65 (61)
Port Huron - Overcast, 64 (61)
Sault Ste. Marie - Rain, 53 (51)

Mississippi
Biloxi - Light rainshower, 81 (75)
Columbus - Light rainshower, 77 (73)
Greenville - Mostly cloudy, 81 (73)
Hattiesburg - Mostly cloudy, 82 (75)
Jackson - Partly cloudy, 80 (74)
Meridian - Mostly cloudy, 77 (75)
Tupelo - Light rainshower, 78 (73)

Missouri
Cape Girardeau - Mostly cloudy, 75 (67)
Poplar Bluff - Partly cloudy, 74 (66)
St. Louis - A few clouds, 74 (61)

Ohio
Canton - Light rain, 65 (59)
Cincinnati - Partly cloudy, 70 (64)
Cleveland - Overcast, 71 (57)
Columbus - Light rain, 67 (62)
Dayton - Overcast, 66 (62)
Defiance - Overcast, 67 (63)
Lima - Mostly cloudy, 67 (62)
Mansfield - Light rain, 63 (60)
Toledo - Light rain, 68 (62)

Tennessee
Chattanooga - Overcast, 72 (67)
Clarksville - Partly cloudy, 76 (69)
Dyersburg - Mostly cloudy, 79 (70)
Jackson - A few clouds, 81 (72)
Knoxville - Light rain, 73 (63)
Memphis - Mostly cloudy, 80 (72)
Nashville - Partly cloudy, 72 (66)
Paris - Partly cloudy, 77 (69)

Wisconsin
Green Bay - Overcast, 66 (61)
Kenosha - Sunny, 69 (59)
Madison - A few clouds, 66 (57)
Milwaukee - A few clouds, 68 (61)
Sheboygan - Mostly cloudy, 63 (61)
Wausau - Overcast, 63 (59)

[CrazyC83]

Coverage from Pensacola?

[Bunkertor]

LARGE TORNADO ON GROUND IN DOWNTOWN PENSCOLA.

By WKRG Staff

What is being described as a "possible tornado" has caused damage along Pensacola Beach. Escambia County Sheriff's Office spokesman Glenn Austin tells News 5 several homes have been damaged. Austin says the damaged structures are vacation beach homes and all but one was vacant. He says the severe weather passed through the area around just after eight o'clock this morning. No injuries are reported.

[Weatherfreak14]

CAnt find any coverage just a statment by NWS.

WWUS54 KMOB 181520
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1019 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

FLC033-113-181545-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-071018T1545Z/
ESCAMBIA FL-SANTA ROSA FL-
1019 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL SANTA ROSA AND SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 1016 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DOWNTOWN PENSACOLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH. A LARGE TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND!

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
BRENT...EAST PENSACOLA HEIGHTS...PENSACOLA REGIONAL A/P...FERRY
PASS...PACE...MILTON AND BAGDAD

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3039 8738 3070 8709 3055 8690 3048 8698
3050 8702 3048 8704 3038 8707 3039 8708
3031 8718 3030 8725

[CrazyC83]

Coverage found: http://www.nbc15online.com/mediacenter/ ... d=2879&4=4

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN MS/NW AL THRU WRN AND MIDDLE
TN...WRN/CNTRL KY INTO SRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 181526Z - 181730Z

TRENDS ARE BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT
AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE OR MORE WATCHES...PERHAPS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF AN INITIAL SHORT WAVE IMPULSE NOW PIVOTING NORTHWARD
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...MID-LEVEL INHIBITION HAS BEEN WEAKENED
ABOVE A MOISTENING PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENT SOUTHERLY FLOW REGIME TO
THE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY CYCLONE. MID-LEVELS ALREADY
APPEAR TO BE WARMING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. HOWEVER...
LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS INHIBITION MAY REMAIN FAIRLY NEGLIGIBLE
ALONG AN AXIS FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH PARTS OF NORTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY. AND...A ZONE OF MID-LEVEL MOISTENING/ LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY RAPIDLY APPROACHING THIS
REGION. ADDITIONALLY... BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER LIKELY WILL BE
SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW HEATING OF A BOUNDARY LAYER CHARACTERIZED BY
UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS.

THUS...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT THE RISK FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED
BOUNDARY BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
18-21Z TIME FRAME. AS THIS OCCURS...SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE
CORRESPONDINGLY WITHIN STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS...BETWEEN STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JET
AXES. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY ONLY BE CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK
CLOCKWISE TURNING WITH HEIGHT...HODOGRAPHS BENEATH 30-40 KT
SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB FLOW WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES...WHICH
COULD BECOME STRONG.

..KERR.. 10/18/2007


ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...

33169092 34599057 35259010 36418932 37258857 38028741
38788525 38578427 37328462 35308617 33778765 33088918

[CrazyC83]

Anyone on these boards from around Pensacola?

[Bunkertor]

That area must be highly populated. Can´t imagine, no one has witnessed... when did they touchdown ?

[CrazyC83]

Several houses damaged, overturned cars in downtown Pensacola - 2 tornadoes reported (WPMI)

[CrazyC83]

That area must be highly populated. Can´t imagine, no one has witnessed... when has that happened...

Eyewitness speaking. Rooftops damaged and shingles thrown. Sounds like about an EF2.