Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

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DanKellFla
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Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

#1 Postby DanKellFla » Mon Oct 29, 2007 9:06 am

Unless a dramatic and perhaps historical flurry of activity occurs in the next 9 weeks, 2007 will rank as a historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole. During the past 30 years, only 1977, 1981, and 1983 have had less activity to date (January-TODAY, Accumulated Cyclone Energy). However, the year is not over...

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/

Interesting stuff....
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TreasureIslandFLGal
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Re: Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

#2 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Mon Oct 29, 2007 10:55 am

Looks like we've earned an insurance REDUCTION in Florida after this year! How much does anyone want to be that WON'T happen? *sigh
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#3 Postby jasons2k » Mon Oct 29, 2007 11:47 am

I didn't realize how low the ACE index was for 2005 either until I read this, at least compared to where I thought it would be. Interesting stuff.
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Re: Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

#4 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Oct 29, 2007 7:32 pm

1981 had many storms form in the Atlantic, but they were often short lived. EPAC and WPAC were about average in 1981. 1983 was below average for ATL and WPAC due to coming off of a warm phase of a strong El Nino, strongest prior to 1997. EPAC was hyperactive in 1983, one of the most on record. As for 1977, all the basins saw below average number of storms due to combination of coming off of El Nino and entering it again later that year, above average pressure, and monsoons.
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Re: Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

#5 Postby hurricanetrack » Mon Oct 29, 2007 8:54 pm

Well, at least now there is scientific evidence to prove that the season did not live up to expectations. Those expectations were from NOAA, CSU, Accuweather and TSR- among others. The season has failed to meet those expectations, or forecasts, or predictions and the data proves it once and for all.

Noel not withstanding, this will be one of the least active two year periods in a long, long time. Of course, this could all go to the toilet if somehow a plethora of strong hurricanes comes out of no where within the next 30+ days...
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Honeyko

#6 Postby Honeyko » Tue Oct 30, 2007 1:51 am

Yeah; the westpac was almost empty this year. Japan got some scares, and I think Taiwan had one good smack -- but that was about it.
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Re: Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

#7 Postby Cryomaniac » Tue Oct 30, 2007 4:03 am

hurricanetrack wrote:Of course, this could all go to the toilet if somehow a plethora of strong hurricanes comes out of no where within the next 30+ days...


Stranger things have happened at sea. I think it's rather unlikely though.
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Re: Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

#8 Postby Squarethecircle » Sun Nov 04, 2007 8:35 pm

Wasn't the last time a year was almost universally below average, like, 1977?
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Re: Historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as

#9 Postby RL3AO » Sun Nov 04, 2007 9:46 pm

Squarethecircle wrote:Wasn't the last time a year was almost universally below average, like, 1977?


Yep.
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#10 Postby Chacor » Mon Nov 05, 2007 9:45 am

Mid-November, and with only 21 named storms in the WPac so far this season we're near/slightly under average.
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