Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images

[Ed Mahmoud]

You guys probably don't even want to know what Joe Bastardi thinks...

[Bgator]

If there was no shear Miami would be getting clobbered right now...but shear is sheilding us.

[HURAKAN]

Completing a loop or beginning to me NEward.

[bocadude86]

barely creeping back off the coast?

[wxwonder12]

What does JB think???

Sorrymyspacebarismalfunctioning
*edit by chadtm80 to fix for you

[SouthFLTropics]

Noel is getting ready to get canned to the NE. Only a matter of time and he's outta here. Just a thought, not a forecast!

[alienstorm]

I am a subscriber and he does make sense as far as the westward component. The intensfication scenario is also very possible.

TIME WILL TELL...

[bocadude86]

looks like a loop to me... seems like it was start going wnw or nw now..

[cpdaman]

jeff morrow on TWC said was short term shear may relax a bit and it is possible for it to cause winds to increase even a bit higher than they have been.

this is important to beach front property , this is an erosion threat not much more

this may start moving to NE, the question i have is will it be a drift?

[Bgator]

I think the loop is an optical illusion and not actual movement..

[caneman]

OK, I'm biting. what does Joe B. say?

[wxwonder12]

thanks

[Vortex]

Significant pressure falls across SFL the last 6 hours. Pressures have fallen 3-4 mb..

John Hope always followed this in terms of potential impact area.....

[Bgator]

When rain bands come in, it gets real nasty here in Miami. Bands keep getting thrown in our direction, but fizzle as they reach the coast due to dry air.

[bocadude86]

Yup 29.81 here

[Vortex]

So whats JB saying?

[Ed Mahmoud]

OK, I'm biting. what does Joe B. say?

It has gotten stronger last day despite land, as it is a 140 pound wrestler who can mainstain on 1500 calories a day. Frictional effects are pulling it along Cuban coast 'til it gets near 80ºW, where coastline bends, finally freeing it to move North or Northeast. It will be at a buffet table, full of decent outflow, inflow, warm water, could go Cat 2 hurricane, pass within 75 miles East of MIA, worst case, might approach Cat 3, and while eye stays offshore, MIA may get briefly into eye-wall and experience hurricane force winds.

[gatorcane]

OK, I'm biting. what does Joe B. say?

It has gotten stronger last day despite land, as it is a 140 pound wrestler who can mainstain on 1500 calories a day. Frictional effects are pulling it along Cuban coast 'til it gets near 80ºW, where coastline bends, finally freeing it to move North or Northeast. It will be at a buffet table, full of decent outflow, inflow, warm water, could go Cat 2 hurricane, pass within 75 miles East of MIA, worst case, might approach Cat 3, and while eye stays offshore, MIA may get briefly into eye-wall and experience hurricane force winds.

yeah right.

[Ed Mahmoud]

OK, I'm biting. what does Joe B. say?

It has gotten stronger last day despite land, as it is a 140 pound wrestler who can mainstain on 1500 calories a day. Frictional effects are pulling it along Cuban coast 'til it gets near 80ºW, where coastline bends, finally freeing it to move North or Northeast. It will be at a buffet table, full of decent outflow, inflow, warm water, could go Cat 2 hurricane, pass within 75 miles East of MIA, worst case, might approach Cat 3, and while eye stays offshore, MIA may get briefly into eye-wall and experience hurricane force winds.

yeah right.

He was pretty close to nailing Humberto.

[Bgator]

29.65 here...has fallen about 3mb in last 3 hours...(it might be 1mb to low cause it might now be set right.)