[quote="HURAKAN"]Remember that in 1999 we saw at least 5 giants and some of them were long-tracking Cape Verde Hurricanes. This indicates that the weather pattern was favorable for hurricanes, which has been mostly inexistant in 2007.[/quote
Remember that in 2007 we saw 2 giants of cat 5 in less than 2 weeks, and that's history if you miss and an episode 
and one of them were Dean a long-tracking Cape Verde Hurricane for my untrainded eyes or my eyes are deceiving me 
it's history, so this indicates that the weather pattern was favorable for hurricanes during a period ,which has been mostly existant in 2007 :D
. So given what you are assuming, i can't believe in that because all season is unique and believing in that ...means for me that one day a man will walk on the sea too be serious a moment that's pure
stupidities i can trust in that
. In my modest opinion canes can form anywhere anytime...and against mother nature we should have a wide view of the multiples scenarios who can occur and by extension life
...for example when a meterological feature decides to explode on your country particulary an island ...we don't have to much time to waste that time, because it's really a privilege by thinking that there's a part of a bassin who should be inactive or not, climato it's funny it's statistics ...yeah but for a moment
life is not based on figures even more with hurricanes in terms of protection of life etc
in my humble opinion , so if in 1999 for Lenny the forecasters were ok to predict this nasty tenacious,awesmome feature (Lenny 19th November 1999 with an amazing flooding action
!) i would have been glad
, whereas before that any of them were saying that, (but ohhh after September a season is ended
as a consequence there's no rules with nature we observe what happens i stay modest
hope your are too, but i advise you too if it was the contrary Hurakan maybe i'm wrong i hope that
) !
In a conclusion say that
"For the rest of the season we should watch the Western Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic. For the rest of the basin the season is pretty much over".For the rest of the season we should watch the Western Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic. For the rest of the basin the season is pretty much over".
So, for a carib resident remembering Lenny ( November 1999, José October 1999) and with all the incertitudes, mysteries during a cyclonic season, who is always for my little untrained eyes [color=#FF0000]unique...given that... consequently...that makes radically no sense for me[/color]
in humble opinion :spam:
i emphasize on the fact that if you were living in a small island like Guadeloupe you would have a different forward angle for sure about this
:"For the rest of the season we should watch the Western Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic. For the rest of the basin the season is pretty much over.
For the rest of the season we should watch the Western Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic. For the rest of the basin the season is pretty much over."/color]. Hope that i put some clearance in my point of view Hurakan and don't forget that Mother Nature has always her rules, her plans in store , we're nothing on earth [color=#FF0000]especially in a island sometimes we forget it here . To sum up , if you know her better than her...it's another story
, so tell me what will happen for 2008, that's the 10000000$ question
Nice Regards in whole humility Gustwind:P
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html 40 or 50 kts of shear ahead the system for my untrained eyes 
