Olga's next shot: Becoming Better Organized

[fci]

The good thing is that only some poor fishies and stray ships will have to worry about this...

Do fish get affected by storms?
Don't they live under the sea and end up rather unphased.?

I read where a couple where scuba diving when the huge tsunami struck a few years ago and came back up astonished to see what had happened when they saw that the village they had left from was almost gone. (I rea about it in a Rick Reilly column from Sports Illustrated)

[Squarethecircle]

Fish-spinner is a figure of speech, and cyclones do affect areas up to 100 meters down, but not on the same scale that they affect things above water.

[Cyclone1]

Whoa...

That looks... really decent, actually.

The NHC has to at least mention this in the 5:30 TWO.

If they didn't though, I wouldn't be surprised.

[Frank2]

Might only be mentioned in the high seas forecast, however...

The season looks to be o-v-e-r (and out)...

[wxman57]

A comparison between the low near 34N/36W and Epsilon of 2005. They look very similar, and a similar pattern aloft.

Current system:


Disturbance in same area Nov. 28, 2005:


75kt Hurricane Epsilon on Dec. 2, 2005:

[HURAKAN]

Already in the floater:



http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... opical.asp

[cycloneye]

They are now talking about it:


ABNT20 KNHC 052209
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EST MON NOV 5 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
CENTERED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SOUTHWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND WILL BE MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN

[Cyclone1]

I smell 92.

Or wait...

Maybe that's the house on fire.

I'll be right back...

[RL3AO]

I wonder if it will be the same thing that happened with Jerry. Where they call it an invest a few hours before the first advisory.

[Squarethecircle]

Haha, knew it looked subtropical. It appears, thankfully, that the NHC now see this bugger. I doubt we'll have an Epsilon repeat (that was once-in-a-lifetime, like about four or five other storms that season), but this could become subtropical before dying. The convection is interesting for a storm this far north.

[HURAKAN]

[Cyclone1]

Looking surprisingly tropical...

I hope the NHC is paying attention to this.

[cycloneye]

92 should be up soon if organization and transition to warm core continues.

[HURAKAN]

05/2345 UTC 32.9N 36.6W ST2.5/2.5 92L -- Atlantic Ocean

[cycloneye]

92L

There it is.But nothing on NRL yet.

[RL3AO]

Should be up soon I guess. Maybe Olga at 11am if organization continues.

[Cyclone1]

2.5?!?!

At this rate we may just go straight to upgrade in the next few hours.

[HURAKAN]

[RL3AO]

Maybe tomorrow if it can get some more convection around the center.

[JonathanBelles]

AL, 92, 2007110600, , BEST, 0, 329N, 366W, 35, 1000, EX, 34, NEQ, 150, 0, 0, 200, 1008, 225, 80, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,

(I think this is the right one)