TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 19N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY.
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7N
147.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 143.6E, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM
NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN. RECENT ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA ORGANIZING DEEP CONVECTION WITH A WEAK
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 092043Z WINDSAT IMAGE
REVEALS THIS WEAK CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS
AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE EAST OF
THE DISTURBANCE. THESE FEATURES ARE PROVIDING GOOD DIFFLUENCE
AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS AND IMPROVING ORGANIZATION
OF THE WEAK LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS
FAIR.
WAKE UP PEOPLE!
