Was Strong Cyclone SIDR related to Global Warming?

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Was Strong Cyclone SIDR related to Global Warming?

Yes
3
10%
No
24
80%
Not Sure
3
10%
 
Total votes: 30

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cycloneye
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Was Strong Cyclone SIDR related to Global Warming?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 14, 2007 6:22 pm

This will be a question that will surface in the next few days as the cyclone makes landfall in Eastern India or Bangladesh.I say not related.
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Re: Is Strong Cyclone SIDR related to Global Warming?

#2 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Nov 15, 2007 4:09 am

I believe that it isn't. There have been several intense cyclones in history to strike India and Bangladesh.
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:15 pm

I selected "not sure" since there's no way to either attribute it to GW or to exclude that possibility either. And there never will be any way to do that for an individual storm event.
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Re: Is Strong Cyclone SIDR related to Global Warming?

#4 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Nov 15, 2007 9:05 pm

From what I noticed whenever ATL, EPAC, and WPAC are less active as a whole, NIND seems to be more active, like in 1977. Just because of one storm doesn't mean GW has to do with it.
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#5 Postby Regit » Sun Nov 18, 2007 1:34 am

I also chose "Not sure" as it's the only truly honest answer.
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Re: Was Strong Cyclone SIDR related to Global Warming?

#6 Postby Aslkahuna » Fri Nov 23, 2007 8:00 pm

1970-'nuff said.

Steve
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Nov 23, 2007 8:15 pm

Not enough evidence is available to relate Sidr, or any other tropical cyclone for that matter, to Global Warming.
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Re: Was Strong Cyclone SIDR related to Global Warming?

#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Nov 23, 2007 8:17 pm

Cyclones like this and much worst have been hitting them for thousands if not more years. It has nothing what so ever to with the "innerglacieral period" aka global warming.
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#9 Postby gigabite » Sat Nov 24, 2007 11:41 pm

Actually I think that the current cyclone activity is the result of a relative shift away un-seasonal high pressures that could be related to a long period of very low to zero sun spots. As the Sun enters Cycle 24 and the Sun Spot Number picks up there will be more opportunities for low pressures to form. The potential for serious cyclones is greater now, because of latent heat which could be more extensive than it was at the beginning of Cycle 23 as a result of the growth of the greenhouse effect, but the fact that We are 3 Earth diameters closer to the fire is also a factor.

GIVEN:
* Earth sun distance at aphelion is decreasing for the next thousand years this is causing the Earth’s orbit to become more round.
* As the Earth Sun Distance decreases global atmospheric pressure has to increase, as the Earth gets closer to the Sun the average Solar Wind is more intense.
* Increased global atmospheric pressure reduces global atmospheric water vapor.
* Reduced global atmospheric moisture reduces atmospheric viscosity allowing straight line winds to increase.
* Less cloud cover and increased green house gasses increased Sea Surface Temperature.

PROBLEM:
If the rounding of the Earth’s orbit is a precursor to an ice age 1 at what point does the Sea Surface Temperature Gain override the Atmospheric Pressure Gain to form the 100 percent opacity global cloud cover ( the iris effect ).

It seems that there must be an ascertainable finite number (at some global average sea surface temperature and global average millibars of atmospheric pressure) the sky clouds and the Earth cools off for a while.

1 National Geographic’s Greenhouse Earth Insert August 2007
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#10 Postby terstorm1012 » Thu Nov 29, 2007 2:40 pm

I selected no, because it was almost to the very date of the 1970 Bhola Cyclone that Sidr struck, meaning it fell within the parameters of the North Indian Ocean cyclone season (as did Gonu and the other storm this spring.)
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