Florida Weather

[jdray]

Current forecast calls:

This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. West wind around 5 mph.

Tonight: Patchy fog between 1am and 4am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 58. Light and variable wind.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a high near 75. Breezy, with a light wind becoming west between 12 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. North wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 65. North wind between 7 and 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 71.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
===========================================


I should see some frost Thursday night, and should freeze Friday night.
nice!!!!

[jinftl]

Just the kind of weather we don't need....dry, sunny, and windy conditions...hope we don't have to worry about brushfires before long somewhere in the state

[JonathanBelles]

Just the kind of weather we don't need....dry, sunny, and windy conditions...hope we don't have to worry about brushfires before long somewhere in the state

a little late...

FIRE WEATHER WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
138 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY
EVENING FOR ALL COUNTIES...

.STRONG COLD AND DRY AIR ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT
PASSAGE WILL BRING VERY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH EXTENDED PERIODS OF RH VALUES WELL BELOW 35
PERCENT EVERYWHERE FROM FRIDAY MORNING AND THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS.

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-150645-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0059.071116T1500Z-071117T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
138 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

$$

[jinftl]

wow...it's going to be a long dry season....

[JonathanBelles]

http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?n ... ge&pid=155

[JonathanBelles]

Front just went through here...highest wind was W 17 G 25 with a quick down pour.

[Aquawind]

wow...it's going to be a long dry season....

Bingo. We will be ablaze on CNN a little sooner than spring unless rains come...

[feederband]

wow...it's going to be a long dry season....

Bingo. We will be ablaze on CNN a little sooner than spring unless rains come...

Weve actually already had several fires around this area in the last few weeks...Which sucks because we had the windows open and the smoke came in...

[JonathanBelles]

my NWS low was 47° with winds of N 16 G 24. Chilly night. I saw 45 on the thermo this morning at the house.

Front:
Max winds: N 26 G 35
Lowest Pressure: 29.91
Rain .02"

[JonathanBelles]

51° and rapidly dropping.

Zone forecast for my county:

Tonight...Clear...colder. Patchy frost after midnight. Lows around 50 near the coast and in the mid 30s inland. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

I would say ill be in the low-mid 40's tonight.

[Extremeweatherguy]

wow! It looks cold in FL tonight! As of 1am EDT, Tallahassee was already down to 29˚ and Gainesville was at 34˚.

[JonathanBelles]

I made it down at most to 42°! I was out for my morning obs, so I am going on an electronic mobile weather station for that number. It seems accurate to me.

[jinftl]

Winds just veered to the east here on the coast...temp from 8am to 9am jumped from 58 to 71 as winds went from light out of the NW to E.

Low last night at house was 57.

[gatorcane]

it is truly amazing how the Gulf Stream protects South Florida (Jupiter South) from the cold.

I remember one morning it was 47F in Boca Raton with light NW winds then the winds veered to a light East wind and the temp rose to 65F in nearly 30 minutes........

the rest of the state including SW Florida do not benefit directly from the Gulf stream when actic fronts come through.

[JonathanBelles]

I edited the title to reflect the models and the front coming down. It also looks like the SE will get rain.

[Opal storm]

Though very unseasonable, it felt very nice today. 70's with a nice sea breeze, great day to just lay on the beach and soak it in.

[jinftl]

Agree....it is almost a distinct climate for Palm Beach, Broward, Miami-Dade counties (and of course the Keys) from the rest of the state....much more influenced by the ocean and the predominant easterly flow.

it is truly amazing how the Gulf Stream protects South Florida (Jupiter South) from the cold.

I remember one morning it was 47F in Boca Raton with light NW winds then the winds veered to a light East wind and the temp rose to 65F in nearly 30 minutes........

the rest of the state including SW Florida do not benefit directly from the Gulf stream when actic fronts come through.

[gatorcane]

agreed, the only way it can get cold here is if a Cold High settles in over South Florida....to block the easterly flow....

It's also amazing that as soon as you get to about Stuart and north on the EC of Florida, the climate is nothing like South Florida since the Gulf stream current is much farther offshore (like 100+ miles) a

[JonathanBelles]

Area Forecast Discussion

000
FXUS62 KTBW 211725
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1225 PM EST WED NOV 21 2007

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - FRIDAY)...OVERALL THE MODELS HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...ALTHOUGH DETAILS DIFFER WITH RESPECT
TO TIMING OF PRECIPITATION.

LATEST GFS CONTINUES TO TAKE HIGH PRESSURE OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC
TONIGHT WHILE 500MB HEIGHTS FALL SLOWLY ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S.
THROUGH FRIDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY STRETCHING FROM NEW YORK STATE SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH TEXAS WILL MOVE STEADILY EASTWARD IN THE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.
THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON THANKSGIVING
DAY...THEN BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES INTO NORTH FLORIDA
THURSDAY NIGHT AND CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. MOST AREAS SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY WILL REMAIN DRY ON
THANKSGIVING DAY...WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE NATURE COAST WILL HAVE HIGHER RAIN CHANCES...
ESPECIALLY AFTER NOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE EVERYWHERE
THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN TAPER OFF OVER THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

THURSDAY WILL BE WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH TEMPERATURES FROM THE
UPPER 70S NORTH TO LOWER 80S CENTRAL AND SOUTH. COOLER AIR WILL
BRING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO WHERE THEY SHOULD BE FOR FRIDAY... WITH
HIGHS ONLY NEAR 70 IN LEVY COUNTY...BUT STILL NEAR 80 OR SO IN
CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES.

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT - WEDNESDAY)...MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A SHORT WAVE MOVING BY
TO THE NORTH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE THE COOL FRONT
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WILL MOVE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT KEEPING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE
AREA. ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY A WARMING AND INCREASING HUMID AIRMASS
WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AS A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT
WAVE MOVING BY TO THE NORTH APPROACHES KEEPING A CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST. APPEARS THAT THIS FRONT WILL PRETTY
MUCH WASH OUT AS IT MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BRIDGING THE BOUNDARY AND BRINGING IN SOME DRIER AIR FOR THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR VISIBILITIES FROM PATCHY FOG MAY
IMPACT THE TERMINAL SITES TOWARD SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE BENIGN ENOUGH UNTIL THE COLD FRONT
PASSES...WHICH WILL BE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE NORTHERN WATERS...THEN
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY CENTRAL AND SOUTH. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM
THE NORTH AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY...THEN SHIFT QUICKLY
TO THE EAST FOR THE WEEKEND. SEAS OF 3 FEET OR LESS WILL BUILD TO 4
TO 6 FEET BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...ESPECIALLY OFFSHORE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER PROBLEMS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 64 80 64 75 / 10 20 30 20
FMY 61 82 64 80 / 5 10 20 30
GIF 61 82 63 75 / 10 20 30 30
SRQ 61 80 62 76 / 10 20 30 30
BKV 59 81 58 73 / 10 20 40 10
SPG 66 78 66 75 / 10 20 30 30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/MARINE....JILLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...CLOSE

[jinftl]

And the extended forecast sure reflects that...but this kind of forecast over a huge tourist weekend is music to the South Florida Chamber of Commerce ears....

NWS Zone Forecast for: Coastal Broward, FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Miami - South Florida
Last Update: 635 PM EST WED NOV 21 2007

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Tonight...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows near 70. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 10 percent.

Thanksgiving Day...Partly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 10 percent.

Thursday Night...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

Friday...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 5 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Friday Night...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s.

Saturday Night...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s.

Sunday Through Tuesday...Breezy. Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.

Tuesday Night...Partly cloudy with a 10 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s.

Wednesday...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s.


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agreed, the only way it can get cold here is if a Cold High settles in over South Florida....to block the easterly flow....

It's also amazing that as soon as you get to about Stuart and north on the EC of Florida, the climate is nothing like South Florida since the Gulf stream current is much farther offshore (like 100+ miles) a