"I'm not dreaming of a White Christmas!"

[azsnowman]

Don't have to dream THIS year

Holy smokes, with 4.83" of rain since yesterday at 1500 till 0400 hrs. this morning then it turned over to ALL snow, 7" right now with yet ANOTHER HUGE system blowing in here on Sunday...this is the FIRST White Christmas I've seen here in town since 1997!!

How's yours gonna be?

[Squarethecircle]

Now, don't get too cocky...

[azsnowman]

:uarrow: Now, don't get too cocky...

LOL!

After 13 years of "exceptional drought" conditions, I think I have the right to brag a little, don't you? 8.81" rain over the past week (last Saturday and TODAY) and now 8" of a wet snow, this may help up us *somewhat*, if we can only keep 'er up for the rest of the autumn season and winter!

So, I had to rehang some of my Christmas lights thanks to the wind and wet snow. My yard looks like a winter wonderland, "Gone away is the Blue Bird, here to stay is a new bird, we'll sing a love song as we walk along, walking in our Winter Underwear!

[Jack8631]

LOL! Send some of that precip our way. Think we skipped winter and spring and are going straight back to summer down here.

[JonathanBelles]

LOL! Send some of that precip our way. Think we skipped winter and spring and are going straight back to summer down here.

I'll agree with that. It was 82 here today.

[azsnowman]

WELL......I REALLY don't have to "dream" of a White Christmas now!!:ggreen:

These systems have been TOTALLY unexpected but VERY WELCOME!!

I have yet another HUGE, HUGGGGGGGGGE system, already started as a matter of fact A FOOT or "more" is expected by Weds. now...this is going down in the books as one of the EARLIEST, WETTEST starts to the winter season in EONS (if possibly EVER!)!

[azsnowman]

Here we go! After 13 YEARS of exceptional drought conditions, it's odd seeing so much precip in a short time! I mean, 8.81" of rain in a weeks time, now 8" of snow on the ground, 5" from previous system, it's SO wet, we don't know what to DO

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST SUN DEC 9 2007

AZZ004>018-037>040-101630-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
930 AM MST SUN DEC 9 2007

CORRECTION TO ADD SPOTTER STATEMENT

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ARIZONA...NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AS NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS DEVELOP OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM. EXPECT ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM ABOVE 5500 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 0
TO 1 INCH POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A POTENTIALLY MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA IS TAKING
SHAPE FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AREAS ABOVE 5500 FEET ON THE
MOGOLLON RIM...CHUSKA AND WHITE MOUNTAINS HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF
SEEING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD FROM ITS CURRENT LOCATION OFF THE BAJA SPUR. THE
CURRENT TRACK OF THIS STORM HAS THE LOW CENTER MOVING SLOWLY OVER
THE NORTHLAND DURING THIS THREE DAY PERIOD...AND ALTHOUGH SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE NOT YET CERTAIN...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW OF A FOOT OR
MORE IS POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE RIM SUCH AS YAVAPAI AND
NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES AT ELEVATIONS BELOW 5500 FEET COULD SEE
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF HEAVY RAIN. AS THE GROUND IS ALREADY
SATURATED FROM THE PREVIOUS TWO STORMS...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH
RAINFALL TO INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

[SWLASTORMTRACKER]

I need to move! Right now it is 80 degrees at 5:05 p.m. The kids are outside playing in shorts this very moment.

[azsnowman]

WINTER STORM WATCH just posted!

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

AZZ017-100615-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WS.A.0004.071210T1300Z-071212T0100Z/
WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
309 PM MST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ABOVE 6500 FEET..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT NORTHERN ARIZONA EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME HEAVIER AND
CONTINUOUS MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000
FEET...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW
LEVELS WILL DROP RAPIDLY MONDAY NIGHT TO AROUND 5500 FEET...BUT
THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ABOVE 6500 FEET. TOTAL
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 7000 FEET.

[Scott Patterson]

How's yours gonna be?

There's always a white Christmas around here.

It's been snowing quite a bit lately, but this year it hasn't got cold yet. It's really weird. So far the coldest we've got is -3. I haven't ever seen it stay so mild this late in the year without a cold snap.

WINTER STORM WATCH just posted!

Anyway, don't have too white of a Christmas in Northern Arizona. We're spending Christmas at the Grand Canyon and I'm taking the kids to hike down to the bottom.

[azsnowman]

HEY SCOTT!! Long time no talk!! The Grand Canyon should be SPECTACULAR that time of year! As far as temps go, yeah, I have to agree, it's been VERY warm here up until the past 2 weeks! Heck, 3 weeks ago we were in the 70's, which is nuckin' FUTZ, that was 24° x above normal!


NOW...to the system at hand, weatherwunderground has recently updated the storm totals...at any rate, there's gonna be a LOTTA snow!

http://www.weatherwunderground.com

Tonight
Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening...snow and rain showers likely after midnight. Snow accumulation 2 to 4 inches. Snow level 6500 feet. Near steady temperature in the upper 20s. Light winds. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Monday
Snow and rain showers in the morning...snow and rain showers in the afternoon. Snow accumulation 4 to 9 inches. Snow level 7500 feet. Highs 29 to 39 above 7000 feet...36 to 44 below 7000 feet. Light winds becoming southeast around 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
» ZIP Code Detail
Monday Night
Snow and rain showers likely in the evening... snow showers likely after midnight. Snow accumulation 6 to 10 inches. Snow level 6500 feet in the evening. Lows around 21 above 7000 feet...around 26 below 7000 feet. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Tuesday
Snow showers likely. Moderate snow accumulations. Highs 29 to 39. Southwest winds around 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph in the morning becoming light. Chance of snow 70 percent.
» ZIP Code Detail
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows 16 to 22. Light winds.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Highs 32 to 42 above 7000 feet...40 to 46 below 7000 feet.
» ZIP Code Detail

[Scott Patterson]

HEY SCOTT!! Long time no talk!!

Yes, I've been climbing and trekking in Peru (dang volcano we were climbing blew up on us!) until a week ago and had to get all caught up with everything at work home etc.

Anyway, looking forward to northern Arizona. I've been around the world many times, but I still think the Four Corners region is one of the two or three most beautiful places in the entire world.

NOW...to the system at hand, weatherwunderground has recently updated the storm totals...at any rate, there's gonna be a LOTTA snow!

Looks like you're getting what just left the area. We're finally going to get some sunshine :

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... 107.55&e=1

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 2. West southwest wind around 5 mph.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31. Southwest wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 3. West northwest wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 21. West southwest wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of snow before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 24.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 1.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 20.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -3.

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 24.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 25.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 28.

[brunota2003]

Well, Mr. Snowman, you must of sent your drought out here to us Southeastern U.S. folks >.<.

Precipitation...

.LAST WEEK...
OTHER THAN SOME ISOLATED SPRINKLES...MOST OF THE REGION REMAINED
COMPLETELY DRY THIS WEEK AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE REMAINED DOMINANT.

.MONTH...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER REMAINED WELL BELOW
NORMAL WITH LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS WITH MANY BELOW
A HALF AN INCH. THIS MEANT MOST AREAS SAW RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 20
TO 30 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

.SEASONAL/ANNUAL...
SUMMER AND EARLY FALL ARE STATISTICALLY THE WETTEST MONTHS OF THE
YEAR, MAINLY FORM JULY THROUGH EARLY OCTOBER. HOWEVER, THIS YEAR
RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE CONTINUED WELL BELOW NORMAL INLAND WITH YEAR
TO DATE RAINFALL DEFICITS AROUND 15 TO 20 INCHES.
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mhx/drought.php
http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/pics/nc_dm.png

How about how much longer cities have with water? Some have already run out of ANY water...but Raleigh, North Carolina's capital, hasn't...*yet*.

In Raleigh, water is now being pumped from Lake Benson to the Neuse River in an attempt to supplement the city's water supply. The city normally draws water from Falls Lake, but the lake has reached record low levels, with only a 110-day supply of water remaining. The Army Corp of Engineers is allowing Raleigh to pump 17 million gallons a day from Lake Benson, which should provide an additional 3 weeks of water supply. The project is costing the city about $300,000.
Categories: Water/Energy
Source: Media
Dates of Impact: 2007-11-21 to 2007-11-21

Source: http://droughtreporter.unl.edu/impact.jsp?id=8151

110 days left, plus an additional two weeks is all the water they have left (per November 21 report). We have not really received anymore rainfall since then, and other than maybe scattered showers, are not expecting more anytime soon. Heck, our high for tomorrow (where I live, on the coast) is expected to be 77! 77 degrees! That is absolutely INSANE!

[azsnowman]

No longer a watch, it's now a WARNING

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
529 AM MST MON DEC 10 2007

...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW TO PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN ARIZONA..

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WITH AN ABUNDANT SUPPLY OF MOISTURE WILL
PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TODAY ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR THE
MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE MOUNTAINS...AND THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS. THE
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SHIFT A LITTLE TO THE EAST LATER
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE A WHILE LONGER OVER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE MOUNTAINS AND THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS INTO
TUESDAY.

AS SNOW LEVELS DROP TO AROUND 5000 TO 5500 FEET TONIGHT MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN GILA COUNTY.

AZZ017-102030-
/O.UPG.KFGZ.WS.A.0004.071210T1300Z-071212T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KFGZ.WS.W.0002.071210T1300Z-071212T0100Z/
WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
529 AM MST MON DEC 10 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST TUESDAY..
...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST TUESDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A WINTER STORM WARNING.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH
TUESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME HEAVIER AND
CONTINUOUS TODAY OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET...AND
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS
WILL DROP RAPIDLY TONIGHT TO AROUND 5000 TO 5500 FEET...BUT THE
HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ABOVE 6000 FEET.
TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 7000 FEET.

[azsnowman]

brunota2003, I feel for you folks back there...after 13 years of exceptional drought conditions, I know what y'all are going through!

Luckily, we don't depend on ground water supply, if we did, ALL of us in Northern Az. would have been gone 10 years ago!! We have DEEP, DEEP wells that we use for water, some wells are over 2000' deep!!!! While other wells are just over 700' deep! However, the Coconino Aquafier, the wests largest (which we pull from) has been said to be dropping and if THAT happens, God help us ALL!

[amawea]

Man AZ! Send some of that my way. I live in North Arkansas just 2 miles from the Mo. state line, just so you know which way to throw it.

[azsnowman]

Man AZ! Send some of that my way. I live in North Arkansas just 2 miles from the Mo. state line, just so you know which way to throw it.

OK....as soon as I'm done with it, I'd be HAPPY to send it y'alls way!

[azsnowman]

And so the dumpage begins.....scanner traffic has St. Rt. 77 from the St. Rt. 260 Junction CLOSED, numerous slide offs, DPS Officers reporting 50' visibilty from the 77 & 260 to St. Hwy. 377! Visibility here in town down to less than 30' according to PLPD patrol officers at 260 and Penrod Extension...so yeah, it's a "DUMPAGE baby, DUMPAGE!"

[azsnowman]

Still too dark to see just how snow there is, a guesstiment, 13" + with total white out conditions, I can't see my neighbors HOUSE

Schools mountain wide are shut down, according to scanner traffic and local radio station, numerous business are going to remain closed today.

Another 8" expected, wind is drifting the snow from what I can see!

Stay tuned as daylight allows more accurate measurements AND PHOTOS!

[azsnowman]

I was close on my guesstiment....I have 10" on the level with 28-32" drifts!! Took 1.5 hours to blow one driveway, came in for hot cocoa and a break! I have one more driveway to blow then it's picture time!