OLGA'S remnants : Discussions & Images

[cycloneye]

URNT15 KNHC 111938
AF303 0117A OLGA HDOB 22 20071211
192630 2319N 07445W 4095 07398 0382 -215 -215 056020 020 033 000 00
192700 2318N 07442W 4095 07398 0382 -215 -215 058020 020 032 000 00
192730 2316N 07440W 4096 07395 0381 -215 -215 057021 021 033 000 00
192800 2315N 07437W 4095 07395 0380 -215 -215 060020 021 032 000 00
192830 2314N 07435W 4096 07394 0379 -211 -211 065017 018 031 000 00
192900 2313N 07432W 4092 07399 0379 -212 -212 066018 019 030 000 00
192930 2312N 07430W 4099 07388 0378 -215 -215 067017 019 030 000 00
193000 2310N 07427W 4092 07399 0378 -215 -215 068015 015 029 000 00
193030 2309N 07425W 4096 07393 0379 -215 -215 068015 015 030 000 00
193100 2308N 07422W 4095 07395 0379 -215 -215 066014 015 029 000 00
193130 2307N 07420W 4099 07388 0379 -214 -214 064015 015 029 000 00
193200 2305N 07417W 4095 07395 0379 -215 -215 064015 016 028 000 00
193230 2304N 07415W 4095 07394 0378 -215 -215 063016 016 025 000 00
193300 2303N 07413W 4095 07394 0378 -210 -210 067015 015 025 000 00
193330 2302N 07410W 4096 07393 0379 -213 -213 062016 017 024 000 00
193400 2300N 07408W 4096 07394 0379 -215 -215 061018 019 023 000 00
193430 2259N 07405W 4096 07395 0379 -215 -215 064019 019 027 000 00
193500 2258N 07403W 4095 07394 0379 -215 -215 063019 019 025 000 00
193530 2257N 07400W 4095 07394 0378 -215 -215 064019 020 024 000 00
193600 2255N 07358W 4096 07394 0378 -215 -215 062020 020 023 000 00

[Evil Jeremy]

The shear was not supposed to start until tomorrow.

I said this once and I will say this again: The BAMD was the only model to predict Olga's more northward path last night, and is doing the same thing again.

[cycloneye]

Is a big surprise that a plane is flying,after the plan of the day said the contrary.

[Evil Jeremy]

Where exactly does it say that the flight was not supposed to happen? If the flight was really canceled, it would of said so in today's plan, which it did not. I already said this in the Recon thread.

[cycloneye]

040
URNT15 KNHC 111948
AF303 0117A OLGA HDOB 23 20071211
193630 2254N 07355W 4096 07393 0378 -215 -215 064020 021 025 000 00
193700 2253N 07353W 4096 07391 0377 -215 -215 064020 021 027 000 00
193730 2252N 07350W 4094 07395 0377 -215 -215 063021 021 026 000 00
193800 2250N 07348W 4096 07391 0378 -215 -215 062021 021 026 000 00
193830 2249N 07346W 4096 07393 0377 -215 -215 062021 021 025 000 00
193900 2248N 07343W 4095 07391 0376 -215 -215 064021 021 024 000 00
193930 2246N 07341W 4096 07390 0375 -215 -215 061022 022 025 000 00
194000 2245N 07338W 4096 07389 0373 -215 -215 060021 022 026 000 00
194030 2244N 07336W 4095 07388 0372 -215 -215 061022 022 027 000 00
194100 2243N 07333W 4096 07387 0372 -215 -215 060022 022 027 000 00
194130 2241N 07331W 4095 07388 0372 -215 -215 059022 022 025 000 00
194200 2240N 07328W 4096 07385 0371 -215 -215 058021 021 027 000 00
194230 2239N 07326W 4094 07390 0372 -215 -215 058021 022 025 000 00
194300 2238N 07324W 4096 07388 0373 -215 -215 059021 021 025 000 00
194330 2236N 07321W 4095 07388 0372 -215 -215 059022 023 026 000 00
194400 2235N 07319W 4096 07385 0371 -215 -215 058023 023 026 000 00
194430 2234N 07316W 4095 07388 0372 -215 -215 058023 024 028 000 00
194500 2233N 07314W 4095 07390 0374 -215 -215 056023 024 027 000 00
194530 2231N 07311W 4095 07390 0374 -215 -215 054023 023 027 000 00
194600 2230N 07309W 4095 07390 0374 -215 -215 052022 023 029 000 00
$$
Plane over Caicos and Grand Turk.

[Cyclenall]

Where exactly does it say that the flight was not supposed to happen? If the flight was really canceled, it would of said so in today's plan, which it did not. I already said this in the Recon thread.

It's a little confusing but I'm happy they are going into it .

[cycloneye]

Where exactly does it say that the flight was not supposed to happen? If the flight was really canceled, it would of said so in today's plan, which it did not. I already said this in the Recon thread.

NOTE: TROPICAL CYCLONE REQUIREMENTS.....NEGATIVE

[Evil Jeremy]

This will answer alot of questions:

Is it still Subtropical?
How strong is it?
Where is it heading?
Is it organized?
Where exactly is the center now?

That last question reminds me that if the center is indeed over land, especially over foreign land, they will not travel into it, which is ok because the strongest winds are not near the center.

[tolakram]

Ah, probably the last recon fix of the season. A welcomed surprise.

[cycloneye]

URNT15 KNHC 111958
AF303 0117A OLGA HDOB 24 20071211
194630 2229N 07306W 4096 07386 0372 -215 -215 050023 023 041 000 00
194700 2227N 07304W 4095 07389 0372 -215 -215 051023 023 082 000 00
194730 2226N 07302W 4096 07388 0373 -214 -214 052023 024 133 000 00
194800 2225N 07259W 4095 07389 0373 -211 -211 054022 023 142 000 00
194830 2224N 07257W 4096 07388 0373 -210 -210 056023 023 127 000 03
194900 2222N 07254W 4095 07386 0372 -211 -211 056023 023 999 999 03
194930 2221N 07252W 4095 07386 0371 -210 -210 058022 023 999 999 03
195000 2220N 07249W 4096 07385 0372 -210 -210 056022 022 999 999 03
195030 2218N 07247W 4095 07388 0371 -210 -210 055021 021 999 999 03
195100 2217N 07244W 4096 07388 0372 -210 -210 058021 021 121 000 03
195130 2216N 07242W 4095 07388 0372 -208 -208 058020 021 034 000 00
195200 2215N 07240W 4095 07386 0370 -205 -205 055019 020 029 000 03
195230 2213N 07237W 4095 07385 0369 -205 -205 055019 019 028 000 00
195300 2212N 07235W 4095 07384 0368 -205 -205 057019 019 027 000 00
195330 2211N 07232W 4099 07381 0373 -202 -202 057020 020 027 000 03
195400 2209N 07230W 4369 06922 0368 -174 -174 047029 031 999 999 03
195430 2208N 07228W 4660 06436 0349 -132 -132 055032 034 999 999 03
195500 2207N 07225W 4959 05959 0325 -092 -092 058036 036 999 999 03
195530 2206N 07223W 5240 05529 0301 -056 -056 061036 037 999 999 03
195600 2204N 07220W 5552 05070 0145 -020 -040 070036 036 999 999 03
$$

[dixiebreeze]

Thought NHC/Recon might want to take a look up close and personal

[cycloneye]

wxman57,what is your take about they deciding to fly?

[cycloneye]

Dropsonde

000
UZNT13 KBIX 111809
XXAA 61175 99279 70851 08175 99024 23024 11514 00203 21018 11015
92875 16833 13518 85592 13258 12514 70213 09484 11510 50591 05982
15009 88999 77999
31313 09608 81725
51515 10190 40761
61616 AF303 0117A OLGA OB 05
62626 SPL 2788N08516W 1734 MBL WND 12016 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13511
023418 WL150 11515 078 =
XXBB 61178 99279 70851 08175 00024 23024 11911 15621 22884 14858
33850 13258 44834 13060 55822 13468 66804 12461 77775 11677 88719
10687 99570 03175 11526 03184 22448 13179 33422 16157 44410 19525
21212 00024 11514 11958 13019 22882 14016 33850 12514 44828 13513
55815 11012 66780 15511 77740 13012 88730 10510 99700 11510 11689
10510 22645 15503 33614 18511 44597 16512 55559 16519 66543 13510
77525 15010 88459 13501 99422 14012 11410 16012
31313 09608 81725
51515 10190 40761
61616 AF303 0117A OLGA OB 05
62626 SPL 2788N08516W 1734 MBL WND 12016 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13511
023418 WL150 11515 078 =
;

[dixiebreeze]

:uarrow: It's hard to discern, but it might even be a little off the coastline. What model predicted this? BAMD?

BAMD has been pretty much right on with Olga. Right now it looks like she will just skim the northern coast of the DR. This could be interesting.

[Evil Jeremy]

Just like with Noel a month ago, this is creating a pressure gradient near Florida.

[cycloneye]

URNT15 KNHC 112008
AF303 0117A OLGA HDOB 25 20071211
195630 2203N 07218W 5870 04623 0159 +001 -034 075032 036 999 999 03
195700 2202N 07216W 6238 04138 0190 +017 +017 077031 033 999 999 03
195730 2201N 07214W 6617 03655 0198 +039 +039 077032 033 999 999 03
195800 2200N 07211W 7008 03188 0196 +070 -020 077030 033 999 999 03
195830 2201N 07209W 7416 02712 0193 +093 -020 084029 030 999 999 03
195900 2201N 07207W 7749 02344 0197 +107 +107 076030 031 999 999 03
195930 2201N 07205W 7833 02222 0166 +116 +116 069032 034 035 001 00
200000 2201N 07203W 7810 02255 0173 +110 +110 068028 028 032 000 00
200030 2201N 07202W 7815 02245 0174 +106 +106 066030 031 027 000 03
200100 2201N 07200W 7816 02245 0171 +109 +109 071030 031 026 000 03
200130 2201N 07158W 7812 02248 0171 +109 +109 071029 029 030 000 00
200200 2201N 07157W 7817 02242 0173 +105 +105 073029 030 029 000 00
200230 2201N 07155W 7816 02245 0174 +107 +107 074028 029 030 000 00
200300 2201N 07154W 7819 02242 0171 +109 +109 075027 027 032 000 00
200330 2202N 07152W 7815 02247 0171 +109 +101 072027 027 029 000 00
200400 2202N 07151W 7816 02246 0173 +108 +101 071028 028 032 000 00
200430 2202N 07149W 7819 02242 0171 +110 +110 071028 029 032 000 00
200500 2202N 07148W 7816 02245 0167 +113 +101 073029 029 030 000 00
200530 2201N 07146W 7817 02244 0165 +115 +101 077030 030 031 000 00
200600 2201N 07144W 7817 02244 0165 +114 +101 078031 032 030 000 00
$$
;

[cycloneye]

000
URNT11 KNHC 112006
97779 19400 30227 73600 70200 06022 72//2 /5757
RMK AF303 0117A OLGA OB 11
SWS = 025KTS

[Evil Jeremy]

It looks like the center is moving back over water

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis.jpg

[gatorcane]

Noel gave us a little scare but it caused alot of Beach erosion...we don't need another round with olga...

[cycloneye]

URNT15 KNHC 112018
AF303 0117A OLGA HDOB 26 20071211
200630 2201N 07143W 7812 02248 0167 +110 +105 078031 032 030 000 00
200700 2201N 07141W 7817 02242 0169 +111 +111 078033 034 032 000 00
200730 2201N 07140W 7815 02246 0167 +112 +112 079033 034 032 000 00
200800 2201N 07138W 7816 02245 0165 +115 +079 077032 032 032 000 00
200830 2201N 07137W 7812 02248 0161 +119 +079 078031 032 028 000 00
200900 2201N 07135W 7818 02241 0163 +115 +108 080032 033 030 000 00
200930 2201N 07134W 7816 02245 0166 +113 +113 078032 033 031 000 00
201000 2201N 07132W 7812 02247 0164 +115 +115 077032 032 029 000 00
201030 2201N 07131W 7824 02239 0169 +115 +100 079033 033 027 000 00
201100 2201N 07129W 7991 02070 0182 +120 +100 081034 035 030 000 00
201130 2201N 07128W 8227 01824 0181 +133 +117 078034 036 031 000 00
201200 2201N 07126W 8445 01601 0187 +136 +136 077040 041 031 000 00
201230 2201N 07125W 8682 01370 0187 +153 +153 081043 044 031 000 03
201300 2201N 07123W 8992 01069 0188 +166 +139 076041 042 999 999 03
201330 2201N 07122W 9311 00771 0184 +184 +139 072036 038 999 999 03
201400 2201N 07120W 9619 00486 0174 +208 +208 065032 033 999 999 03
201430 2201N 07119W 9828 00285 0156 +225 +225 062030 032 031 000 00
201500 2201N 07117W 9832 00272 0147 +226 +220 061031 033 034 000 00
201530 2201N 07116W 9766 00331 0145 +221 +220 061033 033 034 000 00
201600 2201N 07115W 9771 00333 0149 +221 +220 058033 034 032 001 00
$$