OLGA'S remnants : Discussions & Images
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Re: Tropical Storm OLGA in .DR : Discussions & Images
Squarethecircle wrote:AnnularCane wrote:60 mph? I'm sort of confused. Isn't Olga over land?
Officially, no, but the sat pictures suggest it well could be.
Officially, yes.
REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...18.8 N...69.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2334.shtml
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Re: Tropical Storm OLGA in .DR : Discussions & Images
18.8N/69.5W is around 15 miles from the N coast. If it moves WNW Olga may pull off the N coast briefly.
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Re: Tropical Storm OLGA in .DR : Discussions & Images
HURAKAN wrote:Squarethecircle wrote:AnnularCane wrote:60 mph? I'm sort of confused. Isn't Olga over land?
Officially, no, but the sat pictures suggest it well could be.
Officially, yes.
REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...18.8 N...69.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2334.shtml
This is why I should always read the full report.
Last edited by Squarethecircle on Tue Dec 11, 2007 7:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Storm OLGA in .DR : Discussions & Images
NHC 4pm position: 18.5N/68.8W
NHC 8pm position: 18.8N/69.5W
Pretty solid WNW movement. Interesting at the 4pm update Olga wasn't expected to make it to 18.9N for 36 hours. Still looks WNW on the satellite.
NHC 8pm position: 18.8N/69.5W
Pretty solid WNW movement. Interesting at the 4pm update Olga wasn't expected to make it to 18.9N for 36 hours. Still looks WNW on the satellite.
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To think that a storm should form in December when only the CMC supported it, start to travel in a different direction than the forecast, and turn out to be tropical with 60 MPH winds. I mean, Jesus Christ. This has been a WEIRD year.
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Re: Tropical Storm OLGA in .DR : Discussions & Images
It doesn't look to me like the old LLC has moved that far north. I think it's more likely that the center relocated because there was very little deep convection near the old LLC and a lot in the bands to the north. 60 mph is particularly peculiar since the banding has deteriorated drastically during the day. Olga certainly doesn't look like a storm that could be strengthening to 60 mph while next to or partly on Hispaniola.
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Re: Tropical Storm OLGA in .DR : Discussions & Images
If the center is still under the same ball of convection that it was earlier, Olga is back into open waters.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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Re:
Evil Jeremy wrote:North of it, in the huge ball of convection.
That's a big relocation then...I see it now, maybe it will head for the Windward Passage and not make much in the way of land interaction...
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Re: Tropical Storm OLGA in .DR : Discussions & Images
Evil Jeremy wrote:If the center is still under the same ball of convection that it was earlier, Olga is back into open waters.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
I don't see it north of the coast on that loop. Looks right over the eastern DR about 20-30 miles inland and moving westward. Don't focus on the higher clouds, look for the very low clouds to try to pinpoint the center. It also helps to have some surface obs:

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Here we go. If the ridge is going to do its job, its now or never.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html
Also, about the shear that is forecast for tomorrow, I will believe it when I see it.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html
Also, about the shear that is forecast for tomorrow, I will believe it when I see it.
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It's so interesting to read these last dozen pages or so from the point of exactly what is Olga from guesstimation based on the known and unknown scientific (or very unscientific) points of view when I and my neighboring island posters and friends are experiencing it. Weird, frankly...except for the few Florida folk who wonder if it's coming there, which is par for the course.
I'll watch it all shake down here into numbers and names as I listen and learn about the reality from other sources closer to the ground. A bit schizto...statesiders reality versus ours, but interesting anyway. There are a couple of posters I wish dearly I was wealthy enough to fly here for the real deal...but that is as realistic as some other wishes
I'll watch it all shake down here into numbers and names as I listen and learn about the reality from other sources closer to the ground. A bit schizto...statesiders reality versus ours, but interesting anyway. There are a couple of posters I wish dearly I was wealthy enough to fly here for the real deal...but that is as realistic as some other wishes

Last edited by caribepr on Tue Dec 11, 2007 7:48 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:
Evil Jeremy wrote:Wow! The model plot was just updated! Major jump to the north with these new model runs!
What are you talking about?
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