Olga's uncertain status

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Cyclone1
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Re: Olga's uncertain status

#21 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Dec 22, 2007 6:06 pm

Squarethecircle wrote:And, you know, just saying because it hasn't been mentioned, the fact that it didn't even lookthat much like a tropical cyclone was a helpful clue as well.


I know, I don't really get why it's in question in the first place...
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Coredesat

Re: Olga's uncertain status

#22 Postby Coredesat » Sat Dec 22, 2007 7:11 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:
Squarethecircle wrote:And, you know, just saying because it hasn't been mentioned, the fact that it didn't even lookthat much like a tropical cyclone was a helpful clue as well.


I know, I don't really get why it's in question in the first place...


Because it hit Florida and unrelated tropical storm force winds were reported. It's the same argument as the one over TD 10, which wasn't upgraded to a TS either.
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#23 Postby Squarethecircle » Sat Dec 22, 2007 7:32 pm

:uarrow: Speaking of which, we got some TS force winds a few weeks ago... Maybe an unnamed Tropical Storm? This needs some further investigation, in the least.
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#24 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Dec 22, 2007 10:03 pm

For what it's worth, David Roth of the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center released a report on Olga's rainfall in Florida, which includes his own meteorological analysis. He clearly calls it the remains of Olga (not tropical anything), but he is not in the position to call it anything it might be.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/olga2007.html

Here's his analysis.
An upper level trough and associated cold front began approaching
Olga, which led to temporary strengthening of the surface circulation as intermittent convection developed northeast of
its center. The low came ashore the Florida coast early on the morning of the 16th near Clearwater Beach with a central
pressure near 1002 hPa and sustained winds of 45 mph with gusts to 78 mph. The cyclone then weakened as it crossed
the peninsula, dissipating as it reached the east coast near Daytona Beach.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Olga's uncertain status

#25 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Dec 23, 2007 12:30 am

Ptarmigan wrote:
cag1953 wrote:If I remember right,they upgraded Danny back to tropical storm before it came off the east coast. They said there was so much rain that the storm reacted as if it was over water.


It appears that Danny was a TS over land right before it went back into the Atlantic. Yes, it had a lot of water, which would explain why Dauphin Island got 36 inches of rain. :eek:

Weather Underground-Hurricane Danny 1997



I was living in Lafayette when the MCS that eventually became Danny came through from the North. Some of the most vivid lightning I ever saw, and I remember local met Rob Perillo saying it had a chance to become something in the GOMEX the next day on the local news.
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Re: Olga's uncertain status

#26 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Dec 23, 2007 1:59 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:

I was living in Lafayette when the MCS that eventually became Danny came through from the North. Some of the most vivid lightning I ever saw, and I remember local met Rob Perillo saying it had a chance to become something in the GOMEX the next day on the local news.


Wow. That really foreshadowed Danny. Did it rain a lot under the MCS that became Danny?
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Re: Re:

#27 Postby tbstorm » Sun Dec 23, 2007 6:29 pm

This was not a tropical cyclone at landfall. There is no coverup or conspiracy, this is simply what happened. You are out of line for suggesting one.


WTF with the consipracy talk?

I'll wait for my FAIR and SCIENTIFIC ANALYSIS, thank you very much.

For scientific purposes lets hope that the NHC gives Olga its due in post-storm analysis.
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#28 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 23, 2007 6:38 pm

Probably Iran or Russia or China is behind this. :eek:

Please!!!! :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Olga's uncertain status

#29 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Dec 23, 2007 6:39 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:
Ed Mahmoud wrote:

I was living in Lafayette when the MCS that eventually became Danny came through from the North. Some of the most vivid lightning I ever saw, and I remember local met Rob Perillo saying it had a chance to become something in the GOMEX the next day on the local news.


Wow. That really foreshadowed Danny. Did it rain a lot under the MCS that became Danny?



Rained hard, IIRC, for about 2 hours, than it wandered out to the Gulf and stalled, and the rest is history.



Not a big hurricane, but enough to flood most of the docks in Venice, and salt water flooding and offshore oil field worker automobiles don't mix.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Re:

#30 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Dec 23, 2007 6:41 pm

tbstorm wrote:
This was not a tropical cyclone at landfall. There is no coverup or conspiracy, this is simply what happened. You are out of line for suggesting one.


WTF with the consipracy talk?

I'll wait for my FAIR and SCIENTIFIC ANALYSIS, thank you very much.

For scientific purposes lets hope that the NHC gives Olga its due in post-storm analysis.



I think it was at least a TD when it approached the Yucatan, but what I think and $4.00 will buy you a coffee at Starbucks.
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Re:

#31 Postby Cryomaniac » Wed Dec 26, 2007 7:19 am

HURAKAN wrote:Probably Iran or Russia or China is behind this. :eek:

Please!!!! :lol: :lol: :lol:


Or maybe it was the US government!! :roll:
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Re: Re:

#32 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Dec 26, 2007 7:58 am

Cryomaniac wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Probably Iran or Russia or China is behind this. :eek:

Please!!!! :lol: :lol: :lol:


Or maybe it was the US government!! :roll:


That's no proof. Provide real proof before claiming something like that.
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Re: Re:

#33 Postby Cryomaniac » Wed Dec 26, 2007 8:57 am

HURAKAN wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Probably Iran or Russia or China is behind this. :eek:

Please!!!! :lol: :lol: :lol:


Or maybe it was the US government!! :roll:


That's no proof. Provide real proof before claiming something like that.


Just to make clear I was taking the piss.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Olga's uncertain status

#34 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Dec 28, 2007 1:44 am

I would go as far as to say that there appeared to be a "low" developing as it was being enhanced by the frontal system near Tampa area. In which if it was found to have been warm core could make a case for something short lived.
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