INVEST 95L: NE Atlantic : Discussions & Images

[Cyclone1]

Looks like the tropical storm that never was. Unless it trying to hang out until tomorrow or January to try to break a record.

[tolakram]

000
WONT41 KNHC 301500
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM AST SUN DEC 30 2007

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM IS NOW INTERACTING WITH A
FRONTAL SYSTEM TO ITS NORTH...AND SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE-FORCE WINDS... MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND
EAST OF THE CENTER...AND IT STILL COULD BECOME A SUBTROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW AS IT MOVES SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

FURTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS NECESSARY.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI

[Ed Mahmoud]

It probably was an STS yesterday, but it missed the naming boat, looks a lot less organized.

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

It looks more extratropical now than yesterday.

[Cyclone1]

They still say it has potential, and it being December 30, I'd say they still think it has a decent chance. (at LEAST for this time of year)

[Cyclone1]

Ya know, when you zoom out it still looks pretty good.

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/sat_ir_a.gif

Considering its no speeding off to the northeast, I'd say it still has a shot.

[HURAKAN]

The LLC looks a lot more broad than yesterday. I think yesterday it was a subtropical storm or very close, but today it's very far from it.

[Chacor]

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
SURFACE LOW PRES...1008 MB..IS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ATLC
ABOUT 900 MILES SSW OF THE AZORES. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THAT THIS SYSTEM IS NOW INTERACTING WITH A COLD FRONT TO ITS N
AND SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED
THAN YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
GALE-FORCE WINDS...MAINLY TO THE N AND SLIGHTLY TO THE S OF THE
CENTER...AND IT STILL COULD BECOME A SUBTROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY OR TOMORROW AS IT MOVES SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS TO THE N OF THE LOW CENTER
FROM 29N-32N BETWEEN 31W-36W...WITH A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 28N34W 28N34W.

[Cyclone1]

I kinda hope it hangs out until tomorrow.

[vacanechaser]

its done... not gonna happen now...




Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[HURAKAN]

I don't think the LLC is closed at this moment. It looks too broad.

[MGC]

Not gonna happen, attached to a front. It was probably a STS yesterday though....MGC

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2007

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A GALE-FORCE 1008 MB CYCLONE IS PRESENT AT 27N35W OR ABOUT 750
NM SSW OF THE AZORES. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST SOME OF ITS
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION DURING THE DAY WITH DEEP CONVECTION
RESTRICTED TO THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS
IS NOW LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE SURFACE CYCLONE...WHICH IS THUS
EXPERIENCING 30-40 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR ACCORDING TO THE CIMSS
ANALYSES. ADDITIONALLY...A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE NORTH
OF THE CYCLONE IS INTERACTING WITH THE CYCLONE...WHICH IS SHOWN
AS INCREASED BAROCLINICITY OF THE SYSTEM AS ANALYZED BY THE FSU
CYCLONE PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS. THE HIGHER SHEAR...INCREASED BAROCLINICITY...ALONG WITH THE RATHER COOL 19C SSTS SUGGEST THAT THE SYSTEM HAS LITTLE CHANCE AT THIS POINT TO BECOME A NAMED SUBTROPICAL STORM. THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN MOVING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT WEAKENS.

¡Adiós mi amigo!

[Cyclone1]

Sorry Pablo, try again in 2013.

[HURAKAN]

30/2330 UTC 26.9N 34.9W T1.5/1.5 95L

Kind of unexpected!!!

[Cyclone1]

You know, honestly... it doesn't look that horrible on NRL. Just broad. I know I know, maybe I'm just holding on to false hope, but... from what I see... it's looked worse, today. I just want it to form to set that record!

Shut up, everyone has their problems. This is mine.

[RL3AO]

I'm sure the NHC is rooting against it. They probably don't want to deal with the media of STS Arthur forming in early January.

[Cyclone1]

Haha, I do NOT blame them for that, RL3AO.

"In other news, Global Warming is making hurricanes appear in January we're all doomed kthx bye."

[Squarethecircle]

I'm looking back on this thing now, and it really seems to have lost it since the first page. In fact, I'd bet that if I hadn't seen the storm listed anywhere, I would have discarded it. A nice looking storm, yes, and a better chance than most, but its chances seem to be going down. It's getting too far north regardless.

Nevertheless, I am behind this storm 100%. Go 95L!